Result
3:1
19/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, Coronel J. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Aranda G. (Own goal),
- 30', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 1, Kaprof J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Marghetich T. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
- 48', Ramirez I. 🟨,
- 54', Kaprof J. ↓, Vazquez G. ↑,
- 61', Serrano V. 🟨,
- 62', Martinez R. 🟨,
- 63', Allende L. ↓, Machado C. ↑,
- 64', Duarte L. ↓, Bordagaray F. ↑,
- 76', Coronel J. ↓, Belinetz O. ↑,
- 76', Martinez R. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
- 78', Juarez A. ↓, Klusener G. ↑,
- 78', Purita E. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
- 83', Roselli N. 🟥,
- 90+6', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Quilmes
53.6% | Draw
28.6% | Arsenal Sarandí
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.86) |
3.21 ↑
(3.19) |
5.26 ↑
(4.16) |
7.9%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
- Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Arsenal Sarandí has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Quilmes has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Quilmes is a strong favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against Arsenal Sarandí?
Quilmes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Sarandí won against Quilmes?
Arsenal Sarandí has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí were as follows:
15.03.2025
Arsenal Sarandí
-
Quilmes
0:1
27.07.2024
Arsenal Sarandí
-
Quilmes
0:0
09.03.2024
Quilmes
-
Arsenal Sarandí
0:0
Latest results of Quilmes
Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportivo Madryn | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 56 |
| 2 | Atletico Atlanta | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 51 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 48 |
| 4 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 30:18 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | San Martin T | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 47 |
| 6 | Tristan Suarez | 31 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 28:21 | 7 | 46 |
| 7 | Patronato | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 46 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 42 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 28:26 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Racing Cordoba | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 35:39 | -4 | 38 |
| 11 | Colegiales | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 21:25 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Quilmes | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 36 |
| 13 | All Boys | 31 | 7 | 15 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Almagro | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 24:29 | -5 | 34 |
| 15 | Club A. Guemes | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 33 |
| 16 | Ferro | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 19:32 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Arsenal Sarandi | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Alvarado | 31 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 17:28 | -11 | 29 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 31:15 | 16 | 56 |
| 2 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 32:18 | 14 | 56 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 32:15 | 17 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Moron | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 32:18 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 | CA Estudiantes | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 36:20 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Temperley | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 26:19 | 7 | 51 |
| 7 | Chaco For Ever | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Chacarita Juniors | 31 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 48 |
| 9 | Agropecuario | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 37:33 | 4 | 45 |
| 10 | Def. de Belgrano | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 26:24 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | San Telmo | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 28:36 | -8 | 38 |
| 12 | Nueva Chicago | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 26:30 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | CA Mitre | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25:27 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Central Norte | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 24:36 | -12 | 33 |
| 15 | Almirante Brown | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 24:34 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 | Colon Santa Fe | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 21:38 | -17 | 28 |
| 17 | Talleres (R.E) | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 15:36 | -21 | 20 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 17:51 | -34 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
