Racing vs San Martín de San Juan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
02/07/2025 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.241.45
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
06
Passes
67% (221/330)69% (227/330)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.241.45
xG on target (xGOT)
3.071.36
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
03
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
62
Corner Kicks
06
Touches in opposition box
1820
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1615
Passes
67% (221/330)69% (227/330)
Long passes
40% (27/68)43% (28/65)
Passes in final third
46% (33/71)52% (57/109)
Crosses
27% (3/11)27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.35
Throw-ins
2711
Fouls
1516
Tackles
44% (8/18)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5552
Clearances
3724
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.363.07
Goals prevented
0.46-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', Degregorio R. M. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Tijanovich H. , Molina A. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Adrian Martinez , Solari S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Sanchez R. , Zuculini B. ,
  • 58', Rojas G. 🟨,
  • 61', Degregorio R. M. , Balboa A. ,
  • 68', Rojas G. , Rodriguez I. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Balboa A. ,
  • 75', Fernandez T. , Menendez J. ,
  • 75', Gonzalez F. , Barrera S. ,
  • 76', Balboa A. 🟨,
  • 76', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Adrian Martinez ,
  • 80', Watson N. 🟨,
  • 81', Adrian Martinez 🟥,
  • 83', Solari S. , Almendra A. E. ,
  • 84', Gonzalez S. , Cavallaro J. ,
  • 84', Tijanovich H. , Iacobellis M. ,
  • 84', Watson N. , Anselmo F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing
58%
Draw
26.7%
San Martín de San Juan
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 23.7% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4% 22.7% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • San Martín de San Juan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Racing - San Martín de San Juan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.52)
    3.47
    (3.95)
    6.02
    (6.41)
    8.1%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Racing - San Martín de San Juan?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Racing (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Racing will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.
    • Racing is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • San Martín is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • San Martín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Racing has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Racing is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Racing will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Racing won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:5. (average 1.7:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.3:0.4).
    Latest results of Racing
    29.05.2025 Racing - Fortaleza 1:0
    14.05.2025 Racing - Colo-Colo 4:0
    10.05.2025 Racing - Platense 0:1
    02.05.2025 Racing - Newells Old Boys 1:0
    Latest results of San Martín de San Juan
    Draw
    2026

    1/32-finals
    1San LorenzoDeportivo Rincon5 : 0
    2Dep. RiestraDeportivo Maipu1 : 0
    3Newells Old BoysAcassuso0 : 2
    4Gimnasia L.P.Deportivo Camioneros4 : 1
    5BanfieldReal Pilar3 : 0
    6Estudiantes Rio CuartoSan Martin T.0 : 1
    7Godoy CruzDeportivo Moron0 : 1
    8Argentinos JrsMidland1 : 2
    9Racing ClubSan Martin Formosa1 : 0
    10Defensa y JusticiaChaco For Ever2 : 1
    11Central CordobaGimnasia Jujuy2 : 3
    12BelgranoAtl. Rafaela3 : 0
    13Velez SarsfieldDeportivo Armenio4 : 1
    14Gimnasia MendozaGimnasia y Tiro
    15Sarmiento JuninTristan Suarez1 : 0
    16Boca JuniorsChivilcoy2 : 0
    17River PlateCiudad Bolivar1 : 0
    18AldosiviSan Miguel3 : 0
    19Ind. RivadaviaCA Estudiantes2 : 0
    20TigreClaypole2 : 0
    21Talleres CordobaArgentino de Merlo2 : 0
    22Atl. TucumanSportivo Barracas2 : 1
    23Union de Santa FeAgropecuario2 : 0
    24IndependienteBiblioteca Atenas4 : 2
    25PlatenseArgentino MM1 : 0
    26San Martin S.J.Deportivo Madryn2 : 0
    27InstitutoAtletico Atlanta2 : 0
    28LanusSarmiento de La Banda4 : 1
    29Estudiantes L.P.Ituzaingo4 : 0
    30Rosario CentralSportivo Belgrano2 : 0
    31Barracas CentralTemperley3 : 2
    32HuracanOlimpo Bahia Blanca2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1San LorenzoDep. Riestra
    2AcassusoGimnasia L.P.
    3BanfieldSan Martin T.
    4Deportivo MoronMidland
    5Racing ClubDefensa y Justicia
    6Gimnasia JujuyBelgrano
    7Velez SarsfieldTBD #14
    8Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors
    9River PlateAldosivi
    10Ind. RivadaviaTigre
    11Talleres CordobaAtl. Tucuman
    12Union de Santa FeIndependiente
    13PlatenseSan Martin S.J.
    14InstitutoLanus
    15Estudiantes L.P.Rosario Central
    16Barracas CentralHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2