Raków Częstochowa vs Universitatea Craiova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Raków Częstochowa - Universitatea Craiova
Result
2:0
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Barbara I. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.13
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
224
Shots on target
100
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
101
Passes
87% (393/451)80% (289/363)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.260.00
Total shots
224
Shots on target
100
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
101
Touches in opposition box
327
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
167
Passes
87% (393/451)80% (289/363)
Long passes
53% (18/34)38% (12/32)
Passes in final third
83% (96/116)51% (29/57)
Crosses
25% (7/28)50% (1/2)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.18
Throw-ins
1610
Fouls
716
Tackles
57% (8/14)88% (14/16)
Duels won
5251
Clearances
629
Interceptions
1116
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
08
xGOT faced
0.001.26
Goals prevented
0.00-0.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Lopez I. , Diaby-Fadiga L. ,
  • 26', Mora C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Pienko T. , Struski K. (A),
  • 53', Screciu V. 🟥,
  • 55', Ameyaw M. 🟨,
  • 59', Cicaldau A. , Mekvabishvili A. ,
  • 59', Baiaram S. , Teles ,
  • 59', Cretu A. , Romanchuk O. ,
  • 65', Bancu N. 🟨,
  • 75', Pienko T. , Bulat M. ,
  • 75', Struski K. , Barath P. ,
  • 76', Al Hamlawi A. , Nsimba S. ,
  • 76', Baluta T. , Houri L. ,
  • 80', 2 - 0, Repka O. , Bulat M. (A),
  • 86', Brunes J. , Makuch P. ,
  • 86', Repka O. , Mircetic B. ,

Chances of winning


Raków Częstochowa
55.9%
Draw
25.3%
Universitatea Craiova
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 27.4% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 29.3% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Raków Częstochowa's performance.
  • Universitatea Craiova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Raków Częstochowa - Universitatea Craiova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.88)
    3.76
    (3.41)
    4.95
    (4.1)
    5.1%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Universitatea Craiova?
  • Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). Uni Craiova will win (votes: 4 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 21.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 50.6%82.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Uni Craiova (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Raków (votes: 4 - 80%).
    • AH -0.5 - Uni Craiova (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Playing home matches at a different stadium - ArcelorMittal Park.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Uni Craiova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Raków is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Injury) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There are questionable in Uni Craiova: Romanchuk O. (Inactive)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
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    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
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    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
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    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
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