Qizilqum vs Nasaf Qarshi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Qizilqum - Nasaf Qarshi
Result
0:1
21/09/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 22
  • Referee: Ismoilov I. (Uzb)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
12
Corner Kicks
65
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
105
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
93
Corner Kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Kumburovic N. , Kenzhaev I. ,
  • 17', Rakhmatov M. , Bakhromov S. ,
  • 45+5', Davronov A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Norkhonov S. , Paparyga R. ,
  • 68', Bozorov B. 🟨,
  • 70', Mukhitdinov S. , Gaybullaev G. ,
  • 70', Norchaev K. , Golban I. ,
  • 70', Abdirakhmatov Z. , Nurulloev S. ,
  • 74', Kenzhaboev I. 🟨,
  • 76', Gaybullaev G. 🟨,
  • 78', Bozorov O. , Sidikov J. ,
  • 81', Kenzhaboev I. , Anvarov D. ,
  • 90+3', 0 - 1, Ceran D. (Pen),
  • 90+6', Nurulloev S. 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Qizilqum
15.3%
Draw
29.3%
Nasaf Qarshi
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.3% 25.1% 60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9% 24.4% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qizilqum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Nasaf Qarshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nasaf Qarshi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qizilqum than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nasaf Qarshi than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nasaf Qarshi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Qizilqum - Nasaf Qarshi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.24
    (6.53)
    3.25
    (3.72)
    1.72
    (1.54)
    5%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qizilqum won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Nasaf may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Nasaf is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Qizilqum won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 11:31. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Qizilqum won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.9:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Qizilqum - Nasaf Qarshi were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Nasaf Qarshi - Qizilqum 4:0
    16.08.2024 Qizilqum - Nasaf Qarshi 0:1
    16.03.2024 Nasaf Qarshi - Qizilqum 2:1
    19.08.2023 Nasaf Qarshi - Qizilqum 0:0
    01.04.2023 Qizilqum - Nasaf Qarshi 1:1
    Latest results of Qizilqum
    13.09.2025 Kokand 1912 - Qizilqum 2:1
    22.08.2025 Qizilqum - Bunyodkor 1:1
    18.08.2025 Xorazm Urganch - Qizilqum 0:1
    12.08.2025 AGMK - Qizilqum 0:0
    08.08.2025 Qizilqum - Buxoro 1:0
    Latest results of Nasaf Qarshi
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi26169150:203057
    2Neftchi Fargona26176342:192357
    3Pakhtakor26164653:203352
    4Din. Samarkand25138439:281147
    5Bunyodkor261210442:311146
    6OKMK26125936:29741
    7Navbahor Namangan26107939:33637
    8Qizilqum26881022:33-1132
    9Sogdiana26871132:33-131
    10Kokand 191226851322:38-1629
    11Andijan24771032:39-728
    12Termez Surkhon25671219:28-925
    13Xorazm Urganch26661428:31-324
    14Buxoro26661427:45-1824
    15Mashal Muborak26651519:45-2623
    16Shortan Guzor26261819:49-3012

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Super League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pro Liga