Result
1:3
16/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 21
- Referee: Tang S. (Chn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.04 | 1.06 |
Ball Possession |
---|
37% | 63% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
73% (220/301) | 86% (439/509) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.04 | 1.06 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.74 | 1.79 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
7 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
73% (220/301) | 86% (439/509) |
Long passes |
---|
30% (18/60) | 49% (21/43) |
Passes in final third |
---|
57% (60/105) | 69% (50/72) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (2/15) | 36% (5/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.51 | 1.28 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
58% (15/26) | 35% (7/20) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 37 |
Interceptions |
---|
19 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.79 | 1.74 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.21 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Abreu F. ⚽, Yang Liyu (A),
- 45+2', Li Lei 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', Abreu F. 🟨,
- 55', Yang Liyu ↓, Wu Shaocong ↑,
- 55', Dawhan ↓, Guga ↑,
- 62', Zhang X. ↓, Xu Bin ↑,
- 62', Iminqari M. ↓, Liu Xiaolong ↑,
- 64', Fan Shuangjie ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 64', Li Ruiyue ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
- 64', Matheus Indio ↓, Chen Po-Liang ↑,
- 65', Cao Yongjing 🟨,
- 72', Cao Yongjing ↓, He Yupeng ↑,
- 77', Yang A. 🟨,
- 80', 0 - 2, Lin Liangming ⚽, Zhang Xizhe (A),
- 85', 0 - 3, Abreu F. ⚽, Zhang Xizhe (A),
- 89', Duan Liuyu 🟨,
- 90', Yakubu A. ↓, Gao Di ↑,
- 90', Duan Liuyu ↓, Shan Huanhuan ↑,
- 90+11', 1 - 3, Davidson (Pen),
Chances of winning
Qingdao West Coast 26.2% | Draw 24.3% | Beijing Guoan 49.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qingdao West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.58 ↓ (3.97) |
3.87 ↓ (4.06) |
1.92 ↑ (1.75) |
5.9% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Qingdao West Coast will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Beijing Guoan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
Zhang Yuan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Qingdao West Coast: Ding Haifeng
(Injury)
Zhang X.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Spajic U.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1.2:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao West Coast won against Beijing Guoan?
Qingdao West Coast has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Qingdao West Coast?
Beijing Guoan has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan were as follows:
22.07.2025
Qingdao West Coast
-
Beijing Guoan
2:3
17.06.2025
Beijing Guoan
-
Qingdao West Coast
1:0
11.08.2024
Qingdao West Coast
-
Beijing Guoan
2:2
21.04.2024
Beijing Guoan
-
Qingdao West Coast
4:1
26.07.2023
Qingdao West Coast
-
Beijing Guoan
1:4
Latest results of Qingdao West Coast
Latest results of Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 49:25 | 24 | 49 |
2 | Shanghai Port | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 52:28 | 24 | 48 |
3 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 44:17 | 27 | 47 |
4 | Beijing Guoan | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 47:26 | 21 | 45 |
5 | Shandong Taishan | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 37 |
6 | Zhejiang Professional | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30:32 | -2 | 34 |
8 | Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 29 |
9 | Dalian Yingbo | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 29 |
10 | Qingdao West Coast | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29:34 | -5 | 27 |
11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 37:40 | -3 | 22 |
12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
13 | Meizhou Hakka | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 28:47 | -19 | 17 |
14 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 26:50 | -24 | 17 |
15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
16 | Changchun Yatai | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 18:36 | -18 | 15 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League