Result
1:1
07/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 27
- Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.40 | 1.15 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
64% (209/328) | 72% (271/378) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.40 | 1.15 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.32 | 1.77 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 27 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
64% (209/328) | 72% (271/378) |
Long passes |
---|
32% (27/85) | 37% (26/71) |
Passes in final third |
---|
44% (49/111) | 65% (79/121) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (5/15) | 44% (8/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.96 | 1.04 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (6/12) | 91% (10/11) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 58 |
Clearances Total |
---|
31 | 30 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.77 | 1.32 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.77 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Svarnas S. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 1, Lopez I. ⚽, Otieno E. (A),
- 37', Szymonowicz D. 🟨,
- 44', Yakuba R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zhukov G. ↓, Tomalski H. ↑,
- 46', Yakuba R. ↓, Klimek A. ↑,
- 46', Kosidis M. ↓, Barkovsky G. ↑,
- 67', Lopez I. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 68', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
- 76', Adriano ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
- 83', Brunes J. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 84', Kochergin V. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
- 90+2', Serafin J. ↓, Siemaszko A. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Barkovsky G. ⚽, Cholewiak M. (A),
Chances of winning
Puszcza Niepołomice 13.8% | Draw 22.5% | Raków Częstochowa 63.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.74 ↑ (5.18) |
4.14 ↓ (4.27) |
1.49 ↓ (1.55) |
5.9% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 1 - 3.3%). Raków will win (votes: 29 - 96.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 90.3% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0.
- Puszcza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Raków is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Raków could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Raków is a favorite.
- There will not play in Puszcza: Radecki M.
(Injury)
Tomalski H.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M.
(Inactive)
Racovitan B.
(Injury)
Rodin M.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 8:29 (average 0.6:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:12 (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Puszcza Niepołomice won against Raków Częstochowa?
Puszcza Niepołomice has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Puszcza Niepołomice?
Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
28.09.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:0
03.07.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
1:1
09.03.2024
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:1
03.09.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:0
27.06.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
4:0
Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
3 | Gornik Zabrze | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
5 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
6 | Legia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
7 | Widzew Lodz | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Pogon Szczecin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
10 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
11 | Motor Lublin | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
12 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
13 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
14 | GKS Katowice | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
15 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Korona Kielce | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1