Result
2:1
07/03/2026 at 20:06 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | FOX+, FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (300/357) | 85% (457/537) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (300/357) | 85% (457/537) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (29/55) | 43% (22/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (55/91) | 69% (94/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 3', Eduardo Bauermann 🟨,
- 20', Sanchez C. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Rey L. ↓, Organista A. ↑,
- 49', Diaz N. 🟨,
- 54', Organista A. 🟨,
- 59', Idrissi O. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
- 61', Velasco K. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
- 61', Gomez E. ↓, Lozano E. ↑,
- 66', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
- 69', Rodriguez S. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 69', Rondon S. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 0, Guzman V. ⚽,
- 76', Guerra E. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
- 78', Rivera C. 🟨,
- 78', 1 - 1, Pachuca Martinez J. R. ⚽, Baltazar C. (A),
- 82', Pachuca Martinez J. R. 🟨,
- 86', Dominguez A. ↓, Quinones L. ↑,
- 86', Kenedy ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Valencia E. ⚽, Garcia Caprizo B. A. (A),
- 90+1', Monarrez F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pachuca
52.3% | Draw
25.9% | Puebla
21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pachuca's form might have worsened.Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pachuca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-5%)
Pachuca - Puebla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.61) |
3.61 ↓
(3.92) |
4.29 ↓
(5.44) |
6.4%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pachuca - Puebla?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Puebla (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Pachuca will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 1 - 50%). Puebla (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 3.
- Pachuca is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Puebla has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pachuca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Pachuca is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
Mozo A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Puebla: Castillo R.
(Injury)
Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
Maestro I.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Pachuca: Kenedy
(Injury)
Montiel E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Puebla: Navarro E.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 13 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 45:20. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Puebla?
Pachuca has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Pachuca?
Puebla has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Puebla were as follows:
23.09.2025
Puebla
-
Pachuca
2:2
26.02.2025
Pachuca
-
Puebla
2:1
20.09.2024
Puebla
-
Pachuca
2:3
20.02.2024
Puebla
-
Pachuca
1:4
28.10.2023
Pachuca
-
Puebla
1:1
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Toluca | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19:7 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Atlas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Club America | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Juarez | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Club Leon | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Puebla | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
