Raków Częstochowa vs Universitatea Craiova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Football UEFA Europa Conference League Raków Częstochowa - Universitatea Craiova
Result
2:0
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Barbara I. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
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vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.13
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
224
Shots on target
100
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
101
Passes
87% (393/451)80% (289/363)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.00
Total shots
224
Shots on target
100
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
327
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
167
Passes
87% (393/451)80% (289/363)
Long passes
53% (18/34)38% (12/32)
Passes in final third
83% (96/116)51% (29/57)
Crosses
25% (7/28)50% (1/2)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.18
Throw-ins
1610
Fouls
716
Tackles
57% (8/14)88% (14/16)
Duels won
5251
Clearances
629
Interceptions
1116
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
0.001.26
Goals prevented
0.00-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Lopez I. ↓, Diaby-Fadiga L. ↑,
  • 26', Mora C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Pienko T. ⚽, Struski K. (A),
  • 53', Screciu V. 🟥,
  • 55', Ameyaw M. 🟨,
  • 59', Cicaldau A. ↓, Mekvabishvili A. ↑,
  • 59', Baiaram S. ↓, Teles ↑,
  • 59', Cretu A. ↓, Romanchuk O. ↑,
  • 65', Bancu N. 🟨,
  • 75', Pienko T. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
  • 75', Struski K. ↓, Barath P. ↑,
  • 76', Al Hamlawi A. ↓, Nsimba S. ↑,
  • 76', Baluta T. ↓, Houri L. ↑,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Repka O. ⚽, Bulat M. (A),
  • 86', Brunes J. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
  • 86', Repka O. ↓, Mircetic B. ↑,

Chances of winning


Raków Częstochowa
55.9%		Draw
25.3%		Universitatea Craiova
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 27.4% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 29.3% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raków Częstochowa's performance.
  • Universitatea Craiova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
    •

    Raków Częstochowa - Universitatea Craiova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.72 ↓
    (1.88)    		 3.76 ↑
    (3.41)    		 4.95 ↑
    (4.1)    		 5.1%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Universitatea Craiova?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). Uni Craiova will win (votes: 4 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 50.6% – 82.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Uni Craiova (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Raków (votes: 4 - 80%).
    • AH -0.5 - Uni Craiova (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Uni Craiova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Raków is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Injury) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Uni Craiova: Romanchuk O. (Inactive)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    28.09.2025 Widzew Łódź - Raków Częstochowa 0:1 ✺
    24.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Lech Poznań 2:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw 1:1 ✺
    15.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Zabrze 0:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Universitatea Craiova
    26.09.2025 Universitatea Craiova - FC Dinamo Bucureşti 2:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Oţelul Galaţi - Universitatea Craiova 1:0 ✺
    14.09.2025 Universitatea Craiova - Farul Constanța 2:0 ✺
    31.08.2025 Botoșani - Universitatea Craiova 1:1 ✺
    28.08.2025 Universitatea Craiova - İstanbul Başakşehir 3:1 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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