Result
0:0
13/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (426/488) | 77% (237/309) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (426/488) | 77% (237/309) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (33/55) | 35% (22/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (104/134) | 58% (50/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 33% (4/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Navarro E. 🟨,
- 34', Leyva D. 🟨,
- 40', Lara E. 🟨,
- 45+2', Diaz N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↓, Organista A. ↑,
- 59', Moreno I. 🟨,
- 60', Rosero K. 🟥,
- 70', Navarro E. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
- 71', Velasco K. ↓, Lozano E. ↑,
- 71', Moreno I. ↓, Garnica B. ↑,
- 72', Ruiz J. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
- 81', Guerra E. 🟨,
- 85', Rossano F. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
- 85', Guerra E. ↓, Araos A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Puebla
42.5% | Draw
26.8% | Necaxa
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Puebla - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.3) |
3.47 ↓
(3.51) |
3.04 ↑
(2.81) |
6.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Puebla - Necaxa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Puebla (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Puebla will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 1.
- Puebla has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Necaxa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Puebla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Puebla: Castillo R.
(Injury)
Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
Maestro I.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Necaxa: Pena A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:27. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Necaxa?
Puebla has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Puebla?
Necaxa has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Necaxa were as follows:
19.09.2025
Necaxa
-
Puebla
1:0
18.04.2025
Puebla
-
Necaxa
0:1
13.07.2024
Necaxa
-
Puebla
4:1
19.01.2024
Puebla
-
Necaxa
1:2
08.10.2023
Necaxa
-
Puebla
1:2
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Toluca | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19:7 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Atlas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Club America | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Juarez | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Club Leon | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Puebla | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
