Necaxa vs Puebla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Necaxa - Puebla
Result
1:0
19/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 9
  • Referee: Camacho Peregrina J. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Claro Sports, VIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldPluto TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.69
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
74% (259/349)81% (318/393)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.820.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.060.24
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
79
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
2118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
126
Passes
74% (259/349)81% (318/393)
Long passes
40% (22/55)51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
63% (76/121)67% (62/93)
Crosses
27% (3/11)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.72
Throw-ins
2830
Fouls
612
Tackles
86% (12/14)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4039
Clearances
3320
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.240.06
Goals prevented
0.240.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Moyano F. (Own goal),
  • 45+7', Marin R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Fedorco J. , Navarro E. ,
  • 60', Sanchez R. , Rojas J. ,
  • 60', Palavecino A. , Cortez R. ,
  • 67', Castillo R. , Garnica B. ,
  • 67', Gamarra P. , Ramirez M. ,
  • 77', Perez P. , Jacob T. ,
  • 78', Calderon C. , Rossano F. ,
  • 80', Gonzalez O. , Baltazar C. ,
  • 80', Marin R. , Lozano E. ,
  • 87', De Buen D. , Andrade A. ,
  • 89', Rivas J. , Organista A. ,
  • 90+4', Rojas J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Necaxa
53.7%
Draw
25.4%
Puebla
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 27.3% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 25.9% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Necaxa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Puebla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Necaxa - Puebla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.79)
    3.71
    (3.3)
    4.49
    (4)
    5.3%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Necaxa - Puebla?
  • Users Predictions: Necaxa will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 18).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 3.
    • Necaxa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Puebla is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Necaxa is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Necaxa: Lara E. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Puebla: Guerra E. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Puebla were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Puebla - Necaxa 0:1
    13.07.2024 Necaxa - Puebla 4:1
    19.01.2024 Puebla - Necaxa 1:2
    08.10.2023 Necaxa - Puebla 1:2
    14.04.2023 Necaxa - Puebla 1:1
    Latest results of Necaxa
    12.09.2025 Necaxa - Juárez 1:1
    31.08.2025 Tijuana - Necaxa 3:0
    23.08.2025 Monterrey - Necaxa 3:0
    15.08.2025 Necaxa - Club León 0:1
    10.08.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 1:1
    Latest results of Puebla
    13.09.2025 Toluca - Puebla 3:1
    29.08.2025 Puebla - Monterrey 2:4
    24.08.2025 UNAM - Puebla 0:0
    20.08.2025 Seattle Sounders - Puebla 1:0
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca ✔ 14102239:162332
    2Tigres UANL ✔ 1595131:141732
    3Club America ✔ 1594231:161531
    4Monterrey ✔ 1493230:22830
    5Cruz Azul ✔ 1485125:17829
    6Guadalajara Chivas1572624:20423
    7Club Tijuana1556426:19721
    8Pachuca1463519:17221
    9Juarez1555524:25-120
    10Atl. San Luis1451820:20016
    11Atlas1544724:33-916
    12UNAM Pumas1536617:22-515
    13Santos Laguna1442817:23-614
    14Queretaro1442815:25-1014
    15Mazatlan FC1527619:27-813
    16Club Leon1534813:27-1413
    17Necaxa1424815:27-1210
    18Puebla15231019:38-199

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)