Result
0:0
11/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 27
- Referee: Mammadov I. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Adilkhanov E. ↓, Msanga A. ↑,
- 59', Shuaibu A. ↓, Ismayilov H. ↑,
- 62', Kady Borges 🟨,
- 63', Duran C. 🟨,
- 67', Huseynov A. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
- 67', Kady Borges ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
- 72', Zoubir A. ↓, Jankovic M. ↑,
- 79', Rzayev A. ↓, Tircoveanu A. ↑,
- 82', Ismayilov H. 🟨,
- 86', Mammadov O. ↓, Suleymanov E. ↑,
- 89', Ricardo Fernandes 🟨,
- 89', Jankovic M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shamakhi
10.8% | Draw
18.8% | Qarabağ Agdam
70.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qarabağ Agdam's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qarabağ Agdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.64 ↑
(6.45) |
4.94 ↑
(3.83) |
1.32 ↓
(1.46) |
7.6%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Qarabağ will win (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 1-2. Aggregate: 4-3. Second leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 1.
- Shamakhi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Qarabağ is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Shamakhi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Qarabağ is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 9:46. (average 0.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shamakhi won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Shamakhi won against Qarabağ Agdam?
Shamakhi has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Qarabağ Agdam won against Shamakhi?
Qarabağ Agdam has won 10 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shamakhi - Qarabağ Agdam were as follows:
04.03.2026
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Shamakhi
3:1
10.02.2026
Shamakhi
-
Qarabağ Agdam
1:2
05.02.2026
Shamakhi
-
Qarabağ Agdam
2:1
26.10.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Shamakhi
0:0
24.05.2025
Shamakhi
-
Qarabağ Agdam
0:1
Latest results of Shamakhi
Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 33:18 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
