Result
1:3
16/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 21
- Referee: Tang S. (Chn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (220/301) | 86% (439/509) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (220/301) | 86% (439/509) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (18/60) | 49% (21/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (60/105) | 69% (50/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (15/26) | 35% (7/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.21 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Abreu F. ⚽, Yang Liyu (A),
- 45+2', Li Lei 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', Abreu F. 🟨,
- 55', Yang Liyu ↓, Wu Shaocong ↑,
- 55', Dawhan ↓, Guga ↑,
- 62', Zhang X. ↓, Xu Bin ↑,
- 62', Iminqari M. ↓, Liu Xiaolong ↑,
- 64', Fan Shuangjie ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 64', Li Ruiyue ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
- 64', Matheus Indio ↓, Chen Po-Liang ↑,
- 65', Cao Yongjing 🟨,
- 72', Cao Yongjing ↓, He Yupeng ↑,
- 77', Yang A. 🟨,
- 80', 0 - 2, Lin Liangming ⚽, Zhang Xizhe (A),
- 85', 0 - 3, Abreu F. ⚽, Zhang Xizhe (A),
- 89', Duan Liuyu 🟨,
- 90', Yakubu A. ↓, Gao Di ↑,
- 90', Duan Liuyu ↓, Shan Huanhuan ↑,
- 90+11', 1 - 3, Davidson (Pen),
Chances of winning
Qingdao West Coast
26.2% | Draw
24.3% | Beijing Guoan
49.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qingdao West Coast has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.58 ↓
(3.97) |
3.87 ↓
(4.06) |
1.92 ↑
(1.75) |
5.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Qingdao West Coast will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Beijing Guoan (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Beijing Guoan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
Zhang Yuan
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Qingdao West Coast: Ding Haifeng
(Injury)
Zhang X.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Beijing Guoan: Spajic U.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1.2:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Qingdao West Coast won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao West Coast won against Beijing Guoan?
Qingdao West Coast has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Qingdao West Coast?
Beijing Guoan has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao West Coast - Beijing Guoan were as follows:
22.07.2025
Qingdao West Coast
-
Beijing Guoan
2:3
17.06.2025
Beijing Guoan
-
Qingdao West Coast
1:0
11.08.2024
Qingdao West Coast
-
Beijing Guoan
2:2
21.04.2024
Beijing Guoan
-
Qingdao West Coast
4:1
26.07.2023
Qingdao West Coast
-
Beijing Guoan
1:4
Latest results of Qingdao West Coast
Latest results of Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Yunnan Yukun | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Dalian Yingbo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Liaoning Tieren | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 7 | Qingdao West Coast | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
| 8 | Shandong Taishan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Zhejiang Professional | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 2 |
| 10 | Shanghai Shenhua | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:7 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | Shanghai Port | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Beijing Guoan | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | -1 |
| 14 | Wuhan Three Towns | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | -1 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | -3 |
| 16 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | -8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ League One
