Racing Santander vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Racing Santander - Ceuta
Result
4:1
30/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.291.24
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
87% (514/592)77% (249/325)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.291.24
xG on target (xGOT)
3.890.76
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
3214
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
719
Passes
87% (514/592)77% (249/325)
Long passes
50% (20/40)34% (20/59)
Passes in final third
75% (155/207)71% (54/76)
Crosses
27% (3/11)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.910.49
Throw-ins
1212
Fouls
197
Tackles
90% (18/20)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4439
Clearances
1420
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.763.89
Goals prevented
-0.24-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Villalibre A. , Vicente I. (A),
  • 21', Matos Jose 🟨,
  • 24', 2 - 0, Vicente I. , Canales P. (A),
  • 29', 2 - 1, Jamelli (Pen),
  • 45+5', Anuar 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Almenara G. , Bassinga A. ,
  • 55', 3 - 1, Vicente I. , Villalibre A. (A),
  • 63', Aldasoro A. , Sainz-Maza I. ,
  • 63', Villalibre A. , Jeremy Arevalo ,
  • 66', Jamelli , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 71', Fernandez Sanchez M. , Ortuno J. ,
  • 71', Matos Jose , Redruello Nimo C. ,
  • 75', Vicente I. , Sergio M. ,
  • 75', Sangalli M. , Cabanzon Y. ,
  • 81', 4 - 1, Jeremy Arevalo ,
  • 82', Ahmed A. , Cantero Y. ,
  • 90', Salinas J. , Santi F. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4d33ajzu

Chances of winning


Racing Santander
68.6%
Draw
20.2%
Ceuta
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 23.8% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 23.2% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Santander's performance.
  • Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceuta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Santander that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Racing Santander - Ceuta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.57)
    5.19
    (3.92)
    9.56
    (5.63)
    -2.5%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Racing Santander - Ceuta?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 79.4%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Racing is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ceuta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Racing is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Injury) Gueye M. (Injury) Michelin C. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Bodiger Y. (Ribs Injury) Kone K. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Inactive) Youness (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Racing Santander
    Latest results of Ceuta
    23.08.2025 Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón 0:1
    15.08.2025 Valladolid - Ceuta 3:0
    05.08.2025 Ceuta - Sevilla B 3:0
    02.08.2025 Cádiz - Ceuta 0:3
    26.07.2025 Al-Wakrah - Ceuta 1:4
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander330010:469
    2Gijon33004:139
    3Valladolid32104:047
    4Andorra32106:337
    5Cadiz CF32104:227
    6Huesca32104:227
    7Malaga32103:127
    8Dep. La Coruna31205:325
    9Almeria31207:615
    10Burgos CF31116:334
    11Eibar31115:324
    12Las Palmas31114:314
    13Real Sociedad B31113:304
    14Leganes30304:403
    15Mirandes31022:3-13
    16Albacete30127:9-21
    17Cordoba30122:5-31
    18Castellon30122:5-31
    19Zaragoza30122:5-31
    20Granada CF30032:8-60
    21Cultural Leonesa30031:7-60
    22Ceuta30031:8-70

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