Queens Park vs Ayr United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The City Stadium (Glasgow).

Championship - Round 12
Referee: Stuart P. (Sco)

Match Stats


Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
1	22
Shots on target
1	6
Corner Kicks
1	17
Yellow Cards
2	3
Red Cards
1	0
Total shots
1	22
Shots on target
1	6
Shots off target
0	16
Corner Kicks
1	17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Fieldson H. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Connolly A. 🟨,
58', Rus M. 🟨,
59', Watret D. ↓, Thomas D. ↑,
59', Bannigan S. ↓, Main C. ↑,
71', Connolly A. ↓, McDonnell T. ↑,
74', Rus M. ↓, Bonnar J. ↑,
75', Dowds A. ↓, McRoberts L. ↑,
75', McKenzie M. ↓, Dempsey B. ↑,
79', McLean R. ↓, Sowa J. ↑,
84', Pignatiello C. 🟨,
90+2', King L. 🟨,
90+5', Drozd S. ↓, Scott T. ↑,
90+6', Murphy J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Queens Park
24.8%

Draw
27.7%

Ayr United
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28.6%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

28.7%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Queens Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Queens Park's form might have worsened.

Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ayr United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Queens Park, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ayr United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Queens Park - Ayr United Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.8 ↑ (2.87)	3.41 ↑ (3.22)	2.03 ↓ (2.35)	4.9% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Queens Park - Ayr United?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Ayr (votes: 5 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Ayr United will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ayr United will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Queens Park won 0.
Queens Park is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Ayr is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Queens Park may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ayr might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Queens Park won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:44. (average 1.3:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Queens Park won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 1.4:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park won against Ayr United?

Queens Park has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Ayr United won against Queens Park?

Ayr United has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Queens Park - Ayr United were as follows:

30.08.2025 Ayr United - Queens Park 1:1

26.04.2025 Ayr United - Queens Park 2:2

04.03.2025 Queens Park - Ayr United 2:3

16.11.2024 Ayr United - Queens Park 3:2

21.09.2024 Queens Park - Ayr United 1:1

Latest results of Queens Park

18.10.2025 Queens Park - Airdrieonians 0:0 ✺

11.10.2025 Arbroath - Queens Park 4:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Dunfermline Athletic - Queens Park 0:0 ✺

30.09.2025 Queens Park - Partick Thistle 0:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Queens Park - St. Johnstone 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Ayr United

21.10.2025 Partick Thistle - Ayr United 2:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Ayr United - Greenock Morton 2:1 ✺

11.10.2025 Raith Rovers - Ayr United 0:2 ✺

04.10.2025 St. Johnstone - Ayr United 0:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Ayr United - Airdrieonians 4:2 ✺

Scottish Football Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	St Johnstone	12	8	3	1	23:8	15	27
2	Partick Thistle	12	7	3	2	18:15	3	24
3	Ayr	12	4	6	2	15:11	4	18
4	Arbroath	12	5	3	4	16:19	-3	18
5	Raith	12	5	2	5	12:12	0	17
6	Dunfermline	12	4	3	5	18:12	6	15
7	Ross County	12	2	5	5	14:17	-3	11
8	Morton	12	1	8	3	10:15	-5	11
9	Queen's Park	12	1	7	4	8:14	-6	10
10	Airdrieonians	12	1	4	7	9:20	-11	7

      Promotion ~ Premiership
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
      Championship (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ League One