Quilmes vs Deportivo Maipú – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/06/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Nacional - Round 19
  • Referee: Loustau J. P. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports 2, TyC Sports Play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
610
Shots on target
44
Corner Kicks
102
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
610
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
102
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Bonacci P. (Pen),
  • 35', Bonacci P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 47', Ozuna E. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Capano J. ,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Aranda G. ,
  • 64', Silva T. , Yavante Gaitan D. ,
  • 65', Ozuna E. , Cruz A. ,
  • 69', Capano J. , Coronel J. ,
  • 76', Herrera E. , Vazquez G. ,
  • 76', Villarreal M. , Sanchez J. M. ,
  • 76', Roseti M. , Mino M. ,
  • 81', 2 - 2, Paredes L. ,
  • 84', Bonacci P. , Sandoval I. ,
  • 85', Eggel M. , Bonfigli M. ,
  • 90+3', Yavante Gaitan D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Machado C. , Martinez R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Quilmes
48.5%
Draw
30.9%
Deportivo Maipú
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 30.8% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 31.4% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.87)
    3.02
    (3.01)
    4.52
    (4.75)
    7.3%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Quilmes (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 1.
    • Quilmes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Deportivo Maipú has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Deportivo Maipú may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Quilmes is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Quilmes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Quilmes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes 2:0
    13.10.2024 Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú 3:0
    26.05.2024 Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes 1:1
    27.08.2023 Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes 1:0
    16.04.2023 Quilmes - Deportivo Maipú 0:2
    Latest results of Quilmes
    Latest results of Deportivo Maipú
    Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
    2026

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Moron532010:4611
    2Racing Cordoba53115:5010
    3Def. de Belgrano52305:239
    4Acassuso53028:629
    5San Miguel52216:428
    6Almirante Brown52214:318
    7Colon Santa Fe52215:508
    8Godoy Cruz51405:417
    9All Boys52124:407
    10Los Andes51313:216
    11CA Mitre51313:306
    12Deportivo Madryn51225:415
    13Ciudad Bolivar50503:305
    14San Telmo51228:9-15
    15Ferro51225:6-15
    16Central Norte51221:3-25
    17Chaco For Ever50235:10-52
    18CA Estudiantes50050:8-80


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nueva Chicago53116:3310
    2Gimnasia y Tiro53117:5210
    3Atl. Rafaela53114:2210
    4Tristan Suarez52306:249
    5San Martin T52306:339
    6Gimnasia Jujuy53026:8-29
    7Midland52215:328
    8Temperley52213:218
    9Atletico Atlanta52125:417
    10Agropecuario52125:507
    11San Martin S.J51225:6-15
    12Club A. Guemes51225:6-15
    13Patronato51223:5-25
    14Almagro51222:4-25
    15Quilmes51133:304
    16Chacarita Juniors51135:7-24
    17Deportivo Maipu51136:9-34
    18Colegiales51043:8-53

          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation