Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 33
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
Slovakia | JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.51 | 1.62 |
Ball Possession |
---|
28% | 72% |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
59% (128/217) | 86% (444/518) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.51 | 1.62 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.46 | 0.94 |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 12 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 12 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 48 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
59% (128/217) | 86% (444/518) |
Long passes |
---|
26% (18/68) | 59% (26/44) |
Passes in final third |
---|
43% (22/51) | 78% (141/180) |
Crosses |
---|
67% (2/3) | 30% (12/40) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.17 | 1.18 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 6 |
Tackles |
---|
76% (13/17) | 62% (8/13) |
Duels won |
---|
34 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
42 | 7 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 17 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.94 | 0.46 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.06 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Malarczyk P. ↓, Sotiriou K. ↑,
- 12', 1 - 0, Dlugosz W. ⚽, Shikavka Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 1, Brunes J. (Pen),
- 63', Makuch P. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
- 63', Otieno E. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 64', Shikavka Y. ↓, Bak D. ↑,
- 65', Strzeboński M. ↓, Godinho M. ↑,
- 65', Dlugosz W. ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,
- 72', Adriano 🟨,
- 74', Diaz J. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
- 74', Adriano ↓, Plavsic S. ↑,
- 77', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Chojecki A. ↑,
- 80', Kochergin V. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+2', Mamla R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Zwozny H. 🟨,
- 90+3', Bak D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Korona Kielce 14% | Draw 22% | Raków Częstochowa 64% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Korona Kielce's form might have worsened.Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raków Częstochowa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.61 ↑ (4.9) |
4.29 ↑ (3.96) |
1.48 ↓ (1.64) |
5.9% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Korona (votes: 1 - 50%). Raków (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Raków Częstochowa will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 1.
- Korona is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Raków's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Raków is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Korona: Dalmau A.
(Injury)
Hofmayster Y.
(Injury)
Konstantyn J.
(Inactive)
Nagamatsu S.
(Injury)
Nono
(Yellow Cards)
Pedro N.
(Inactive)
Remacle M.
(Inactive)
Sotiriou K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M.
(Muscle Injury)
Racovitan B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Korona: Matuszewski K.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Korona won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Raków Częstochowa?
Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Korona Kielce?
Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
24.11.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Korona Kielce
1:1
13.03.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:2
17.12.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Korona Kielce
1:0
07.05.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:0
22.10.2022
Raków Częstochowa
-
Korona Kielce
1:0
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
5 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
6 | Legia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
7 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Pogon Szczecin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
10 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
11 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
12 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
14 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
15 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1