Result
1:2
24/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
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| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 2.21 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (211/275) | 89% (417/471) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 2.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.01 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
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| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 13 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 29 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
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| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (211/275) | 89% (417/471) |
| Long passes |
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| 50% (28/56) | 52% (14/27) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 67% (57/85) | 74% (93/125) |
| Crosses |
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| 52% (11/21) | 43% (10/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.45 | 1.88 |
| Throw ins |
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| 12 | 11 |
| Fouls |
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| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
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| 82% (14/17) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
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| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.50 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.50 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Mateusinho 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Mateusinho (Penalty Awarded),
- 40', Mhuaddarak T. 🟨,
- 41', Mutombo G. 🟨,
- 45+5', Promsupa S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Peenagatapho S. ↓, Kaewprom J. ↑,
- 58', Logarwit S. ↓, Denman A. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Rakotoharimalala N. ⚽, Negueba (A),
- 67', Limwannasthian T. ↓, Srisuwan K. ↑,
- 68', Chatthong S. ↓, Thiamrat L. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Rakotoharimalala N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 82', Deeromram K. ↓, Poomkaew C. ↑,
- 82', Rakotoharimalala N. ↓, Sidcley ↑,
- 82', Mateusinho ↓, Paredes J. ↑,
- 82', Denman A. ↓, Aranpiroj R. ↑,
- 86', Negueba 🟨,
- 90+2', Sidcley 🟨,
- 90+7', Negueba ↓, Yoryoei T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sukhothai
24.4% | Draw
25.2% | Ratchaburi
50.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sukhothai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ratchaburi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ratchaburi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sukhothai - Ratchaburi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.78 ↑
(3.23) |
3.66 ↑
(3.42) |
1.83 ↓
(2.06) |
8.4%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sukhothai - Ratchaburi?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ratchaburi (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 2.
- Sukhothai is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Ratchaburi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Sukhothai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Sukhothai has had a series of away games.
- Ratchaburi could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sukhothai won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sukhothai won against Ratchaburi?
Sukhothai has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ratchaburi won against Sukhothai?
Ratchaburi has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sukhothai - Ratchaburi were as follows:
05.12.2025
Ratchaburi
-
Sukhothai
1:0
15.03.2025
Sukhothai
-
Ratchaburi
2:1
02.11.2024
Ratchaburi
-
Sukhothai
2:2
30.03.2024
Sukhothai
-
Ratchaburi
1:0
21.10.2023
Ratchaburi
-
Sukhothai
3:1
Latest results of Sukhothai
Latest results of Ratchaburi
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 74:27 | 47 | 69 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:21 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Ratchaburi | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 48:29 | 19 | 53 |
| 4 | Pathum United | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Bangkok Utd | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 38:30 | 8 | 46 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 37:34 | 3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 42:42 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Chiangrai Utd | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 35:37 | -2 | 36 |
| 9 | Chonburi | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Ayutthaya Utd | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 32:42 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 39:41 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 34:46 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 20:41 | -21 | 25 |
| 14 | Muang Thong Utd | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:48 | -22 | 25 |
| 15 | Kanchanaburi | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27:51 | -24 | 22 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18:42 | -24 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
