Puszcza Niepołomice vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa
Result
1:1
07/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 27
  • Referee: Przybyl J. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.15
Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1918
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
64% (209/328)72% (271/378)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.401.15
xG on target (xGOT)
1.321.77
Total shots
1918
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
89
Blocked Shots
73
Shots inside the Box
1410
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
3127
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
64% (209/328)72% (271/378)
Long passes
32% (27/85)37% (26/71)
Passes in final third
44% (49/111)65% (79/121)
Crosses
33% (5/15)44% (8/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.961.04
Fouls
1611
Tackles
50% (6/12)91% (10/11)
Duels won
5458
Clearances Total
3130
Interceptions
145
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.771.32
Goals prevented
0.770.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', Svarnas S. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Lopez I. , Otieno E. (A),
  • 37', Szymonowicz D. 🟨,
  • 44', Yakuba R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Zhukov G. , Tomalski H. ,
  • 46', Yakuba R. , Klimek A. ,
  • 46', Kosidis M. , Barkovsky G. ,
  • 67', Lopez I. , Diaz J. ,
  • 68', Barkovsky G. 🟨,
  • 76', Adriano , Rocha L. ,
  • 83', Brunes J. , Makuch P. ,
  • 84', Kochergin V. , Barath P. ,
  • 90+2', Serafin J. , Siemaszko A. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Barkovsky G. , Cholewiak M. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Puszcza Niepołomice
13.8%
Draw
22.5%
Raków Częstochowa
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18% 21.9% 60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6% 21.4% 61.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puszcza Niepołomice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.74
    (5.18)
    4.14
    (4.27)
    1.49
    (1.55)
    5.9%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Puszcza will win (votes: 1 - 3.3%). Raków will win (votes: 29 - 96.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 90.3%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0.
    • Puszcza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Raków is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Raków could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Raków is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Puszcza: Radecki M. (Injury) Tomalski H. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M. (Inactive) Racovitan B. (Injury) Rodin M. (Yellow Cards)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 8:29 (average 0.6:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Puszcza won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:12 (average 0.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:0
    03.07.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice 1:1
    09.03.2024 Puszcza Niepołomice - Raków Częstochowa 1:1
    03.09.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice 2:0
    27.06.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Puszcza Niepołomice 4:0
    Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock54108:2613
    2Cracovia531111:8310
    3Gornik Zabrze53027:439
    4Jagiellonia430110:919
    5Radomiak Radom622211:928
    6Termalica B-B62229:728
    7Legia42115:237
    8Widzew Lodz52127:527
    9Lech Poznan42118:9-17
    10Rakow42026:7-16
    11Zaglebie41219:635
    12Korona Kielce51225:6-15
    13Motor Lublin41215:7-25
    14Arka Gdynia51224:7-35
    15GKS Katowice51137:10-34
    16Pogon Szczecin51137:12-54
    17Piast Gliwice30120:3-31
    18Lechia Gdansk502311:17-6-3

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1