Result
0:2
03/05/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 31
- Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (229/324) | 84% (384/459) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (229/324) | 84% (384/459) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (16/51) | 50% (24/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (33/64) | 72% (91/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 36% (10/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.70 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 65', Gerbowski F. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
- 65', Kadzior D. ↓, Krykun S. ↑,
- 66', Diaz J. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 66', Mosor A. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 1, Barath P. ⚽,
- 76', Silva J. ↓, Rodin M. ↑,
- 77', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Beauguel J. ↑,
- 77', Knap K. ↓, Hannola P. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 2, Brunes J. ⚽, Lopez I. (A),
- 85', Brunes J. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
- 85', Kochergin V. ↓, Lederman B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stal Mielec
20.3% | Draw
24.8% | Raków Częstochowa
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.65 ↑
(4.3) |
3.78 ↑
(3.75) |
1.71 ↓
(1.75) |
6.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Raków will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 29.6% – 90.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Raków (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Raków (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 0.
- Recent form of Stal Mielec has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Raków is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Raków may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M.
(Muscle Injury)
Otieno E.
(Red Card)
Racovitan B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Raków Częstochowa?
Stal Mielec has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Stal Mielec?
Raków Częstochowa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
02.11.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Stal Mielec
1:0
24.02.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:0
19.08.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Stal Mielec
2:0
10.02.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:0
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
