Qarabağ Agdam vs Sabah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
03/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Azerbaijan Cup - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Jabarov R. (Aze)

Match Stats

Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
54
Corner kicks
74
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
97
Corner kicks
74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', Dashdamirov R. 🟨,
  • 23', 0 - 1, Rakhmonaliyev U. ,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Kady Borges ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Montiel J. 🟨,
  • 60', 2 - 1, Kady Borges ,
  • 65', 2 - 2, Rakhmonaliyev U. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 68', Aliyev K. , Mickels J. ,
  • 68', Malouda A. , Isayev A. ,
  • 75', Zoubir A. , Addai E. ,
  • 75', Montiel J. , Jankovic M. ,
  • 79', Cafarquliyev E. 🟨,
  • 81', Leandro Andrade , Qurbanly M. ,
  • 86', Isayev A. 🟨,
  • 86', Parris K. , Mbina O. ,
  • 89', Lepinjica I. , Khaybulaev A. ,

Chances of winning


Qarabağ Agdam
49.2%
Draw
27.7%
Sabah
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 26.6% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2% 28.6% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Sabah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sabah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.02)
    3.31
    (3.4)
    3.98
    (3.17)
    9.1%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 0.
    • Qarabağ is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sabah is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Qarabağ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Qarabağ might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 44:33. (average 2.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Qarabağ won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:22. (average 2.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah were as follows:
    01.03.2026 Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah 3:3
    18.12.2025 Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam 2:1
    31.05.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah 2:3
    27.04.2025 Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam 1:1
    22.02.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah 1:1
    Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
    20.03.2026 Kapaz - Qarabağ Agdam 1:0
    14.03.2026 Zira - Qarabağ Agdam 1:3
    04.03.2026 Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi 3:1
    01.03.2026 Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah 3:3
    Latest results of Sabah
    19.03.2026 Sabah - Sumgayit 3:1
    14.03.2026 İmişli - Sabah 0:5
    10.03.2026 Sabah - Gabala 7:1
    05.03.2026 Gabala - Sabah 3:4
    01.03.2026 Qarabağ Agdam - Sabah 3:3
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/16-finals
    1SabailShamakhi0 : 1
    2GoygolBaku Sporting0 : 2
    3QarabagBye
    4KarvanSheki City3 : 1
    5LokbatanImisli FK2 : 3
    6ByeSabah Baku
    7GabalaMingachevir5 : 1
    8CebrayilSafa Baku0 : 3
    9ShimalSahdag Qusar0 : 2
    10Dinamo BakiTuran Tovuz0 : 5
    11ArazBye
    12KapazAgstafa Gencleri6 : 1
    13KhankendiDifai Agsu1 : 2
    14ZaqatalaSumqayit0 : 3
    15ZiraBye
    16Neftci BakuMOIK Baku6 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1ShamakhiBaku Sporting1 : 0
    2QarabagKarvan3 : 0
    3Imisli FKSabah Baku1 : 2
    4GabalaSafa Baku2 : 1
    5Sahdag QusarTuran Tovuz1 : 2
    6ArazKapaz0 : 1
    7Difai AgsuSumqayit1 : 3
    8ZiraNeftci Baku1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1ShamakhiQarabag1 : 3, 2 : 1
    2Sabah BakuGabala4 : 3, 0 : 0
    3Turan TovuzKapaz2 : 0, 1 : 0
    4SumqayitZira0 : 2, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1QarabagSabah Baku2 : 2
    2Turan TovuzZira0 : 2

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2