Racing vs River Plate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Argentina
Football Copa Argentina Racing - River Plate
Result
0:1
02/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Argentina - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalSport TV1
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.23
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
74% (286/387)63% (146/233)
Yellow Cards
64
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.23
xG on target (xGOT)
0.341.41
Total shots
910
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
74% (286/387)63% (146/233)
Long passes
51% (41/80)43% (31/72)
Passes in final third
49% (63/129)48% (38/79)
Crosses
39% (11/28)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.41
Throw-ins
2417
Fouls
1513
Tackles
63% (10/16)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5154
Clearances
1846
Interceptions
1117
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
1.410.34
Goals prevented
0.410.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Salas M. ⚽, Colidio F. (A),
  • 16', Almendra A. E. 🟨,
  • 45', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Quintero J. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
  • 50', Montiel G. 🟨,
  • 57', Solari S. 🟨,
  • 62', Mura F. ↓, Martirena Torres G. N. ↑,
  • 63', Almendra A. E. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
  • 78', Portillo J. 🟨,
  • 79', Giuliano Galoppo ↓, Galarza M. ↑,
  • 79', Conechny T. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
  • 86', Colombo N. ↓, Rojo M. ↑,
  • 86', Colidio F. ↓, Miguel Borja ↑,
  • 86', Zuculini B. ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
  • 90+1', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
  • 90+9', Acuna M. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Balboa A. 🟨,
  • 90+12', Castano K. 🟨,
  • 90+12', Rojas G. 🟨,
  • 90+13', Salas M. ↓, Lencina S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing
21.3%		Draw
28.8%		River Plate
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 28.9% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 29.2% 42.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing's form might have worsened.
  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Racing - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.56 ↑
    (3.2)    		 3.38 ↑
    (3.2)    		 1.95 ↓
    (2.2)    		 2.7%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Racing - River Plate?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). River Plate will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 21.7% – 78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): River Plate will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1.
    • Racing is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • River Plate is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 3.16.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.8:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - River Plate were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Racing - River Plate 1:0
    28.07.2023 River Plate - Racing 2:1
    23.10.2022 Racing - River Plate 1:2
    Latest results of Racing
    28.09.2025 Racing - Independiente 0:0 ✺
    23.09.2025 Racing - Vélez Sársfield 1:0 ✺
    19.09.2025 Huracán Buenos Aires - Racing 0:2 ✺
    16.09.2025 Vélez Sársfield - Racing 0:1 ✺
    12.09.2025 Racing - San Lorenzo 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of River Plate
    28.09.2025 River Plate - Deportivo Riestra 1:2 ✺
    24.09.2025 Palmeiras - River Plate 3:1 ✺
    20.09.2025 Atlético Tucumán - River Plate 2:0 ✺
    17.09.2025 River Plate - Palmeiras 1:2 ✺
    13.09.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - River Plate 1:2 ✺
    Draw
    2025

    1/32-finals
    1San LorenzoSportivo Las Parejas1 : 0
    2Central CordobaQuilmes0 : 1
    3TigreBerazategui3 : 0
    4BanfieldVilla Mitre1 : 0
    5PlatenseArgentino de Quilmes2 : 0
    6Ind. RivadaviaCA Estudiantes1 : 0
    7Sarmiento JuninCentral Cordoba0 : 1
    8Gimnasia L.P.Deportivo Espanol1 : 0
    9Racing ClubSantamarina2 : 0
    10San Martin S.J.Gimnasia Jujuy1 : 0
    11Dep. RiestraSan Telmo3 : 2
    12Talleres CordobaDeportivo Armenio3 : 4
    13Rosario CentralLos Andes1 : 0
    14Union de Santa FeColegiales3 : 1
    15San Martin T.Colon Santa Fe1 : 0
    16River PlateCiudad Bolivar2 : 0
    17Boca JuniorsArgentino MM5 : 0
    18Atl. TucumanAll Boys2 : 1
    19Defensa y JusticiaRacing Cordoba3 : 1
    20Newells Old BoysKimberley1 : 0
    21BelgranoReal Pilar3 : 1
    22Barracas CentralDef. de Belgrano0 : 2
    23Gimnasia MendozaNueva Chicago2 : 0
    24IndependienteSportivo Belgrano2 : 0
    25Estudiantes L.P.Sarmiento de La Banda2 : 1
    26AldosiviGimnasia y Tiro2 : 1
    27Godoy CruzExcursionistas0 : 1
    28Argentinos JrsCentral Norte3 : 0
    29LanusGeneral Lamadrid4 : 0
    30Velez SarsfieldMidland1 : 0
    31InstitutoDeportivo Madryn3 : 0
    32HuracanSan Martin Formosa2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1San LorenzoQuilmes1 : 0
    2TigreBanfield2 : 0
    3PlatenseInd. Rivadavia2 : 3
    4Central CordobaGimnasia L.P.2 : 1
    5Racing ClubSan Martin S.J.3 : 1
    6Dep. RiestraDeportivo Armenio3 : 2
    7Rosario CentralUnion de Santa Fe0 : 1
    8San Martin T.River Plate0 : 3
    9Boca JuniorsAtl. Tucuman1 : 2
    10Defensa y JusticiaNewells Old Boys0 : 2
    11BelgranoDef. de Belgrano3 : 2
    12Gimnasia MendozaIndependiente1 : 2
    13Estudiantes L.P.Aldosivi1 : 2
    14ExcursionistasArgentinos Jrs0 : 3
    15LanusVelez Sarsfield2 : 0
    16InstitutoHuracan0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1San LorenzoTigre0 : 1
    2Ind. RivadaviaCentral Cordoba2 : 1
    3Racing ClubDep. Riestra3 : 0
    4Union de Santa FeRiver Plate0 : 1
    5Atl. TucumanNewells Old Boys2 : 3
    6BelgranoIndependiente2 : 0
    7AldosiviArgentinos Jrs1 : 2
    8LanusHuracan2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1TigreInd. Rivadavia1 : 3
    2Racing ClubRiver Plate0 : 1
    3Newells Old BoysBelgrano1 : 3
    4Argentinos JrsLanus1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Ind. RivadaviaRiver Plate
    2BelgranoArgentinos Jrs

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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