Result
1:4
09/11/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 15
- Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (320/416) | 80% (364/455) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 2.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (320/416) | 80% (364/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (30/61) | 29% (16/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (86/141) | 59% (41/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 65% (15/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.61 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Adriano ⚽, Repka O. (A),
- 20', 0 - 2, Brunes J. ⚽, Adriano (A),
- 25', 1 - 2, Blanik D. ⚽, Nikolov V. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Konstantopoulos A. ↓, Pienko T. ↑,
- 49', Remacle M. 🟨,
- 49', Svarnas S. 🟨,
- 55', Rondic I. 🟨,
- 56', Rondic I. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
- 59', Popov V. ↓, Zwozny H. ↑,
- 65', Zwozny H. 🟨,
- 70', Adriano ↓, Barath P. ↑,
- 72', Matuszewski K. ↓, Pieczek M. ↑,
- 72', Remacle M. ↓, Kaminski W. ↑,
- 77', Blanik D. ↓, Dlugosz W. ↑,
- 78', Brunes J. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 78', Bulat M. ↓, Seck I. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 3, Makuch P. ⚽, Seck I. (A),
- 90+4', Nikolov V. 🟨,
- 90+8', 1 - 4, Diaby-Fadiga L. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Korona Kielce
32.4% | Draw
29.1% | Raków Częstochowa
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Korona Kielce's performance.Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raków Częstochowa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Korona Kielce that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raków Częstochowa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.88 ↓
(3.45) |
3.24 ↑
(3.07) |
2.44 ↑
(1.99) |
6.5%
(11.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Raków will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Korona (votes: 1 - 25%). Raków (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 1.
- In recent matches, Korona has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Raków is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Korona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Korona has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Korona: Ciszek K.
(Injury)
Dlugosz W.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z.
(Leg Injury)
Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Korona: Antonin
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Raków: Mosor A.
(Inactive)
Silva J.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Korona won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Raków Częstochowa?
Korona Kielce has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Korona Kielce?
Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
17.05.2025
Korona Kielce
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:1
24.11.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Korona Kielce
1:1
13.03.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:2
17.12.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Korona Kielce
1:0
07.05.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:0
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
