Result
2:3 penalties
22/07/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FA Cup - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.49 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
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| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (210/316) | 74% (363/490) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.49 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.34 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 8 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 7 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 31 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
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| 10 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
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| 66% (210/316) | 74% (363/490) |
| Long passes |
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| 25% (20/81) | 44% (45/102) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 61% (68/111) | 49% (64/131) |
| Crosses |
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| 30% (9/30) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.40 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 46 |
| Fouls |
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| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
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| 84% (21/25) | 89% (17/19) |
| Duels won |
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| 64 | 62 |
| Clearances |
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| 31 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
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| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.94 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -1.06 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Zhang Yuning ↓, Abreu F. ↑,
- 36', Matheus Indio 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Wang Gang ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
- 46', Wang Peng ↓, Duan Liuyu ↑,
- 52', 0 - 1, Wang Ziming ⚽,
- 58', Spajic U. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 1, Yakubu A. ⚽,
- 65', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Guga ↑,
- 65', Spajic U. ↓, Wu Shaocong ↑,
- 90', Da Luz N. ↓, Iminqari M. ↑,
- 90', He Longhai ↓, Ding Haifeng ↑,
- 90+2', Wang Ziming ↓, Muhmet N. ↑,
- 90+5', 🟨,
- Extra Time (1 - 1)
- 99', Zhang Chengdong ↓, Sun Jie ↑,
- 106', Chi Zhongguo ↓, Cao Yongjing ↑,
- 117', 1 - 2, Cao Yongjing ⚽, Ngadeu M. (A),
- 117', Cao Yongjing 🟨,
- 119', 2 - 2, Davidson ⚽, Ding Haifeng (A),
- Penalties (2 - 4)
- 1, Yakubu A. (Pen),
- 1, Abreu F. (Pen),
- 2, Matheus Indio (Pen),
- 2, Ngadeu M. (Pen),
- 3, Duan Liuyu (Pen),
- 3, Muhmet N. (Pen),
- 4, Ding Haifeng (Pen),
- 4, Dawhan (Pen),
Chances of winning
Qingdao West Coast
25.4% | Draw
25.8% | Beijing Guoan
48.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qingdao West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qingdao West Coast's performance.Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beijing Guoan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qingdao West Coast that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beijing Guoan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.85 ↓
(5.18) |
3.79 ↓
(4.16) |
2 ↑
(1.56) |
2.3%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Qingdao West Coast will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Qingdao West Coast (votes: 2 - 50%). Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Qingdao West Coast has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Beijing Guoan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Beijing Guoan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Qingdao West Coast has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Beijing Guoan is a strong favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 1:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao West Coast won against Beijing Guoan?
Qingdao West Coast has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Qingdao West Coast?
Beijing Guoan has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan were as follows:
17.06.2025
Beijing Guoan
-
Qingdao West Coast
1:0
11.08.2024
Qingdao West Coast
-
Beijing Guoan
2:2
21.04.2024
Beijing Guoan
-
Qingdao West Coast
4:1
26.07.2023
Qingdao West Coast
-
Beijing Guoan
1:4
Latest results of Qingdao West Coast
Latest results of Beijing Guoan
Draw
20251/64-finals| 1 | Quanzhou Yassin | Wenzhou Professional | 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Bye | Dalian K'un City | |
| 4 | Bye | Changchun Yatai | |
| 5 | Shenzhen Jixiang | Guangxi Lanhang | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Yanbian Longding | |
| 8 | Bye | Qingdao West Coast | |
| 9 | Ningbo Fioren | Guangdong Mingtu | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Bye | Shenzhen Juniors | |
| 12 | Bye | Dalian Yingbo | |
| 13 | Qingdao May Wind | Taian Tiankuang | 1 : 5 |
| 14 | Bye | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | |
| 16 | Bye | Beijing Guoan | |
| 17 | Wuhan Lianzhen | Shenzhen | 0 : 1 |
| 18 | Bye | Shaanxi Union | |
| 20 | Bye | Wuhan Three Towns | |
| 21 | Shanghai Segenda | Kunming City Star | 1 : 0 |
| 22 | Bye | Dingnan Ganlian | |
| 24 | Bye | Yunnan Yukun | |
| 25 | Chongqing Chunlei | Beijing Technology | 1 : 0 |
| 26 | Bye | Guangdong GZ-Power | |
