Result
4:5
04/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (334/398) | 85% (369/433) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.31 | 4.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (334/398) | 85% (369/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (13/32) | 51% (22/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (42/76) | 72% (97/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.22 | 2.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.78 | -1.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 3)
- 2', 0 - 1, Vladi S. ⚽, Filet E. (A),
- 11', 1 - 1, Charveys A. ⚽, Kamberi F. (A),
- 25', 2 - 1, Luthi J. ⚽, Emini L. (A),
- 33', 2 - 2, Vladi S. ⚽, Zoukit N. (A),
- 36', 3 - 2, Luthi J. ⚽, Charveys A. (A),
- 43', Emini L. 🟨,
- 45+2', 3 - 3, Fazliu V. ⚽, Vladi S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Thaler M. ↓, Petit V. ↑,
- 52', 3 - 4, Filet E. ⚽, Petit V. (A),
- 58', Raicevic S. ↓, Padula Lenna G. ↑,
- 60', Ngana V. 🟨,
- 70', Derbaci D. ↓, Frokaj L. ↑,
- 71', Vladi S. ↓, Afriyie D. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 5, Filet E. ⚽, Afriyie D. (A),
- 73', Luthi J. ↓, De Carvalho F. ↑,
- 73', Charveys A. ↓, Ryter Y. ↑,
- 73', Giandomenico L. ↓, Sow C. ↑,
- 80', Dabanli B. 🟨,
- 81', Frokaj L. 🟨,
- 83', Fazliu V. ↓, Jackle O. ↑,
- 83', Filet E. ↓, Koide H. ↑,
- 83', Kamberi F. ↓, Ribeiro A. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 5, Sow C. ⚽, Emini L. (A),
Chances of winning
Rapperswil-Jona
14.4% | Draw
17.9% | Aarau
67.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rapperswil-Jona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rapperswil-Jona's form might have worsened.Aarau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aarau's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapperswil-Jona than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rapperswil-Jona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarau than the current prediction. (-9.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aarau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rapperswil-Jona - Aarau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.44 ↑
(4.45) |
5.18 ↑
(3.92) |
1.37 ↓
(1.65) |
7.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Rapperswil-Jona - Aarau?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aarau (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Aarau will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rapperswil won 0.
- Rapperswil has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Aarau is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Aarau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Aarau is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Rapperswil: Ajeti Ad.
(Yellow Cards)
Ambassa J.
(Inactive)
Napfer T.
(Injury)
Ryter Y.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Aarau: Dickenmann M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Rapperswil: Marchand Y.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Aarau: Aliu I.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rapperswil won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rapperswil won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Rapperswil-Jona won against Aarau?
Rapperswil-Jona has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aarau won against Rapperswil-Jona?
Aarau has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rapperswil-Jona - Aarau were as follows:
27.02.2026
Aarau
-
Rapperswil-Jona
5:3
01.11.2025
Aarau
-
Rapperswil-Jona
2:1
29.08.2025
Rapperswil-Jona
-
Aarau
0:1
Latest results of Rapperswil-Jona
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 62:33 | 29 | 68 |
| 2 | Aarau | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 60:40 | 20 | 66 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 61:38 | 23 | 56 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 40 |
| 5 | Xamax | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 43:46 | -3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 40:50 | -10 | 35 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 33 |
| 8 | Wil | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 33 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 29:60 | -31 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
