Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Puszcza Niepołomice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 19
  • Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
16
Yellow Cards
45
Total shots
910
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
37
Corner Kicks
16
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
2117
Throw-ins
2322
Fouls
1621

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Stec J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Konstantyn J. , Adamski R. (A),
  • 55', Korczakowski O. 🟨,
  • 58', Iwao K. , Kikis ,
  • 58', Kasolik K. , Stepien M. ,
  • 58', Kanach R. , Smiglewski K. ,
  • 61', Adamski R. 🟨,
  • 66', Jaron D. , Szczepaniak M. ,
  • 71', Szczepaniak M. 🟨,
  • 73', Walski M. 🟨,
  • 74', Barczak N. 🟨,
  • 77', Kikis 🟨,
  • 77', Walski M. , Francois E. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Stepien K. , Cholewiak M. (A),
  • 83', Gajgier A. 🟨,
  • 85', Jedrasik J. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 90', Konstantyn J. , Kargulewicz K. ,
  • 90', Olewinski O. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 90+3', Farbiszewski B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
45.6%
Draw
26.7%
Puszcza Niepołomice
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 24.6% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 23.8% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Puszcza Niepołomice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.85)
    3.5
    (3.79)
    3.34
    (3.75)
    7.5%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Puszcza Niepołomice?
  • Users Predictions: Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion MZOS Znicz.
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Puszcza has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Puszcza Niepołomice were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1:1
    Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla25157357:243352
    2Slask Wroclaw25127649:391043
    3Grodzisk M25119544:35942
    4Chrobry Glogow25125836:241241
    5Wieczysta Krakow24117651:351640
    6Polonia Warszawa25117741:36540
    7Ruch Chorzow25117738:34440
    8Legnica25115943:43038
    9LKS Lodz25107836:36037
    10S. Rzeszow25106937:39-236
    11Polonia Bytom24105938:31735
    12Puszcza25810734:31334
    13Odra Opole2579925:32-730
    14Pogon Siedlce2579926:28-230
    15Stal Mielec25551532:50-1820
    16Pruszkow25551526:49-2320
    17Leczna252111227:46-1917
    18Tychy25351730:58-2814

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2