Toluca vs Querétaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Women Toluca - Querétaro
Result
2:0
31/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 9
  • Referee: Ortiz A. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
217
Shots on target
81
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Total shots
217
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
136
Corner Kicks
53
Goalkeeper Saves
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Peraza C. ,
  • 26', Martinez K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Figueroa B. , Herrera A. ,
  • 46', Monroy F. , Abam M. ,
  • 46', Erceg A. , van de Sanden S. ,
  • 52', Flores E. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Abam M. ,
  • 59', Vazquez S. , Henry A. ,
  • 61', Ramos L. , Molina D. ,
  • 63', Ramirez M. , Lopez J. ,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 72', Flores E. 🟥,
  • 73', Toraya Y. 🟨,
  • 76', Fernandez L. , Munoz I. ,
  • 80', Carrandi D. , Rodriguez D. ,
  • 84', Cecena S. , Alvarez G. ,

Chances of winning


Toluca
77.7%
Draw
13.9%
Querétaro
8.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.8% 19.1% 12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5% 18.1% 11.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.
  • Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toluca that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Toluca - Querétaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.2
    (1.35)
    6.68
    (4.85)
    11.03
    (7.7)
    7.7%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 1.
    • Toluca is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Querétaro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Toluca is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Querétaro were as follows:
    20.01.2025 Toluca - Querétaro 1:2
    18.08.2024 Querétaro - Toluca 1:0
    11.04.2024 Toluca - Querétaro 1:2
    01.09.2023 Querétaro - Toluca 1:2
    23.01.2023 Toluca - Querétaro 0:1
    Latest results of Toluca
    26.08.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 4:3
    17.08.2025 Juárez - Toluca 0:0
    09.08.2025 Toluca - Club León 1:0
    04.08.2025 Pachuca - Toluca 1:2
    Latest results of Querétaro
    26.08.2025 Querétaro - Tigres UANL 0:7
    18.08.2025 Club León - Querétaro 2:2
    12.08.2025 Querétaro - Pachuca 2:2
    03.08.2025 Club America - Querétaro 11:0
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tigres UANL W ✔ 15122153:84538
    2Pachuca W ✔ 15113152:183436
    3Club America W ✔ 15102348:192932
    4Guadalajara Chivas W1492323:14929
    5Toluca W1484228:151328
    6Monterrey W1582533:221126
    7Club Leon W1573529:30-124
    8UNAM Pumas W1471630:24622
    9Cruz Azul W1463532:23921
    10Atl. San Luis W1463519:20-121
    11Juarez W1455416:14220
    12Atlas W1454521:25-419
    13Club Tijuana W1533916:26-1012
    14Queretaro W1424813:42-2910
    15Santos Laguna W1423915:32-179
    16Necaxa W1422108:32-248
    17Puebla W1412115:36-315
    18Mazatlan FC W1402127:48-412

          Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)