Stal Mielec vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa
Result
0:2
03/05/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 31
  • Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.720.97
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
515
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
111
Passes
71% (229/324)84% (384/459)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.720.97
xG on target (xGOT)
0.261.30
Total shots
515
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
06
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
111
Touches in opposition box
1023
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
105
Passes
71% (229/324)84% (384/459)
Long passes
31% (16/51)50% (24/48)
Passes in final third
52% (33/64)72% (91/127)
Crosses
36% (4/11)36% (10/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.68
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
510
Tackles
81% (13/16)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4129
Clearances
1717
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.300.26
Goals prevented
-0.700.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 65', Gerbowski F. , Domanski M. ,
  • 65', Kadzior D. , Krykun S. ,
  • 66', Diaz J. , Makuch P. ,
  • 66', Mosor A. , Barath P. ,
  • 73', 0 - 1, Barath P. ,
  • 76', Silva J. , Rodin M. ,
  • 77', Wolsztynski L. , Beauguel J. ,
  • 77', Knap K. , Hannola P. ,
  • 82', 0 - 2, Brunes J. , Lopez I. (A),
  • 85', Brunes J. , Rocha L. ,
  • 85', Kochergin V. , Lederman B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Stal Mielec
20.3%
Draw
24.8%
Raków Częstochowa
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.7% 24.9% 53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2% 24.4% 54.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Mielec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.65
    (4.3)
    3.78
    (3.75)
    1.71
    (1.75)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stal Mielec will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Raków will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 0.
    • Recent form of Stal Mielec has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Raków is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Raków may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Stal Mielec: Ehmann M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Raków: Ameyaw M. (Muscle Injury) Otieno E. (Red Card) Racovitan B. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Stal Mielec won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stal Mielec won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Raków Częstochowa - Stal Mielec 1:0
    24.02.2024 Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa 0:0
    19.08.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Stal Mielec 2:0
    10.02.2023 Stal Mielec - Raków Częstochowa 0:0
    Latest results of Stal Mielec
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cracovia22006:156
    2Radomiak Radom21106:244
    3Termalica B-B21014:223
    4Wisla Plock11002:023
    5Gornik Zabrze11002:113
    6Motor Lublin11001:013
    7Widzew Lodz11001:013
    8Rakow11001:013
    9Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    10Piast Gliwice00000:000
    11Legia00000:000
    12GKS Katowice10010:1-10
    13Zaglebie10010:1-10
    14Korona Kielce10010:2-20
    15Lech Poznan10011:4-30
    16Pogon Szczecin10011:5-40
    17Jagiellonia10010:4-40
    18Lechia Gdansk10011:2-1-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1