Result
2:2
23/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Peinaldo Aguirre Y. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (293/380) | 79% (265/335) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 2.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (293/380) | 79% (265/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (17/47) | 37% (19/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (60/94) | 75% (77/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.63 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', Navarro E. 🟨,
- 25', Idrissi O. (Pen),
- 25', 0 - 1, Idrissi O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Castillo R. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
- 46', Rivas J. ↓, Guerra E. ↑,
- 46', Gonzalez O. ↓, Organista A. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Gomez E. ⚽, Moyano F. (A),
- 51', Moyano F. 🟨,
- 62', Moyano F. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
- 67', Kenedy ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
- 67', Idrissi O. ↓, Togni G. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Gomez E. ⚽, Baltazar C. (A),
- 77', Valencia E. ↓, Cadiz J. ↑,
- 77', Garcia Caprizo B. A. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
- 80', Navarro E. ↓, Orona E. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 2, Bautista A. ⚽, Cadiz J. (A),
- 84', Marin R. 🟨,
- 84', Eduardo Bauermann 🟨,
- 86', Pedraza P. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
- 90+1', Gamarra P. 🟨,
- 90+6', Bautista A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Puebla
24.7% | Draw
25.2% | Pachuca
50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Puebla - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.8 ↑
(3.6) |
3.74 ↓
(3.8) |
1.88 ↑
(1.76) |
6.3%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Puebla - Pachuca?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Puebla will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Pachuca will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pachuca: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 0.
- In recent games, both teams have suffered a series of defeats.
- Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Puebla has had a series of away games.
- Pachuca might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Pachuca: Carvalho W.
(Muscle Injury)
Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Puebla: Fedorco J.
(Injury)
Guerra E.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:45. (average 1.1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:26. (average 1.3:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Pachuca?
Puebla has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Puebla?
Pachuca has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Pachuca were as follows:
26.02.2025
Pachuca
-
Puebla
2:1
20.09.2024
Puebla
-
Pachuca
2:3
20.02.2024
Puebla
-
Pachuca
1:4
28.10.2023
Pachuca
-
Puebla
1:1
09.01.2023
Pachuca
-
Puebla
5:1
Latest results of Pachuca
Draw
Apertura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Toluca (1) | Juarez (8) | 0 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Club America (4) | Monterrey (5) | 2 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL (2) | Club Tijuana (7) | 5 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (3) | Guadalajara Chivas (6) | 3 : 2, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Toluca (1) | Monterrey (5) | 3 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL (2) | Cruz Azul (3) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Toluca (1) | Tigres UANL (2) | |
