Result
5:3
27/02/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 24
- Referee: Piccolo L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.68 | 0.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 38 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (363/433) | 73% (227/313) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.68 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 5.51 | 2.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 38 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 27 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 62 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (363/433) | 73% (227/313) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (32/59) | 43% (33/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (141/197) | 63% (52/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (9/32) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 2.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.01 | 5.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.99 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', Obexer L. 🟨,
- 8', Ngana V. 🟨,
- 10', 0 - 1, Kamberi F. ⚽, Giandomenico L. (A),
- 12', 0 - 2, Saliji R. ⚽, Schmidt J. (A),
- 31', 1 - 2, Vladi S. ⚽,
- 45', Emini L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 46', Ngana V. ↓, Napfer T. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 2, Vladi S. ⚽, Obexer L. (A),
- 56', 3 - 2, Fazliu V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 60', Dickenmann M. 🟨,
- 63', Schmidt J. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
- 64', Obexer L. ↓, Petit V. ↑,
- 68', Kamberi F. 🟨,
- 71', 4 - 2, Fazliu V. ⚽, Dickenmann M. (A),
- 74', Frokaj L. ↓, Derbaci D. ↑,
- 74', Filet E. ↓, Afriyie D. ↑,
- 78', 4 - 3, De Carvalho F. ⚽, Saliji R. (A),
- 80', De Carvalho F. ↓, Luthi J. ↑,
- 80', Giandomenico L. ↓, Pousa R. ↑,
- 87', Vladi S. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
- 87', Fazliu V. ↓, Jackle O. ↑,
- 87', Napfer T. ↓, Ribeiro A. ↑,
- 90+1', 5 - 3, Afriyie D. ⚽, Koide H. (A),
Chances of winning
Aarau
58.4% | Draw
22.9% | Rapperswil-Jona
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Rapperswil-Jona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)The ML Model estimate for Aarau aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapperswil-Jona than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Aarau - Rapperswil-Jona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.61) |
4.05 ↑
(3.9) |
4.96 ↑
(4.64) |
7.8%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aarau - Rapperswil-Jona?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aarau (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Aarau will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 5.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Aarau is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Aarau: Thaler M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Rapperswil: Ambassa J.
(Inactive)
Morgado B.
(Yellow Cards)
Padula Lenna G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Aarau won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aarau won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Rapperswil-Jona?
Aarau has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rapperswil-Jona won against Aarau?
Rapperswil-Jona has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aarau - Rapperswil-Jona were as follows:
01.11.2025
Aarau
-
Rapperswil-Jona
2:1
29.08.2025
Rapperswil-Jona
-
Aarau
0:1
Latest results of Rapperswil-Jona
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 53:25 | 28 | 58 |
| 2 | Aarau | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 48:33 | 15 | 53 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49:30 | 19 | 46 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 35 |
| 5 | Xamax | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 33:34 | -1 | 32 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 24 | 9 | 1 | 14 | 29:39 | -10 | 28 |
| 7 | Wil | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 25 |
| 8 | Stade Nyonnais | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 24:32 | -8 | 22 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20:45 | -25 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
