Qingdao West Coast vs Beijing Guoan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
16/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 21
  • Referee: Tang S. (Chn)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.041.06
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
118
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
73% (220/301)86% (439/509)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.041.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.741.79
Total shots
118
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
87
Shots outside the Box
30
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
03
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2024
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
70
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
73% (220/301)86% (439/509)
Long passes
30% (18/60)49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
57% (60/105)69% (50/72)
Crosses
13% (2/15)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.511.28
Throw-ins
2224
Fouls
1115
Tackles
58% (15/26)35% (7/20)
Duels won
5449
Clearances
1737
Interceptions
198
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.791.74
Goals prevented
-1.210.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', 0 - 1, Abreu F. , Yang Liyu (A),
  • 45+2', Li Lei 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', Abreu F. 🟨,
  • 55', Yang Liyu , Wu Shaocong ,
  • 55', Dawhan , Guga ,
  • 62', Zhang X. , Xu Bin ,
  • 62', Iminqari M. , Liu Xiaolong ,
  • 64', Fan Shuangjie , Serginho ,
  • 64', Li Ruiyue , Zhang Xizhe ,
  • 64', Matheus Indio , Chen Po-Liang ,
  • 65', Cao Yongjing 🟨,
  • 72', Cao Yongjing , He Yupeng ,
  • 77', Yang A. 🟨,
  • 80', 0 - 2, Lin Liangming , Zhang Xizhe (A),
  • 85', 0 - 3, Abreu F. , Zhang Xizhe (A),
  • 89', Duan Liuyu 🟨,
  • 90', Yakubu A. , Gao Di ,
  • 90', Duan Liuyu , Shan Huanhuan ,
  • 90+11', 1 - 3, Davidson (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Qingdao West Coast
26.2%
Draw
24.3%
Beijing Guoan
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.5% 23% 53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1% 22.6% 54.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qingdao West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.58
    (3.97)
    3.87
    (4.06)
    1.92
    (1.75)
    5.9%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Qingdao West Coast will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Beijing Guoan (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Beijing Guoan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi (Knee Injury) Zhang Yuan (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Qingdao West Coast: Ding Haifeng (Injury) Zhang X. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Spajic U. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1.2:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan were as follows:
    22.07.2025 Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan 2:3
    17.06.2025 Beijing Guoan - Qingdao West Coast 1:0
    11.08.2024 Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan 2:2
    21.04.2024 Beijing Guoan - Qingdao West Coast 4:1
    26.07.2023 Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan 1:4
    Latest results of Beijing Guoan
    Chinese Super League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chengdu Rongcheng00000:000
    2Liaoning Tieren00000:000
    3Shenzhen Xinpengcheng00000:000
    4Qingdao West Coast00000:000
    5Dalian Yingbo00000:000
    6Chongqing Tonglianglong00000:000
    7Yunnan Yukun00000:000
    8Beijing Guoan00000:00-5
    9Zhejiang Professional00000:00-5
    10Shanghai Port00000:00-5
    11Wuhan Three Towns00000:00-5
    12Henan Songshan Longmen00000:00-6
    13Shandong Taishan00000:00-6
    14Qingdao Hainiu00000:00-7
    15Shanghai Shenhua00000:00-10
    16Tianjin Jinmen Tiger00000:00-10

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ League One