Result
0:1
15/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Cabero J. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSPORTS+ Plus |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1 |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (129/206) | 86% (455/529) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (129/206) | 86% (455/529) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/53) | 56% (33/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 38% (19/50) | 65% (70/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Leo Mana 🟨,
- 43', Charles Rigon 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Hernandez H. ↓, Igor Coronado ↑,
- 46', Charles Rigon ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
- 46', Angel Romero ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
- 52', Bueno G. 🟨,
- 59', Fonseca M. ↓, Sosa S. ↑,
- 59', Tomatis B. ↓, Da Silva E. ↑,
- 71', Severo A. 🟨,
- 73', Severo A. ↓, Bosca J. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 1, Matheus Bidu ⚽,
- 82', Alex Santana ↓, Maycon ↑,
- 82', Caceres M. ↓, Scarone A. ↑,
- 82', Pinela M. ↓, De Lima E. ↑,
- 88', Ryan ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Racing Montevideo
19.6% | Draw
27.3% | Corinthians
53.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Racing Montevideo - Corinthians Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.79 ↑
(4.53) |
3.46 ↓
(3.52) |
1.78 ↓
(1.78) |
6%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo - Corinthians?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Racing (2.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Racing (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Racing (3.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Corinthians (1.69) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +1 - Corinthians (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Corinthians (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Corinthians will win
(22 of 22 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corinthians will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Corinthians (votes: 21 - 87.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent form of Racing has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Corinthians has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Corinthians is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Racing won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Racing won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing Montevideo won against Corinthians?
Racing Montevideo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Corinthians won against Racing Montevideo?
Corinthians has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Corinthians were as follows:
24.04.2025
Corinthians
-
Racing Montevideo
1:0
28.05.2024
Corinthians
-
Racing Montevideo
3:0
02.04.2024
Racing Montevideo
-
Corinthians
1:1
Latest results of Racing Montevideo
Latest results of Corinthians
Copa Sudamericana Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigre | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Juventud | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Atletico-MG | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | O'Higgins | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Boston River | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Recoleta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Caracas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Independiente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Montevideo City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Palestino | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Dep. Riestra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Gremio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Vasco | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | A. Italiano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Carabobo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Blooming | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
