Result
6:1
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 39
- Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (187/277) | 76% (298/392) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (187/277) | 76% (298/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (16/52) | 48% (27/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (30/66) | 68% (112/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 28% (10/36) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 2.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.47 | 2.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.47 | -3.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Smyth P. ⚽,
- 22', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
- 24', 2 - 0, Kolli R. ⚽, Smyth P. (A),
- 29', 3 - 0, Smyth P. ⚽, Vale H. (A),
- 32', Adams E. 🟨,
- 32', Hayden I. 🟨,
- 38', 3 - 1, Swift J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Segecic A. ↓, Bishop C. ↑,
- 50', Hayden I. ↓, Varane J. ↑,
- 55', 4 - 1, Kolli R. ⚽,
- 59', Shaughnessy C. ↓, Swanson Z. ↑,
- 60', Brown J. ↓, Caballero G. ↑,
- 60', Swift J. ↓, Chaplin C. ↑,
- 65', Smyth P. ↓, Poku K. ↑,
- 66', Mbengue A. S. ↓, Clarke-Salter J. ↑,
- 73', Norrington-Davies R. 🟨,
- 75', Alli M. ↓, Blair H. ↑,
- 82', Kolli R. ↓, Esquerdinha ↑,
- 83', Norrington-Davies R. ↓, Bennie D. ↑,
- 86', 5 - 1, Kone R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 88', 6 - 1, Kone R. ⚽,
- 90+2', Devlin T. 🟨,
- 90+4', Kone R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Queens Park Rangers
33.5% | Draw
30% | Portsmouth
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Queens Park Rangers's form might have worsened.Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portsmouth's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queens Park Rangers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portsmouth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Queens Park Rangers - Portsmouth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↑
(2.22) |
3.17 ↓
(3.41) |
2.6 ↓
(3.18) |
5.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Queens Park Rangers - Portsmouth?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. QPR will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for QPR: 48.9% – 92.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. QPR (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Portsmouth (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - QPR (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Portsmouth (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. QPR (votes: 2 - 40%). Portsmouth (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 17 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 1.
- QPR is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Portsmouth is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in QPR: Burrell R.
(Injury)
Chair I.
(Muscle Injury)
Cook S.
(Injury)
Dembele K.
(Injury)
Larkeche Z.
(Knee Injury)
Obikwu J.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Portsmouth: Alese A.
(Muscle Injury)
Anderson K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Dozzell A.
(Ankle Injury)
Knight J.
(Back Injury)
Kosznovszky M.
(Knee Injury)
Murphy J.
(Foot Injury)
Umeh F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Waddingham T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in QPR: Madsen N.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Portsmouth: Bianchini F.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, QPR won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, QPR won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Portsmouth?
Queens Park Rangers has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Queens Park Rangers?
Portsmouth has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Queens Park Rangers - Portsmouth were as follows:
26.12.2025
Portsmouth
-
Queens Park Rangers
1:1
22.02.2025
Portsmouth
-
Queens Park Rangers
2:1
19.10.2024
Queens Park Rangers
-
Portsmouth
1:2
Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
Latest results of Portsmouth
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
