Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 33
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | JOJ Play, JOJ Sport 2 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (128/217) | 86% (444/518) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 48 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (128/217) | 86% (444/518) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (18/68) | 59% (26/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 78% (141/180) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 30% (12/40) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.06 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Malarczyk P. ↓, Sotiriou K. ↑,
- 12', 1 - 0, Dlugosz W. ⚽, Shikavka Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 1, Brunes J. (Pen),
- 63', Makuch P. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
- 63', Otieno E. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 64', Shikavka Y. ↓, Bak D. ↑,
- 65', Strzeboński M. ↓, Godinho M. ↑,
- 65', Dlugosz W. ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,
- 72', Adriano 🟨,
- 74', Diaz J. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
- 74', Adriano ↓, Plavsic S. ↑,
- 77', Fornalczyk M. ↓, Chojecki A. ↑,
- 80', Kochergin V. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+2', Mamla R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Zwozny H. 🟨,
- 90+3', Bak D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Korona Kielce
14% | Draw
22% | Raków Częstochowa
64% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Korona Kielce's form might have worsened.Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raków Częstochowa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.61 ↑
(4.9) |
4.29 ↑
(3.96) |
1.48 ↓
(1.64) |
5.9%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Korona (votes: 1 - 50%). Raków (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Raków Częstochowa will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 1.
- Korona is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Raków's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Raków is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Korona: Dalmau A.
(Injury)
Hofmayster Y.
(Injury)
Konstantyn J.
(Inactive)
Nagamatsu S.
(Injury)
Nono
(Yellow Cards)
Pedro N.
(Inactive)
Remacle M.
(Inactive)
Sotiriou K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M.
(Muscle Injury)
Racovitan B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Korona: Matuszewski K.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Korona won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Raków Częstochowa?
Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Korona Kielce?
Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
24.11.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Korona Kielce
1:1
13.03.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:2
17.12.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Korona Kielce
1:0
07.05.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:0
22.10.2022
Raków Częstochowa
-
Korona Kielce
1:0
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Cracovia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Legia | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:16 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 20:13 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Rakow | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13:13 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Termalica B-B | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:26 | -7 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
