Shamakhi vs Qarabağ Agdam – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Azerbaijan Premier League Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam
Result
0:1
24/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
411
Shots on target
15
Corner Kicks
314
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
411
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
314
Goalkeeper Saves
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Velijev M. 🟨,
  • 37', Kady Borges 🟨,
  • 43', Masimov V. 🟨,
  • 43', Kashchuk O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 68', Msanga A. 🟨,
  • 68', Jankovic M. 🟨,
  • 68', Kashchuk O. , Qurbanly M. ,
  • 68', Zoubir A. , Addai E. ,
  • 78', Mammadli F. , Mukhtarov C. ,
  • 81', Kady Borges , Xhixha R. ,
  • 84', Velijev M. , Khasiyev N. ,
  • 86', 0 - 1, Addai E. ,
  • 88', Msanga A. , Agamaliyev N. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Shamakhi
8.2%
Draw
17%
Qarabağ Agdam
74.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.5% 23.9% 55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5% 22.8% 58.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shamakhi's form might have worsened.
  • Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qarabağ Agdam's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shamakhi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-16.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qarabağ Agdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    11.4
    (4.45)
    5.5
    (3.82)
    1.25
    (1.64)
    6.9%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Qarabağ Agdam will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Qarabağ is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 0.
    • Shamakhi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Qarabağ is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Shamakhi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Qarabağ has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Qarabağ is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 7:51. (average 0.4:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shamakhi won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:19. (average 0.3:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam were as follows:
    17.01.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi 3:2
    19.12.2024 Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam 0:1
    27.10.2024 Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi 3:0
    02.04.2023 Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam 0:1
    31.01.2023 Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi 3:1
    Latest results of Shamakhi
    17.05.2025 Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan 0:1
    09.05.2025 Sabah - Shamakhi 3:1
    03.05.2025 Shamakhi - Səbail 1:1
    25.04.2025 Turan Tovuz - Shamakhi 1:1
    20.04.2025 Shamakhi - Kapaz 2:1
    Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
    Azerbaijan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sumqayit22004:046
    2Karvan21104:314
    3Sabah Baku11002:113
    4Turan Tovuz11001:013
    5Neftci Baku20201:102
    6Gabala10101:101
    7Araz10101:101
    8Zira10101:101
    9Shamakhi20112:3-11
    10Imisli FK20110:1-11
    11Qarabag10010:1-10
    12Kapaz20022:6-40

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