| 28 | Bye | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | |
| 29 | Guangdong Shudihong | Guizhou Zhucheng | 0 : 4 |
| 30 | Bye | Foshan Nanshi | |
| 32 | Bye | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | |
| 33 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | Lanzhou Longyuan | 0 : 1 |
| 34 | Bye | Liaoning Tieren | |
| 36 | Bye | Qingdao Hainiu | |
| 37 | Changchun Xidu | Guangxi Hengchen | 0 : 1 |
| 38 | Bye | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | |
| 40 | Bye | Meizhou Hakka | |
| 41 | Xiamen Chengyi | Jiangxi Lushan | 0 : 3 |
| 42 | Bye | Qingdao Red Lions | |
| 44 | Bye | Shandong Taishan | |
| 45 | Shanghai Changning | Nantong Haimen | 0 : 3 |
| 46 | Bye | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | |
| 48 | Bye | Chengdu Rongcheng | |
| 49 | Quanzhou Qinggong | Hangzhou Linping | 1 : 0 |
| 50 | Bye | Suzhou Dongwu | |
| 52 | Bye | Shanghai Port | |
| 53 | Shanghai Zetian | Wuxi Wugou | 0 : 2 |
| 54 | Bye | Nantong Zhiyun | |
| 56 | Bye | Shanghai Shenhua | |
| 57 | Shaanxi Northwest | Ganzhou Ruishi | 4 : 1 |
| 58 | Bye | Chongqing Tonglianglong | |
| 60 | Bye | Henan Songshan Longmen | |
| 61 | Guangzhou Dandelion | Hubei Istar | 3 : 2 |
| 62 | Bye | Nanjing City | |
| 64 | Bye | Zhejiang Professional | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Wenzhou Professional | Dalian K'un City | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Bye | Changchun Yatai | |
| 3 | Shenzhen Jixiang | Yanbian Longding | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Qingdao West Coast | |
| 5 | Guangdong Mingtu | Shenzhen Juniors | 2 : 3 |
| 6 | Bye | Dalian Yingbo | |
| 7 | Taian Tiankuang | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Beijing Guoan | |
| 9 | Shenzhen | Shaanxi Union | 0 : 4 |
| 10 | Bye | Wuhan Three Towns | |
| 11 | Shanghai Segenda | Dingnan Ganlian | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Yunnan Yukun | |
| 13 | Chongqing Chunlei | Guangdong GZ-Power | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Bye | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | |
| 15 | Guizhou Zhucheng | Foshan Nanshi | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | |
| 17 | Lanzhou Longyuan | Liaoning Tieren | 0 : 2 |
| 18 | Bye | Qingdao Hainiu | |
| 19 | Guangxi Hengchen | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 2 : 1 |
| 20 | Bye | Meizhou Hakka | |
| 21 | Jiangxi Lushan | Qingdao Red Lions | 0 : 1 |
| 22 | Bye | Shandong Taishan | |
| 23 | Nantong Haimen | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 0 : 1 |
| 24 | Bye | Chengdu Rongcheng | |
| 25 | Quanzhou Qinggong | Suzhou Dongwu | 0 : 4 |
| 26 | Bye | Shanghai Port | |
| 27 | Wuxi Wugou | Nantong Zhiyun | 2 : 0 |
| 28 | Bye | Shanghai Shenhua | |
| 29 | Shaanxi Northwest | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 0 : 1 |
| 30 | Bye | Henan Songshan Longmen | |
| 31 | Guangzhou Dandelion | Nanjing City | 1 : 0 |
| 32 | Bye | Zhejiang Professional | |
1/16-finals| 1 | Dalian K'un City | Changchun Yatai | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Yanbian Longding | Qingdao West Coast | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Shenzhen Juniors | Dalian Yingbo | 1 : 5 |
| 4 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | Beijing Guoan | 0 : 5 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | Wuhan Three Towns | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Dingnan Ganlian | Yunnan Yukun | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Guangdong GZ-Power | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Guizhou Zhucheng | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Liaoning Tieren | Qingdao Hainiu | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Guangxi Hengchen | Meizhou Hakka | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Qingdao Red Lions | Shandong Taishan | 0 : 5 |
| 12 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | Chengdu Rongcheng | 0 : 3 |
| 13 | Suzhou Dongwu | Shanghai Port | 2 : 6 |
| 14 | Wuxi Wugou | Shanghai Shenhua | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | Henan Songshan Longmen | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Guangzhou Dandelion | Zhejiang Professional | 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Dalian K'un City | Qingdao West Coast | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Dalian Yingbo | Beijing Guoan | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shaanxi Union | Yunnan Yukun | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Guangdong GZ-Power | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Qingdao Hainiu | Guangxi Hengchen | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | Chengdu Rongcheng | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | Shanghai Shenhua | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Henan Songshan Longmen | Zhejiang Professional | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Qingdao West Coast | Beijing Guoan | 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Yunnan Yukun | Guangdong GZ-Power | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Qingdao Hainiu | Chengdu Rongcheng | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Shanghai Shenhua | Henan Songshan Longmen | 3 : 4 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Beijing Guoan | Yunnan Yukun | |
| 2 | Chengdu Rongcheng | Henan Songshan Longmen | |
Final
