Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Puszcza Niepołomice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 19
  • Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
16
Yellow Cards
45
Total shots
910
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
37
Corner Kicks
16
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
2117
Throw-ins
2322
Fouls
1621

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Stec J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Konstantyn J. , Adamski R. (A),
  • 55', Korczakowski O. 🟨,
  • 58', Iwao K. , Kikis ,
  • 58', Kasolik K. , Stepien M. ,
  • 58', Kanach R. , Smiglewski K. ,
  • 61', Adamski R. 🟨,
  • 66', Jaron D. , Szczepaniak M. ,
  • 71', Szczepaniak M. 🟨,
  • 73', Walski M. 🟨,
  • 74', Barczak N. 🟨,
  • 77', Kikis 🟨,
  • 77', Walski M. , Francois E. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Stepien K. , Cholewiak M. (A),
  • 83', Gajgier A. 🟨,
  • 85', Jedrasik J. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 90', Konstantyn J. , Kargulewicz K. ,
  • 90', Olewinski O. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 90+3', Farbiszewski B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
45.6%
Draw
26.7%
Puszcza Niepołomice
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 24.6% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 23.8% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Puszcza Niepołomice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.85)
    3.5
    (3.79)
    3.34
    (3.75)
    7.5%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Puszcza Niepołomice?
  • Users Predictions: Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion MZOS Znicz.
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Puszcza has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Puszcza Niepołomice were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1:1
    Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla22146253:183548
    2Chrobry Glogow22115631:201138
    3Wieczysta Krakow22107547:331437
    4Polonia Warszawa22107537:31637
    5Grodzisk M2299439:291036
    6S. Rzeszow22105735:35035
    7Polonia Bytom22105737:28935
    8Slask Wroclaw2297640:36434
    9Legnica22104839:39034
    10LKS Lodz2295834:35-132
    11Ruch Chorzow2287734:33131
    12Odra Opole2268821:27-626
    13Pogon Siedlce2268824:24026
    14Puszcza22510727:29-225
    15Pruszkow22541323:44-2119
    16Leczna22291125:41-1615
    17Tychy22351427:48-2114
    18Stal Mielec22351425:48-2314

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2