Quilmes vs Deportivo Maipú – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera Nacional Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú
Result
2:2
21/06/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 19
  • Referee: Loustau J. P. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports 2, TyC Sports Play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
102
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
610
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
102
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Bonacci P. (Pen),
  • 35', Bonacci P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 47', Ozuna E. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Capano J. ,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Aranda G. ,
  • 64', Silva T. , Yavante Gaitan D. ,
  • 65', Ozuna E. , Cruz A. ,
  • 69', Capano J. , Coronel J. ,
  • 76', Herrera E. , Vazquez G. ,
  • 76', Villarreal M. , Sanchez J. M. ,
  • 76', Roseti M. , Mino M. ,
  • 81', 2 - 2, Paredes L. ,
  • 84', Bonacci P. , Sandoval I. ,
  • 85', Eggel M. , Bonfigli M. ,
  • 90+3', Yavante Gaitan D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Machado C. , Martinez R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Quilmes
48.5%
Draw
30.9%
Deportivo Maipú
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 30.8% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 31.4% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.87)
    3.02
    (3.01)
    4.52
    (4.75)
    7.3%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Quilmes (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
    • Quilmes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Deportivo Maipú has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Deportivo Maipú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Quilmes is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes 2:0
    13.10.2024 Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú 3:0
    26.05.2024 Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes 1:1
    27.08.2023 Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes 1:0
    16.04.2023 Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú 0:2
    Latest results of Quilmes
    Latest results of Deportivo Maipú
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynBye
    2Gimnasia JujuySan Miguel0 : 0
    3Atletico AtlantaChaco For Ever3 : 0
    4Deportivo MoronSan Martin T.0 : 0
    5Estudiantes Rio CuartoPatronato2 : 1
    6Gimnasia y TiroTemperley2 : 0
    7CA EstudiantesDeportivo Maipu1 : 0
    8Tristan SuarezAgropecuario2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Deportivo MadrynGimnasia Jujuy0 : 1
    2Atletico AtlantaDeportivo Moron0 : 1
    3Estudiantes Rio CuartoGimnasia y Tiro0 : 0
    4CA EstudiantesTristan Suarez0 : 0