Racing Santander vs Ceuta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
30/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
peruPeruDisney+
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.291.24
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
91
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
51
Passes
87% (514/592)77% (249/325)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.291.24
xG on target (xGOT)
3.890.76
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
91
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
127
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
3214
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
719
Passes
87% (514/592)77% (249/325)
Long passes
50% (20/40)34% (20/59)
Passes in final third
75% (155/207)71% (54/76)
Crosses
27% (3/11)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.910.49
Throw-ins
1212
Fouls
197
Tackles
90% (18/20)62% (8/13)
Duels won
4439
Clearances
1420
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.763.89
Goals prevented
-0.24-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Villalibre A. , Vicente I. (A),
  • 21', Matos Jose 🟨,
  • 24', 2 - 0, Vicente I. , Canales P. (A),
  • 29', 2 - 1, Jamelli (Pen),
  • 45+5', Anuar 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Almenara G. , Bassinga A. ,
  • 55', 3 - 1, Vicente I. , Villalibre A. (A),
  • 63', Aldasoro A. , Sainz-Maza I. ,
  • 63', Villalibre A. , Jeremy Arevalo ,
  • 66', Jamelli , Rodriguez C. ,
  • 71', Fernandez Sanchez M. , Ortuno J. ,
  • 71', Matos Jose , Redruello Nimo C. ,
  • 75', Vicente I. , Sergio M. ,
  • 75', Sangalli M. , Cabanzon Y. ,
  • 81', 4 - 1, Jeremy Arevalo ,
  • 82', Ahmed A. , Cantero Y. ,
  • 90', Salinas J. , Santi F. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4d33ajzu

Chances of winning


Racing Santander
68.6%
Draw
20.2%
Ceuta
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 23.8% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2% 23.2% 16.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Santander's performance.
  • Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ceuta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Santander that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Racing Santander - Ceuta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.57)
    5.19
    (3.92)
    9.56
    (5.63)
    -2.5%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Racing Santander - Ceuta?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Ceuta will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 79.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Racing (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing Santander will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Racing (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Racing is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ceuta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Racing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Racing is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Racing: Arana J. (Injury) Gueye M. (Injury) Michelin C. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Ceuta: Bodiger Y. (Ribs Injury) Kone K. (Injury) Sanchez M. (Inactive) Youness (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Racing Santander
    Latest results of Ceuta
    23.08.2025 Ceuta - Sporting de Gijón 0:1
    15.08.2025 Valladolid - Ceuta 3:0
    05.08.2025 Ceuta - Sevilla B 3:0
    02.08.2025 Cádiz - Ceuta 0:3
    26.07.2025 Al-Wakrah - Ceuta 1:4
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander30185762:402259
    2Dep. La Coruna30157846:341252
    3Almeria30157856:421452
    4Malaga30156949:371251
    5Castellon30147949:371249
    6Las Palmas301212639:241548
    7Burgos CF30138932:26647
    8Gijon301361142:38445
    9Ceuta301351237:45-844
    10Eibar301191032:30242
    11Cordoba301181141:43-241
    12Real Sociedad B301171244:41340
    13Andorra301091137:41-439
    14Albacete301091135:40-539
    15Cadiz CF301081231:36-538
    16Granada CF308121035:34136
    17Valladolid30991235:43-836
    18Leganes308101231:32-134
    19Huesca30871529:42-1331
    20Zaragoza30791426:41-1530
    21Cultural Leonesa30761728:49-2127
    22Mirandes30661828:49-2124

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