Racing Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguay Copa Racing Montevideo - Plaza Colonia
Result
1:2 penalties
16/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Uruguay - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
52
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
95
Corner Kicks
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Da Silva E. ,
  • 14', Calleros Y. 🟨,
  • 14', Bueno G. 🟨,
  • 32', Ramos J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Villalba D. , Vergara H. ,
  • 46', Redin M. , Carrizo L. ,
  • 46', Acosta B. , Alex Bruno ,
  • 51', Otegui S. 🟨,
  • 60', Otegui S. , Piriz F. ,
  • 66', Cairus F. 🟨,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Lopez A. ,
  • 68', Cheuquepal D. , Tomatis B. ,
  • 68', Suarez F. , Espinosa Dovat T. N. ,
  • 81', Tomatis B. 🟨,
  • 83', Brazionis 🟨,
  • 85', Gonzalez F. , Bosca J. ,
  • 87', Manzur I. , Ramirez S. ,
  • 90+3', Calleros Y. , Ocampo A. ,
  • Penalties (3 - 4)
  • 1, Ferreira M. (Pen),
  • 1, Ramos J. (Pen),
  • 2, Da Silva E. (Pen),
  • 2, Alex Bruno (Pen),
  • 3, Ramirez S. (Pen),
  • 3, Lopez A. (Pen),
  • 4, Espinosa Dovat T. N. (Pen),
  • 4, Vergara H. (Pen),
  • 5, Cairus F. (Pen),
  • 5, Ocampo A. (Pen),
  • 6, Tomatis B. (Pen),
  • 6, Carrizo L. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Racing Montevideo
49%
Draw
28.7%
Plaza Colonia
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 28.3% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 27.8% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Montevideo's performance.
  • Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plaza Colonia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plaza Colonia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Racing Montevideo - Plaza Colonia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (2.12)
    3.35
    (3.25)
    4.31
    (3.24)
    4.1%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Racing Montevideo - Plaza Colonia?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Racing could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Racing won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing Montevideo - Plaza Colonia were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Racing Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 0:1
    05.04.2025 Plaza Colonia - Racing Montevideo 0:1
    28.11.2023 Plaza Colonia - Racing Montevideo 0:1
    18.06.2023 Racing Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 4:1
    03.05.2023 Racing Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 1:1
    Latest results of Plaza Colonia
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Atletico ArsenalOriental0 : 1
    2Libertad San CarlosDefensor Sp.0 : 3
    3Bella VistaJuventud1 : 0
    4Nacional NHCentral Esp.1 : 3
    5RinconCerro Largo1 : 2
    6San CarlosTacuarembo1 : 2
    7Rio Negro SJPenarol0 : 3
    8DuraznoLiverpool M.1 : 3
    9Paso de la ArenaBoston River0 : 3
    10Atenas TalaRacing Montevideo0 : 1
    11CA FloridaAtenas3 : 1
    12Universitario SaltoWanderers2 : 0
    13Wanderers DuraznoPlaza Colonia2 : 3
    14Huracan FCNacional1 : 2
    15PorongosMaldonado3 : 2
    16Paysandu FCAlbion0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1OrientalDefensor Sp.0 : 2
    2Bella VistaCentral Esp.1 : 2
    3Cerro LargoTacuarembo0 : 1
    4PenarolLiverpool M.2 : 1
    5Boston RiverRacing Montevideo0 : 1
    6CA FloridaUniversitario Salto0 : 7
    7Plaza ColoniaNacional2 : 1
    8PorongosAlbion0 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Defensor Sp.Central Esp.2 : 0
    2TacuaremboPenarol1 : 2
    3Racing MontevideoUniversitario Salto4 : 1
    4Plaza ColoniaAlbion1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Defensor Sp.Penarol0 : 2
    2Racing MontevideoPlaza Colonia1 : 2

    Final
    1PenarolPlaza Colonia