Necaxa vs Puebla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Necaxa - Puebla
Result
1:0
19/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 9
  • Referee: Camacho Peregrina J. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Claro Sports, VIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldPluto TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.69
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
74% (259/349)81% (318/393)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.060.24
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
2118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
126
Passes
74% (259/349)81% (318/393)
Long passes
40% (22/55)51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
63% (76/121)67% (62/93)
Crosses
27% (3/11)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.72
Throw-ins
2830
Fouls
612
Tackles
86% (12/14)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4039
Clearances
3320
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.240.06
Goals prevented
0.240.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Moyano F. (Own goal),
  • 45+7', Marin R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Fedorco J. , Navarro E. ,
  • 60', Sanchez R. , Rojas J. ,
  • 60', Palavecino A. , Cortez R. ,
  • 67', Castillo R. , Garnica B. ,
  • 67', Gamarra P. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 77', Perez P. , Jacob T. ,
  • 78', Calderon C. , Rossano F. ,
  • 80', Gonzalez O. , Baltazar C. ,
  • 80', Marin R. , Lozano E. ,
  • 87', De Buen D. , Andrade A. ,
  • 89', Rivas J. , Organista A. ,
  • 90+4', Rojas J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Necaxa
53.7%
Draw
25.4%
Puebla
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 27.3% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 25.9% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Necaxa - Puebla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.79)
    3.71
    (3.3)
    4.49
    (4)
    5.3%
    (11.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Necaxa - Puebla?
  • Users Predictions: Necaxa will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 3.
    • Necaxa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Puebla is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Necaxa is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Necaxa: Lara E. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Puebla: Guerra E. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Puebla were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Puebla - Necaxa 0:1
    13.07.2024 Necaxa - Puebla 4:1
    19.01.2024 Puebla - Necaxa 1:2
    08.10.2023 Necaxa - Puebla 1:2
    14.04.2023 Necaxa - Puebla 1:1
    Latest results of Necaxa
    12.09.2025 Necaxa - Juárez 1:1
    31.08.2025 Tijuana - Necaxa 3:0
    23.08.2025 Monterrey - Necaxa 3:0
    15.08.2025 Necaxa - Club León 0:1
    10.08.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 1:1
    Latest results of Puebla
    13.09.2025 Toluca - Puebla 3:1
    29.08.2025 Puebla - Monterrey 2:4
    24.08.2025 UNAM - Puebla 0:0
    20.08.2025 Seattle Sounders - Puebla 1:0
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca1291235:161928
    2Club America1283126:111527
    3Cruz Azul1274122:15725
    4Monterrey1181223:17625
    5Tigres UANL1265122:101223
    6Pachuca1262416:13320
    7Club Tijuana1154221:111019
    8Juarez1253416:15118
    9Guadalajara Chivas1142516:17-114
    10UNAM Pumas1134414:17-313
    11Atlas1234521:27-613
    12Club Leon1233612:22-1012
    13Mazatlan FC1225515:21-611
    14Queretaro1232714:21-711
    15Atl. San Luis1231817:20-310
    16Santos Laguna1231813:21-810
    17Necaxa1223711:21-109
    18Puebla1212910:29-195

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