Result
0:2
03/05/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 31
- Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.72 | 0.97 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
71% (229/324) | 84% (384/459) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.72 | 0.97 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.26 | 1.30 |
Total shots |
---|
5 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
0 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 11 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
10 | 23 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
71% (229/324) | 84% (384/459) |
Long passes |
---|
31% (16/51) | 50% (24/48) |
Passes in final third |
---|
52% (33/64) | 72% (91/127) |
Crosses |
---|
36% (4/11) | 36% (10/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.63 | 0.68 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
5 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
81% (13/16) | 67% (6/9) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 29 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.30 | 0.26 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.70 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 65', Gerbowski F. ↓, Domanski M. ↑,
- 65', Kadzior D. ↓, Krykun S. ↑,
- 66', Diaz J. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 66', Mosor A. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 1, Barath P. ⚽,
- 76', Silva J. ↓, Rodin M. ↑,
- 77', Wolsztynski L. ↓, Beauguel J. ↑,
- 77', Knap K. ↓, Hannola P. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 2, Brunes J. ⚽, Lopez I. (A),
- 85', Brunes J. ↓, Rocha L. ↑,
- 85', Kochergin V. ↓, Lederman B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stal Mielec 20.3% | Draw 24.8% | Raków Częstochowa 54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.65 ↑ (4.3) |
3.78 ↑ (3.75) |
1.71 ↓ (1.75) |
6.3% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Raków will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 0.
- Recent form of Stal Mielec has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Raków is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Raków may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M.
(Muscle Injury)
Otieno E.
(Red Card)
Racovitan B.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Mielec won against Raków Częstochowa?
Stal Mielec has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Stal Mielec?
Raków Częstochowa has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
02.11.2024
Raków Częstochowa
-
Stal Mielec
1:0
24.02.2024
Stal Mielec
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:0
19.08.2023
Raków Częstochowa
-
Stal Mielec
2:0
10.02.2023
Stal Mielec
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:0
Latest results of Stal Mielec
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cracovia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
2 | Radomiak Radom | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
3 | Termalica B-B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Wisla Plock | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Gornik Zabrze | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Motor Lublin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Widzew Lodz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Arka Gdynia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
10 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | GKS Katowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Zaglebie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Korona Kielce | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
16 | Pogon Szczecin | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
17 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1