Result
19/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Necaxa
50.4% | Draw
26.5% | Puebla
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Necaxa - Puebla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.79) |
3.59 ↑
(3.3) |
4.01 ↑
(4) |
6.7%
(11.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 3.
- Necaxa is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Puebla is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Necaxa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Necaxa is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Puebla?
Necaxa has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Necaxa?
Puebla has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Puebla were as follows:
18.04.2025
Puebla
-
Necaxa
0:1
13.07.2024
Necaxa
-
Puebla
4:1
19.01.2024
Puebla
-
Necaxa
1:2
08.10.2023
Necaxa
-
Puebla
1:2
14.04.2023
Necaxa
-
Puebla
1:1
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monterrey | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Club America | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Tigres UANL | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Juarez | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Mazatlan FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Necaxa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Atlas | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 5 |
| 16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:18 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
