Puszcza Niepołomice vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Miejski w Niepołomicach (Niepołomice).

Ekstraklasa - Round 27
Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.40	1.15
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
19	18
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
64% (209/328)	72% (271/378)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40	1.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.32	1.77
Total shots
19	18
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
8	9
Blocked Shots
7	3
Shots inside the Box
14	10
Shots outside the Box
5	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
31	27
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
11	16
Passes
64% (209/328)	72% (271/378)
Long passes
32% (27/85)	37% (26/71)
Passes in final third
44% (49/111)	65% (79/121)
Crosses
33% (5/15)	44% (8/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	1.04
Fouls
16	11
Tackles
50% (6/12)	91% (10/11)
Duels won
54	58
Clearances Total
31	30
Interceptions
14	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	3
xGOT faced
1.77	1.32
Goals prevented
0.77	0.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Svarnas S. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Lopez I. ⚽, Otieno E. (A),
37', Szymonowicz D. 🟨,
44', Yakuba R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zhukov G. ↓, Tomalski H. ↑,
46', Yakuba R. ↓, Klimek A. ↑,
46', Kosidis M. ↓, Barkovsky G. ↑,
67', Lopez I. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
68', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
76', Adriano ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
83', Brunes J. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
84', Kochergin V. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
90+2', Serafin J. ↓, Siemaszko A. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Barkovsky G. ⚽, Cholewiak M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Puszcza Niepołomice
13.8%

Draw
22.5%

Raków Częstochowa
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

21.9%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

21.4%

61.6%

Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.74 ↑ (5.18)	4.14 ↓ (4.27)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)	5.9% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa?

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 1 - 3.3%). Raków will win (votes: 29 - 96.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 90.3% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +1 - Raków (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Raków (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 15 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0.
Puszcza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Raków is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Raków could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Raków is a favorite.
There will not play in Puszcza: Radecki M. (Injury) Tomalski H. (Injury)
There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M. (Inactive) Racovitan B. (Injury) Rodin M. (Yellow Cards)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 8:29 (average 0.6:2.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:12 (average 0.8:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Puszcza Niepołomice won against Raków Częstochowa?

Puszcza Niepołomice has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Puszcza Niepołomice?

Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:

28.09.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:0

03.07.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice 1:1

09.03.2024 Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa 1:1

03.09.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:0

27.06.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice 4:0

Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice

01.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin 0:3 ✺

29.03.2025 Cracovia - Puszcza Niepołomice 3:1 ✺

16.03.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Piast Gliwice 2:1 ✺

07.03.2025 Korona Kielce - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Motor Lublin 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Raków Częstochowa

31.03.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Raków Częstochowa 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Piast Gliwice - Raków Częstochowa 0:3 ✺

03.03.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk 3:1 ✺

21.02.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Zabrze 1:0 ✺

14.02.2025 Lech Poznań - Raków Częstochowa 0:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jagiellonia	19	10	5	4	36:23	13	35
2	Wisla Plock	20	8	9	3	23:14	9	33
3	Gornik Zabrze	20	10	3	7	31:26	5	33
4	Zaglebie	20	8	7	5	33:27	6	31
5	Cracovia	20	8	7	5	27:22	5	31
6	Rakow	20	9	3	8	27:25	2	30
7	Lech Poznan	20	7	8	5	31:30	1	29
8	Radomiak Radom	19	7	6	6	35:30	5	27
9	Korona Kielce	20	7	6	7	24:22	2	27
10	Piast Gliwice	20	7	5	8	22:21	1	26
11	GKS Katowice	19	8	2	9	26:28	-2	26
12	Lechia Gdansk	20	8	5	7	41:39	2	24
13	Motor Lublin	20	5	9	6	26:33	-7	24
14	Pogon Szczecin	20	6	4	10	30:35	-5	22
15	Arka Gdynia	19	6	4	9	17:34	-17	22
16	Legia	20	4	8	8	22:25	-3	20
17	Widzew Lodz	20	6	2	12	27:32	-5	20
18	Termalica B-B	20	5	5	10	25:37	-12	20

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1