Raków Częstochowa vs Rapid Wien – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
27/11/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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usaUsaParamount+
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.230.63
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
81% (342/421)77% (266/347)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.230.63
xG on target (xGOT)
3.281.23
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
74
Shots inside the Box
116
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2311
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
81% (342/421)77% (266/347)
Long passes
57% (24/42)40% (21/52)
Passes in final third
66% (75/114)64% (59/92)
Crosses
17% (3/18)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.64
Throw-ins
1714
Fouls
1112
Tackles
79% (11/14)78% (18/23)
Duels won
5654
Clearances
1332
Interceptions
128
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.233.28
Goals prevented
0.23-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Brunes J. (Pen),
  • 40', 2 - 0, Diaby-Fadiga L. , Brunes J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Tudor F. , Konstantopoulos A. ,
  • 51', 3 - 0, Diaby-Fadiga L. , Adriano (A),
  • 53', 4 - 0, Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 60', Makuch P. 🟨,
  • 61', Diaby-Fadiga L. , Pienko T. ,
  • 61', Adriano , Bulat M. ,
  • 65', Gulliksen T. , Schaub L. ,
  • 65', Ndzie M. , Seidl M. ,
  • 65', Kara E. , Wurmbrand N. ,
  • 74', Brunes J. , Lopez I. ,
  • 75', 4 - 1, Antiste J. , Auer J. (A),
  • 81', Demir F. , Roka E. ,
  • 81', Cvetkovic N. , Groller A. ,
  • 87', Repka O. , Mircetic B. ,
  • 90+1', Schaub L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Horn J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Raków Częstochowa
50.4%
Draw
27.9%
Rapid Wien
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 27.7% 22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 26.7% 21.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Raków Częstochowa - Rapid Wien Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.89
    (1.9)
    3.43
    (3.43)
    4.34
    (4.24)
    5.1%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Rapid Wien?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Rapid will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 26.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 38.7%76.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 3 - 30%). Rapid (votes: 4 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.
    • Raków is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rapid's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Raków is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Leg Injury) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Rapid: Bischof N. (Ankle Injury) Borkeeiet T. (Knee Injury) M'Buyi C. (Muscle Injury) Marcelin J. (Hamstring Injury) Scholler J. M. (Shoulder Injury) Strunz O. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Raków: Ameyaw M. (Injury) Mosor A. (Inactive) Silva J. C. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Latest results of Rapid Wien
    Draw
    Play Offs

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