Quilmes vs Club Almagro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Quilmes - Club Almagro
Result
0:1
26/04/2025 at 18:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 12
  • Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
107
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
33
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Belinetz O. , Capano J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Flores F. 🟨,
  • 63', 0 - 1, Dornell T. ,
  • 65', Mino M. , Kalinski E. ,
  • 65', Bindella A. , Schultz E. ,
  • 67', Lattanzio C. 🟨,
  • 70', Lattanzio C. , Diosquez N. ,
  • 70', Dornell T. , Orlando J. ,
  • 78', Castro T. 🟨,
  • 81', Cucchi P. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 81', Castro T. , Quiroga F. ,
  • 81', Torrent F. , Perez F. ,
  • 81', Machado C. , Roseti M. ,
  • 82', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
  • 90', Yegros U. , Rios R. ,

Chances of winning


Quilmes
50.6%
Draw
29.4%
Club Almagro
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 25.6% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 25% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quilmes's form might have worsened.
  • Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Quilmes - Club Almagro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.64)
    3.12
    (3.65)
    4.69
    (5.4)
    7.8%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Quilmes - Club Almagro?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Quilmes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
    • Quilmes is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Almagro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Quilmes is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Quilmes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Club Almagro were as follows:
    23.09.2022 Quilmes - Club Almagro 1:1
    Latest results of Quilmes
    19.04.2025 San Miguel - Quilmes 2:2
    13.04.2025 Quilmes - Los Andes 2:0
    26.03.2025 Quilmes - Colegiales 1:0
    Latest results of Club Almagro
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn251110433:211243
    2Atletico Atlanta24119423:15842
    3San Martin T24109522:16639
    4Tristan Suarez25912422:16639
    5San Miguel25109626:21539
    6Patronato25108728:23538
    7Gimnasia y Tiro2599722:15736
    8Deportivo Maipu2489723:22133
    9Los Andes25871025:24131
    10Almagro2579920:22-230
    11Racing Cordoba2579929:34-530
    12Colegiales25861115:21-630
    13Quilmes2369823:23027
    14All Boys25512819:21-227
    15Ferro25691015:25-1027
    16Club A. Guemes25414721:26-526
    17Alvarado24591016:23-724
    18Arsenal Sarandi25491224:38-1421


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Jujuy251210328:121646
    2Gimnasia Mendoza241210225:111446
    3Chacarita Juniors25127632:201243
    4Chaco For Ever25134828:19943
    5Temperley25119523:17642
    6Estudiantes Rio Cuarto251011425:151041
    7Deportivo Moron23109425:131239
    8CA Estudiantes25116826:18839
    9Nueva Chicago2588923:24-132
    10Agropecuario2588928:30-232
    11CA Mitre25871017:19-231
    12San Telmo25710824:29-531
    13Def. de Belgrano2479819:19030
    14Central Norte25841322:30-828
    15Colon Santa Fe25831420:31-1127
    16Almirante Brown25591120:29-924
    17Defensores Unidos25291414:42-2815
    18Talleres (R.E)2525189:30-2111

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation