Ayr United vs Queens Park – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish Football Championship Ayr United - Queens Park
Result
2:2
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 35
  • Referee: Murdoch S. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAyr United Media

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
103
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
91
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
103
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
50
Corner Kicks
91
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', Drozd S. 🟨,
  • 11', Duncan R. , Longridge L. ,
  • 16', 1 - 0, Murphy J. ,
  • 22', 1 - 1, Drozd S. , Longridge L. (A),
  • 31', 1 - 2, MacGregor R. , Scott T. (A),
  • 42', McGinlay A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 2, McKenzie M. ,
  • 56', Watret D. , Stanger G. ,
  • 57', Musonda F. 🟨,
  • 57', McKenzie M. , Oakley G. ,
  • 60', Montgomery A. 🟨,
  • 64', Drozd S. , Rudden Z. ,
  • 64', Scott T. , Turner J. ,
  • 64', McLennan C. , Walker E. ,
  • 64', Musonda F. , Agbaire L. ,
  • 64', McGinlay A. , Savoury G. ,
  • 72', MacGregor R. , Hickey R. ,
  • 75', McAllister N. , Reading P. ,

Chances of winning


Ayr United
62.5%
Draw
22.2%
Queens Park
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 22.9% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 18% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Queens Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-14%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ayr United that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Ayr United - Queens Park Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.49
    (1.5)
    4.2
    (4.04)
    6.19
    (6.01)
    6.9%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Ayr is Qualified for Premiership (Promotion Quarter~finals)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ayr won 3.
    • Recent matches Ayr is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Queens Park has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Ayr could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Ayr is absolute favorite.
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches Ayr won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 44:24 (average 2.3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ayr won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21:10 (average 2.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ayr United - Queens Park were as follows:
    04.03.2025 Queens Park - Ayr United 2:3
    16.11.2024 Ayr United - Queens Park 3:2
    21.09.2024 Queens Park - Ayr United 1:1
    23.03.2024 Ayr United - Queens Park 1:2
    27.01.2024 Queens Park - Ayr United 1:2
    Latest results of Ayr United
    Latest results of Queens Park
    Scottish Football Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ayr10101:101
    2Arbroath10101:101
    3Morton00000:000
    4Partick Thistle00000:000
    5St Johnstone00000:000
    6Airdrieonians00000:000
    7Queen's Park00000:000
    8Raith00000:000
    9Ross County00000:000
    10Dunfermline00000:000

          Promotion ~ Premiership
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premiership (Relegation: Quarter~finals)
          Championship (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ League One