Result
4:0
28/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 17
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | FOX Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (371/429) | 87% (408/469) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (371/429) | 87% (408/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (13/25) | 56% (24/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (58/76) | 78% (112/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 2.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Capita ⚽, Wolski R. (A),
- 12', Balde E. 🟨,
- 35', 2 - 0, Zie Ouattara ⚽,
- 39', Szczesniak K. ↓, Khlan M. ↑,
- 39', Camara I. 🟨,
- 41', Hellebrand P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', 3 - 0, Maurides ⚽, Capita (A),
- 56', Camara I. ↓, Kaput M. ↑,
- 56', Balde E. ↓, Baro R. ↑,
- 58', Capita 🟨,
- 59', Janicki R. 🟨,
- 62', 4 - 0, Alves R. ⚽, Zie Ouattara (A),
- 68', Goh Young-Jun ↓, Donio B. ↑,
- 68', Janza E. ↓, Pingot M. ↑,
- 68', Josema ↓, Dziegielewski N. ↑,
- 71', Capita ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
- 71', Maurides ↓, Depu ↑,
- 81', Sow O. ↓, Abdullahi A. ↑,
- 81', Alves R. ↓, Donis C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Radomiak Radom
36.9% | Draw
28.4% | Górnik Zabrze
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Radomiak Radom - Górnik Zabrze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↑
(2.6) |
3.34 ↑
(2.87) |
2.71 ↑
(2.59) |
4.9%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom - Górnik Zabrze?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Radomiak will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Zabrze: 17.8% – 64.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Górnik Zabrze (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 2.
- In recent matches, Radomiak has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Górnik Zabrze is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Radomiak: Lopes V.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
Szala D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Górnik Zabrze: Massimo R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Radomiak won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Radomiak won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Górnik Zabrze?
Radomiak Radom has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Radomiak Radom?
Górnik Zabrze has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Radomiak Radom - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
15.02.2025
Górnik Zabrze
-
Radomiak Radom
3:2
25.09.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Radomiak Radom
0:1
09.08.2024
Radomiak Radom
-
Górnik Zabrze
1:2
09.12.2023
Radomiak Radom
-
Górnik Zabrze
1:1
23.07.2023
Górnik Zabrze
-
Radomiak Radom
0:2
Latest results of Radomiak Radom
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
