Raków Częstochowa vs Wisła Płock – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Płock
Result
1:2
27/07/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 2
  • Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ 360, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.702.12
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
86% (412/479)75% (240/322)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
0.702.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.242.27
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2115
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
2117
Passes
86% (412/479)75% (240/322)
Long passes
49% (27/55)43% (29/68)
Passes in final third
66% (67/101)56% (49/87)
Crosses
37% (11/30)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.30
Throw-ins
1911
Fouls
1721
Tackles
70% (7/10)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5849
Clearances
2025
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
2.271.24
Goals prevented
0.250.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', Seck I. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 0, Diaby-Fadiga L. , Ameyaw M. (A),
  • 38', Sekulski L. (Pen),
  • 41', 1 - 1, Salvador I. ,
  • 42', Diaby-Fadiga L. 🟨,
  • 43', Konstantopoulos A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Haglind-Sangre M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Rocha L. , Makuch P. ,
  • 55', Diaby-Fadiga L. , Brunes J. ,
  • 55', Seck I. , Struski K. ,
  • 57', Nowak W. 🟨,
  • 59', Nastic B. 🟨,
  • 62', Ameyaw M. , Diaz J. ,
  • 64', Nastic B. , Kalandadze A. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Nowak W. , Sekulski L. (A),
  • 72', Nowak W. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 72', Adriano , Otieno E. ,
  • 87', Salvador I. , Krawczyk P. ,
  • 88', Sekulski L. , Mijuskovic N. ,
  • 89', Edmundsson A. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Mosor A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Raków Częstochowa
60.1%
Draw
24.1%
Wisła Płock
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62% 22.2% 15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 21.5% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • The chances for Wisła Płock have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Płock Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.5)
    3.89
    (4.18)
    6.06
    (5.88)
    4.8%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Płock?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 25 - 96.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 88.9%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 3.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Wisła Płock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Wisła Płock has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Raków is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Raków: Kochergin V. (Inactive) Lopez I. (Inactive) Racovitan B. (Knee Injury) Silva J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Wisła Płock: Gostomski M. (Knee Injury)
    • We predict that Raków will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Raków won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:9. (average 2.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:5. (average 3.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Płock were as follows:
    21.05.2023 Wisła Płock - Raków Częstochowa 1:2
    05.11.2022 Raków Częstochowa - Wisła Płock 7:1
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Latest results of Wisła Płock
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cracovia22006:156
    2Wisla Plock22004:136
    3Gornik Zabrze22003:126
    4Radomiak Radom21106:244
    5Termalica B-B21014:223
    6Legia11002:023
    7Widzew Lodz21013:303
    8Rakow21012:203
    9Pogon Szczecin21015:6-13
    10Lech Poznan21015:7-23
    11Motor Lublin21012:4-23
    12Jagiellonia21013:6-33
    13GKS Katowice20112:3-11
    14Zaglebie20112:3-11
    15Arka Gdynia20111:2-11
    16Piast Gliwice10010:1-10
    17Korona Kielce20020:4-40
    18Lechia Gdansk20024:6-2-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1