Result
1:1
07/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 27
- Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (209/328) | 72% (271/378) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 27 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (209/328) | 72% (271/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (27/85) | 37% (26/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (49/111) | 65% (79/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 44% (8/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.04 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 58 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', Svarnas S. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 1, Lopez I. ⚽, Otieno E. (A),
- 37', Szymonowicz D. 🟨,
- 44', Yakuba R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Zhukov G. ↓, Tomalski H. ↑,
- 46', Yakuba R. ↓, Klimek A. ↑,
- 46', Kosidis M. ↓, Barkovsky G. ↑,
- 67', Lopez I. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 68', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
- 76', Adriano ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
- 83', Brunes J. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 84', Kochergin V. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
- 90+2', Serafin J. ↓, Siemaszko A. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Barkovsky G. ⚽, Cholewiak M. (A),
Chances of winning
Puszcza Niepołomice
13.8% | Draw
22.5% | Raków Częstochowa
63.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.74 ↑
(5.18) |
4.14 ↓
(4.27) |
1.49 ↓
(1.55) |
5.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +1 - Raków (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Raków (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Raków Częstochowa will win
(29 of 30 users predict this - 96.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.25% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 15 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0.
- Puszcza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Raków is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Raków could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Raków is a favorite.
- There will not play in Puszcza: Radecki M.
(Injury)
Tomalski H.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M.
(Inactive)
Racovitan B.
(Injury)
Rodin M.
(Yellow Cards)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 8:29 (average 0.6:2.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:12 (average 0.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Puszcza Niepołomice won against Raków Częstochowa?
Puszcza Niepołomice has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Puszcza Niepołomice?
Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
28.09.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:0
03.07.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
1:1
09.03.2024
Puszcza Niepołomice
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:1
03.09.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
2:0
27.06.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Puszcza Niepołomice
4:0
Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
