Querétaro vs Toluca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
26/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Morfin Verduzco E. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
35
Shots on target
14
Corner kicks
28
Yellow cards
41
Total shots
35
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
21
Corner kicks
28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', Le Sommer E. 🟨,
  • 25', Molina D. 🟨,
  • 31', Figueroa B. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Diaz B. ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Cecena S. ,
  • 45', Flores E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Molina D. , Cervantes Z. ,
  • 46', Figueroa B. , Gonzalez V. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez Perez Y. , Erceg A. ,
  • 46', Robert F. , Pavi M. ,
  • 46', Vazquez S. , Munoz I. ,
  • 59', Rodriguez D. , Grant G. ,
  • 67', Santamaria E. , Barone F. ,
  • 68', Munoz I. , Roman M. ,
  • 75', Moran L. , Robles Partida J. ,
  • 75', Gonzalez V. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Le Sommer E. ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, Roman M. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 4, Le Sommer E. ,

Chances of winning


Querétaro
8.4%
Draw
16%
Toluca
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.7% 21.4% 60.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Querétaro's form might have worsened.
  • Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toluca's recent form is better than expected.
  • Querétaro - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10.92
    (5.07)
    5.71
    (4.19)
    1.21
    (1.48)
    9.3%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Querétaro - Toluca?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Querétaro will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Toluca will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Toluca will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 3.
    • Querétaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Toluca is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Querétaro - Toluca were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Toluca - Querétaro 2:0
    20.01.2025 Toluca - Querétaro 1:2
    18.08.2024 Querétaro - Toluca 1:0
    11.04.2024 Toluca - Querétaro 1:2
    01.09.2023 Querétaro - Toluca 1:2
    Latest results of Querétaro
    17.01.2026 Querétaro - Monterrey 0:1
    11.01.2026 Pachuca - Querétaro 4:0
    04.01.2026 UNAM - Querétaro 4:1
    31.10.2025 Juárez - Querétaro 4:0
    Latest results of Toluca
    21.01.2026 Toluca - Tigres UANL 1:2
    17.01.2026 Puebla - Toluca 0:1
    12.01.2026 Toluca - Atlas 2:0
    05.01.2026 Toluca - Tijuana 5:3
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey W ✔ 16124039:53440
    2Club America W ✔ 16123141:113039
    3Pachuca W ✔ 16113244:123236
    4Tigres UANL W ✔ 16104238:132534
    5Guadalajara Chivas W ✔ 1595125:111432
    6Toluca W ✔ 16102437:251232
    7Cruz Azul W ✔ 1693437:181930
    8Juarez W1574424:16825
    9Club Tijuana W1674529:23625
    10UNAM Pumas W1663722:28-621
    11Mazatlan FC W1653819:25-618
    12Atl. San Luis W1653818:31-1318
    13Club Leon W1644831:33-216
    14Atlas W16331021:38-1712
    15Puebla W1622128:44-368
    16Santos Laguna W16131211:29-186
    17Queretaro W16121311:43-325
    18Necaxa W1611149:59-504

          Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Monterrey W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Guadalajara Chivas W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Toluca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Cruz Azul W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)