Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Puszcza Niepołomice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 19
  • Referee: Sulikowski D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
16
Yellow Cards
45
Total shots
910
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
37
Corner Kicks
16
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
2117
Throw-ins
2322
Fouls
1621

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45', Stec J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 1 - 0, Konstantyn J. , Adamski R. (A),
  • 55', Korczakowski O. 🟨,
  • 58', Iwao K. , Kikis ,
  • 58', Kasolik K. , Stepien M. ,
  • 58', Kanach R. , Smiglewski K. ,
  • 61', Adamski R. 🟨,
  • 66', Jaron D. , Szczepaniak M. ,
  • 71', Szczepaniak M. 🟨,
  • 73', Walski M. 🟨,
  • 74', Barczak N. 🟨,
  • 77', Kikis 🟨,
  • 77', Walski M. , Francois E. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Stepien K. , Cholewiak M. (A),
  • 83', Gajgier A. 🟨,
  • 85', Jedrasik J. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 90', Konstantyn J. , Kargulewicz K. ,
  • 90', Olewinski O. , Barnowski D. ,
  • 90+3', Farbiszewski B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
45.6%
Draw
26.7%
Puszcza Niepołomice
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 24.6% 24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 23.8% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Puszcza Niepołomice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.85)
    3.5
    (3.79)
    3.34
    (3.75)
    7.5%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Puszcza Niepołomice?
  • Users Predictions: Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion MZOS Znicz.
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Puszcza has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grodzisk Mazowiecki won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Puszcza Niepołomice were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki 1:1
    Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla301611365:313459
    2Slask Wroclaw30159660:441654
    3Wieczysta Krakow30148860:431750
    4Chrobry Glogow301461041:291248
    5Polonia Warszawa30138946:43347
    6Ruch Chorzow301111844:42244
    7LKS Lodz29128944:42244
    8Grodzisk M291110847:44343
    9Legnica301271147:50-343
    10Puszcza301012841:37442
    11Polonia Bytom301181147:40741
    12S. Rzeszow301161342:49-739
    13Odra Opole309111028:35-738
    14Pogon Siedlce30991231:32-136
    15Stal Mielec30851743:58-1529
    16Leczna305121337:51-1427
    17Pruszkow30671734:58-2425
    18Tychy30561935:64-2921

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2