Querétaro vs Toluca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
26/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 5
  • Referee: Morfin Verduzco E. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
35
Shots on target
14
Corner kicks
28
Yellow cards
41
Total shots
35
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
21
Corner kicks
28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', Le Sommer E. 🟨,
  • 25', Molina D. 🟨,
  • 31', Figueroa B. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Diaz B. ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Cecena S. ,
  • 45', Flores E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Molina D. , Cervantes Z. ,
  • 46', Figueroa B. , Gonzalez V. ,
  • 46', Rodriguez Perez Y. , Erceg A. ,
  • 46', Robert F. , Pavi M. ,
  • 46', Vazquez S. , Munoz I. ,
  • 59', Rodriguez D. , Grant G. ,
  • 67', Santamaria E. , Barone F. ,
  • 68', Munoz I. , Roman M. ,
  • 75', Moran L. , Robles Partida J. ,
  • 75', Gonzalez V. 🟨,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Le Sommer E. ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, Roman M. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 4, Le Sommer E. ,

Chances of winning


Querétaro
8.4%
Draw
16%
Toluca
75.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.7% 21.4% 60.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Querétaro's form might have worsened.
  • Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toluca's recent form is better than expected.
  • Querétaro - Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10.92
    (5.07)
    5.71
    (4.19)
    1.21
    (1.48)
    9.3%
    (11.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Querétaro - Toluca?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Querétaro will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Toluca will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toluca will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 3.
    • Querétaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Toluca is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Querétaro - Toluca were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Toluca - Querétaro 2:0
    20.01.2025 Toluca - Querétaro 1:2
    18.08.2024 Querétaro - Toluca 1:0
    11.04.2024 Toluca - Querétaro 1:2
    01.09.2023 Querétaro - Toluca 1:2
    Latest results of Querétaro
    17.01.2026 Querétaro - Monterrey 0:1
    11.01.2026 Pachuca - Querétaro 4:0
    04.01.2026 UNAM - Querétaro 4:1
    31.10.2025 Juárez - Querétaro 4:0
    Latest results of Toluca
    21.01.2026 Toluca - Tigres UANL 1:2
    17.01.2026 Puebla - Toluca 0:1
    12.01.2026 Toluca - Atlas 2:0
    05.01.2026 Toluca - Tijuana 5:3
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey W1082029:42526
    2Pachuca W1072132:42823
    3Guadalajara Chivas W971117:51222
    4Toluca W1071222:111122
    5Club America W963023:51821
    6Tigres UANL W1063122:91321
    7UNAM Pumas W1052314:14017
    8Cruz Azul W1043321:15615
    9Club Tijuana W1043317:16115
    10Juarez W1043312:13-115
    11Mazatlan FC W1043314:16-215
    12Club Leon W1033416:16012
    13Puebla W102086:31-256
    14Santos Laguna W101277:16-95
    15Atlas W1012716:26-105
    16Atl. San Luis W101279:25-165
    17Necaxa W101094:35-313
    18Queretaro W100198:28-201

          Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)