Quilmes vs Arsenal Sarandí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/07/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes (Quilmes).

Primera Nacional - Round 23
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play

Match Stats


Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
12	7
Shots on target
9	3
Corner Kicks
4	4
Yellow Cards
2	2
Red Cards
0	1
Total shots
12	7
Shots on target
9	3
Shots off target
3	4
Corner Kicks
4	4
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Coronel J. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Aranda G. (Own goal),
30', Gonzalez T. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Kaprof J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Marghetich T. ↓, Mino M. ↑,
48', Ramirez I. 🟨,
54', Kaprof J. ↓, Vazquez G. ↑,
61', Serrano V. 🟨,
62', Martinez R. 🟨,
63', Allende L. ↓, Machado C. ↑,
64', Duarte L. ↓, Bordagaray F. ↑,
76', Coronel J. ↓, Belinetz O. ↑,
76', Martinez R. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
78', Juarez A. ↓, Klusener G. ↑,
78', Purita E. ↓, Amaya A. ↑,
83', Roselli N. 🟥,
90+6', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Quilmes
53.6%

Draw
28.6%

Arsenal Sarandí
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.7%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

27.9%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.86)	3.21 ↑ (3.19)	5.26 ↑ (4.16)	7.9% (9.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Arsenal Sarandí has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Quilmes has had a series of away games.
In this match, Quilmes is a strong favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Quilmes won against Arsenal Sarandí?

Quilmes has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Arsenal Sarandí won against Quilmes?

Arsenal Sarandí has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí were as follows:

15.03.2025 Arsenal Sarandí - Quilmes 0:1

27.07.2024 Arsenal Sarandí - Quilmes 0:0

09.03.2024 Quilmes - Arsenal Sarandí 0:0

Latest results of Quilmes

12.07.2025 All Boys - Quilmes 0:0 ✺

05.07.2025 San Lorenzo - Quilmes 1:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú 2:2 ✺

13.06.2025 Gimnasia y Tiro - Quilmes 2:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Tristán Suárez - Quilmes 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Arsenal Sarandí

13.07.2025 Arsenal Sarandí - Racing de Córdoba 2:1 ✺

06.07.2025 Atlanta Buenos Aires - Arsenal Sarandí 4:0 ✺

22.06.2025 Los Andes - Arsenal Sarandí 1:3 ✺

15.06.2025 All Boys - Arsenal Sarandí 2:1 ✺

01.06.2025 Alvarado - Arsenal Sarandí 0:2 ✺

Argentinian Primera Nacional Table

2025

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Madryn ✔	34	16	12	6	45:28	17	60
2	Atletico Atlanta ✔	34	14	13	7	31:28	3	55
3	Tristan Suarez ✔	34	12	16	6	33:23	10	52
4	Gimnasia y Tiro ✔	34	13	12	9	34:23	11	51
5	San Miguel ✔	34	12	14	8	32:28	4	50
6	San Martin T. ✔	34	12	13	9	32:29	3	49
7	Deportivo Maipu ✔	34	12	12	10	34:30	4	48
8	Patronato ✔	34	12	12	10	31:28	3	48
9	Colegiales	34	13	8	13	26:26	0	47
10	Racing Cordoba	34	10	11	13	38:45	-7	41
11	Ferro	34	10	11	13	24:33	-9	41
12	Los Andes	33	10	10	13	28:28	0	40
13	Club A. Guemes	34	8	16	10	28:32	-4	40
14	Quilmes	34	8	14	12	30:32	-2	38
15	All Boys	33	7	17	9	23:25	-2	38
16	Almagro	34	7	14	13	24:31	-7	35
17	Arsenal Sarandi ✔	34	8	10	16	38:47	-9	34
18	Alvarado ✔	34	6	15	13	18:33	-15	33

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gimnasia Mendoza	33	16	12	5	34:18	16	60
2	CA Estudiantes	33	17	7	9	40:21	19	58
3	Deportivo Moron	33	15	12	6	35:18	17	57
4	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	33	15	12	6	33:21	12	57
5	Gimnasia Jujuy ✔	33	14	12	7	34:20	14	54
6	Chaco For Ever	33	15	7	11	33:25	8	52
7	Temperley	33	13	13	7	27:22	5	52
8	Agropecuario	33	14	9	10	41:34	7	51
9	Chacarita Juniors	33	12	13	8	37:27	10	49
10	Def. de Belgrano	33	12	12	9	30:25	5	48
11	Nueva Chicago	33	10	11	12	27:30	-3	41
12	San Telmo	33	10	11	12	31:40	-9	41
13	CA Mitre	33	10	9	14	27:30	-3	39
14	Central Norte	33	10	6	17	26:39	-13	36
15	Almirante Brown	33	7	12	14	26:37	-11	33
16	Colon Santa Fe	33	8	5	20	21:39	-18	29
17	Talleres (R.E) ✔	33	6	5	22	16:38	-22	23
18	Defensores Unidos ✔	33	3	12	18	17:51	-34	21

      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
      Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Deportivo Madryn is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Super final )
Atletico Atlanta is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Tristan Suarez is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Gimnasia y Tiro is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Miguel is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
San Martin T. is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Deportivo Maipu is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Patronato is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Arsenal Sarandi is Relegated to
Alvarado is Relegated to
Gimnasia Jujuy is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Talleres (R.E) is Relegated to
Defensores Unidos is Relegated to