Puszcza Niepołomice vs Radomiak Radom – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/04/2025 at 06:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 29
  • Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.14
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
72% (205/285)78% (252/323)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
0.751.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.281.56
Total shots
914
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1520
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
72% (205/285)78% (252/323)
Long passes
37% (23/62)45% (26/58)
Passes in final third
55% (65/119)63% (57/90)
Crosses
11% (2/19)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.331.15
Fouls
1612
Tackles
38% (5/13)50% (3/6)
Duels won
4845
Clearances Total
1740
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.561.28
Goals prevented
-0.44-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Abramowicz D. 🟨,
  • 35', Serafin J. 🟨,
  • 44', Wolski R. 🟨,
  • 44', Atanasov J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 51', Donis C. 🟨,
  • 59', Kaput M. 🟨,
  • 63', Barkovsky G. , Kosidis M. ,
  • 63', Cholewiak M. , Klimek A. ,
  • 65', Tapsoba A. , Dadashov R. ,
  • 65', Donis C. , Golubickas P. ,
  • 69', 0 - 1, Pestka K. , Wolski R. (A),
  • 73', Wolski R. , Capita ,
  • 73', Henrique P. , Kingue S. ,
  • 74', Tomalski H. , Blagaic J. ,
  • 74', Serafin J. , Radecki M. ,
  • 83', Mrozinski P. 🟨,
  • 84', Alves R. , Jordao B. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Klimek A. ,
  • 86', 1 - 2, Kaput M. , Grzesik J. (A),
  • 88', Atanasov J. , Stec J. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Yakuba R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Puszcza Niepołomice
33%
Draw
28.2%
Radomiak Radom
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 28.8% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 30.2% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Radomiak Radom, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Puszcza Niepołomice - Radomiak Radom Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.5)
    3.33
    (3.23)
    2.42
    (2.73)
    6.2%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Radomiak Radom?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Radomiak will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Radomiak: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Radomiak (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Radomiak (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Radomiak (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Radomiak (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Radomiak (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Radomiak (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0.
    • Puszcza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Radomiak is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Radomiak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Puszcza: Craciun A. (Yellow Cards) Radecki M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Radomiak: Cichocki M. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Puszcza: Stepien M. (Inactive)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:12 (average 0.8:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Radomiak Radom were as follows:
    21.10.2024 Radomiak Radom - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:0
    01.04.2024 Puszcza Niepołomice - Radomiak Radom 1:1
    23.09.2023 Radomiak Radom - Puszcza Niepołomice 1:1
    Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
    Latest results of Radomiak Radom
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan27129646:37945
    2Jagiellonia27119743:34942
    3Gornik Zabrze27126939:32742
    4Zaglebie27118841:33841
    5Wisla Plock27109828:26239
    6Rakow271161036:34239
    7GKS Katowice271231236:35139
    8Motor Lublin27911736:39-338
    9Lechia Gdansk27126955:50537
    10Korona Kielce271061135:33236
    11Cracovia2799931:31036
    12Piast Gliwice271051234:36-235
    13Radomiak Radom27810943:41234
    14Pogon Szczecin271041336:42-634
    15Legia27712832:31133
    16Arka Gdynia27961228:45-1733
    17Widzew Lodz27861332:35-330
    18Termalica B-B27671433:50-1725

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1