Queens Park vs Ayr United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 29
  • Referee: Lee R. (Sco)

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
48
Shots on target
28
Corner kicks
25
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
48
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
20
Corner kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Dowds A. , Turley F. (A),
  • 31', Bannigan S. 🟨,
  • 33', 1 - 1, Murray E. ,
  • 36', Shiels M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Drozd S. , Todorov N. ,
  • 46', Martin S. , Bradley J. ,
  • 48', McKenzie M. , Walker E. ,
  • 58', Fieldson H. , Lamie R. ,
  • 66', Bannigan S. , Summers B. ,
  • 70', Ruth M. , McLean R. ,
  • 71', Rus M. , Oakley G. ,
  • 84', Finney G. 🟨,
  • 88', Smith C. , McLeish L. ,
  • 89', Pignatiello C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Queens Park
31.4%
Draw
30%
Ayr United
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.8% 27.4% 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 26.3% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Queens Park has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ayr United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ayr United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Queens Park - Ayr United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (3.43)
    3.09
    (3.36)
    2.41
    (2.02)
    7.7%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Queens Park - Ayr United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Queens Park won 1.
    • Queens Park is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ayr's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Queens Park may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Queens Park won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:42. (average 1.3:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Queens Park won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Queens Park - Ayr United were as follows:
    10.03.2026 Ayr United - Queens Park 1:2
    25.10.2025 Queens Park - Ayr United 0:0
    30.08.2025 Ayr United - Queens Park 1:1
    26.04.2025 Ayr United - Queens Park 2:2
    04.03.2025 Queens Park - Ayr United 2:3
    Latest results of Queens Park
    Latest results of Ayr United
    10.03.2026 Ayr United - Queens Park 1:2
    03.03.2026 Arbroath - Ayr United 1:1
    28.02.2026 St. Johnstone - Ayr United 3:1
    24.02.2026 Ayr United - Inverness 1:2
    21.02.2026 Ayr United - Ross County 0:0
    Scottish Football Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1St Johnstone301710353:223161
    2Partick Thistle291411442:311153
    3Arbroath301211738:33547
    4Dunfermline291171142:34840
    5Ayr29714834:35-135
    6Queen's Park308111132:42-1035
    7Raith29891231:32-133
    8Morton307121130:40-1033
    9Ross County306101427:45-1828
    10Airdrieonians30691524:39-1527

          Promotion ~ Premiership
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
          Championship (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ League One