Result
1:2
21/03/2026 at 21:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (258/350) | 77% (315/411) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (258/350) | 77% (315/411) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (23/53) | 39% (29/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (60/102) | 59% (59/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | 0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', Zelarayan L. 🟨,
- 19', Cannavo E. 🟨,
- 25', Rojas G. 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Fernandez A. ⚽, Conechny T. (A),
- 42', Fernandez N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Rigoni E. ↓, Hernandes R. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Zelarayan L. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
- 59', Zuculini B. ↓, Forneris A. ↑,
- 59', Solari S. ↓, Adrian Martinez ↑,
- 60', Benitez Cabrera A. J. 🟨,
- 60', Forneris A. 🟨,
- 60', Fernandez N. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 2, Di Cesare M. ⚽, Sosa S. (A),
- 67', Rojo M. ↓, Pardo F. ↑,
- 75', Morales L. ↓, Velazquez J. ↑,
- 75', Mavilla J. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
- 78', Vazquez F. 🟨,
- 85', Di Cesare M. ↓, Colombo N. ↑,
- 85', Fernandez A. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 90+3', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
Chances of winning
Belgrano
32.9% | Draw
31.7% | Racing
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Belgrano - Racing Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.72) |
2.94 ↓
(3.08) |
2.67 ↑
(2.62) |
6.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Belgrano - Racing?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 0.
- Belgrano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Racing is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Racing: Carboni V.
(Knee Injury)
Torres E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Belgrano: Sanchez A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Racing: Rodriguez B.
(Injury)
Zaracho M.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:27. (average 0.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Belgrano won against Racing?
Belgrano has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Racing won against Belgrano?
Racing has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Racing were as follows:
20.07.2025
Belgrano
-
Racing
0:1
30.01.2025
Racing
-
Belgrano
4:0
12.05.2024
Belgrano
-
Racing
4:4
16.04.2024
Belgrano
-
Racing
0:4
27.11.2023
Racing
-
Belgrano
4:1
Latest results of Belgrano
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | River Plate | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Huracan | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
