Result
3:2
24/11/2025 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
- Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, #Vamos |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 United-arab-emirates | Dubai Sports 1 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.55 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (248/348) | 73% (244/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.15 | 1.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (248/348) | 73% (244/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (34/88) | 29% (19/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (71/129) | 58% (54/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (6/33) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Solari S. ⚽, Rojas G. (A),
- 31', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
- 40', Fernandez N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 55', Rivero L. 🟨,
- 55', Castano K. ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
- 56', Salas M. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
- 56', Acosta T. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Subiabre I. ⚽, Driussi S. (A),
- 64', 1 - 2, Quintero J. ⚽,
- 66', Conechny T. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
- 70', Almendra A. E. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
- 72', Fernandez N. ↓, Galarza M. ↑,
- 72', Perez E. ↓, Portillo J. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 2, Martinez Quarta L. (Own goal),
- 90+3', 3 - 2, Martirena Torres G. N. ⚽,
- 90+5', Solari S. ↓, Di Cesare M. ↑,
- 90+5', Martirena Torres G. N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Racing
34.5% | Draw
31.4% | River Plate
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing's form might have worsened.River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Racing - River Plate Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.3) |
3.03 ↓
(3.2) |
2.82 ↓
(3.1) |
5.1%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Racing - River Plate?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). River Plate will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 13.8% – 69.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- AH -0.25 - River Plate (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - River Plate (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - River Plate (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): River Plate will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1.
- Recent performances by Racing have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- River Plate is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, River Plate has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Racing won against River Plate?
Racing has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has River Plate won against Racing?
River Plate has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - River Plate were as follows:
02.10.2025
Racing
-
River Plate
0:1
14.12.2024
Racing
-
River Plate
1:0
28.07.2023
River Plate
-
Racing
2:1
23.10.2022
Racing
-
River Plate
1:2
Latest results of River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Independiente | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Instituto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Tigre | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Banfield | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Huracan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
