Puszcza Niepołomice vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Result
1:1
26/07/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 2
  • Referee: Myszka M. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
99
Blocked Shots
00
Corner Kicks
64
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1316
Throw-ins
3227
Fouls
1213
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Gajgier A. (Own goal),
  • 25', Noiszewski K. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 1, Wypart O. , Korczakowski I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Lis J. 🟨,
  • 51', Adamski R. 🟨,
  • 60', Kanach R. , Francois E. ,
  • 63', Kasolik K. 🟨,
  • 63', Lis J. , Szczepaniak M. ,
  • 64', Wypart O. , Konstantyn J. ,
  • 78', Smiglewski K. , Iwao K. ,
  • 78', Stepien K. , Przybylko K. ,
  • 78', Solowiej L. , Stec J. ,
  • 78', Korczakowski I. , Jedrasik J. ,
  • 85', Stepien M. , Korczakowski O. ,
  • 85', Kargulewicz K. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 85', Adkonis J. , Staniszewski J. ,
  • 90+3', Cholewiak M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Puszcza Niepołomice
45.8%
Draw
26.6%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 25.6% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 26.4% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puszcza Niepołomice's form might have worsened.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.78)
    3.5
    (3.6)
    3.38
    (4.1)
    7.8%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Puszcza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Puszcza could have a small edge in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla971132:102222
    2Slask Wroclaw1062218:15320
    3Polonia Bytom1061318:12619
    4KS Wieczysta Krakow953120:91118
    5Ruch Chorzow1044215:12316
    6Grodzisk M1043320:16415
    7S. Rzeszow1042415:15014
    8Chrobry Glogow1034314:12213
    9Polonia Warszawa1034316:17-113
    10Odra Opole1034310:13-313
    11Pogon Siedlce1033411:10112
    12LKS Lodz1033414:14012
    13Tychy1032515:20-511
    14Legnica1032514:22-811
    15Stal Mielec1032513:21-811
    16Puszcza101639:12-39
    17Leczna1006413:22-96
    18Pruszkow1020812:27-156

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2