Quilmes vs Club Almagro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Quilmes - Club Almagro
Result
0:1
26/04/2025 at 18:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 12
  • Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
107
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
33
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Belinetz O. , Capano J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Flores F. 🟨,
  • 63', 0 - 1, Dornell T. ,
  • 65', Mino M. , Kalinski E. ,
  • 65', Bindella A. , Schultz E. ,
  • 67', Lattanzio C. 🟨,
  • 70', Lattanzio C. , Diosquez N. ,
  • 70', Dornell T. , Orlando J. ,
  • 78', Castro T. 🟨,
  • 81', Cucchi P. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 81', Castro T. , Quiroga F. ,
  • 81', Torrent F. , Perez F. ,
  • 81', Machado C. , Roseti M. ,
  • 82', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
  • 90', Yegros U. , Rios R. ,

Chances of winning


Quilmes
50.6%
Draw
29.4%
Club Almagro
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 25.6% 17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 25% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Quilmes's form might have worsened.
  • Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Quilmes - Club Almagro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.64)
    3.12
    (3.65)
    4.69
    (5.4)
    7.8%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Quilmes - Club Almagro?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Quilmes (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
    • Quilmes is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Almagro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Quilmes is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Quilmes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Club Almagro were as follows:
    23.09.2022 Quilmes - Club Almagro 1:1
    Latest results of Quilmes
    19.04.2025 San Miguel - Quilmes 2:2
    13.04.2025 Quilmes - Los Andes 2:0
    26.03.2025 Quilmes - Colegiales 1:0
    Latest results of Club Almagro
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Madryn271211438:241447
    2Atletico Atlanta281211527:19847
    3San Martin T271110625:20543
    4San Miguel281110728:24443
    5Patronato27118829:24541
    6Tristan Suarez28914524:19541
    7Gimnasia y Tiro271010723:15840
    8Deportivo Maipu2799925:25036
    9Los Andes27981026:24235
    10Quilmes27891027:27033
    11All Boys27712822:22033
    12Racing Cordoba27891031:35-433
    13Colegiales27961217:22-533
    14Almagro277101020:24-431
    15Ferro28791217:29-1230
    16Club A. Guemes28415924:31-727
    17Alvarado275121017:24-727
    18Arsenal Sarandi28691328:40-1227


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gimnasia Mendoza271410329:131652
    2Gimnasia Jujuy271311331:131850
    3Deportivo Moron271210529:161346
    4Chacarita Juniors281210633:211246
    5CA Estudiantes28136930:191145
    6Estudiantes Rio Cuarto271111527:171044
    7Temperley271111523:17644
    8Chaco For Ever271341028:23543
    9Agropecuario27108931:31038
    10San Telmo27811825:29-435
    11Def. de Belgrano27810922:22034
    12Nueva Chicago28891124:27-333
    13Central Norte28961323:30-733
    14CA Mitre27881119:22-332
    15Colon Santa Fe28841621:34-1328
    16Almirante Brown275101221:31-1025
    17Talleres (R.E)28451913:34-2117
    18Defensores Unidos272101515:45-3016

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation