Ratchaburi vs Muangthong United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
01/02/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Thai League 1 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
thailandThailandAIS PLAY

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.310.88
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
66
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
83
Passes
85% (425/498)80% (239/300)
Yellow cards
24
Expected goals (xG)
1.310.88
xG on target (xGOT)
2.901.91
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
12
Shots inside the box
88
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
83
Touches in opposition box
2014
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
158
Passes
85% (425/498)80% (239/300)
Long passes
62% (41/66)48% (25/52)
Passes in final third
59% (75/128)71% (55/77)
Crosses
36% (9/25)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
2.070.58
Throw ins
1718
Fouls
815
Tackles
100% (11/11)100% (8/8)
Duels won
4132
Clearances
1838
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
43
xGOT faced
1.912.90
Goals prevented
-0.09-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Nuntagowat T. ,
  • 37', Sawatlakhorn W. 🟨,
  • 44', Do T. , Saric M. ,
  • 45+6', 1 - 1, Gleyson , Tana (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Deeromram K. , Promrak A. ,
  • 51', Saric M. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Deni Junior , Negueba (A),
  • 64', Tasa K. , Willian Popp ,
  • 66', 3 - 1, Kaewprom J. ,
  • 68', Jakkuprasat S. , Limwannasthian T. ,
  • 71', Khamyok K. 🟨,
  • 72', Tana , Wonggorn J. ,
  • 76', Ahannach A. , Tsonkov S. ,
  • 76', Sawatlakhorn W. , Danuphon B. ,
  • 79', Kaewprom J. 🟨,
  • 88', Gleyson , Poomkaew C. ,
  • 90', 3 - 2, Willian Popp , Strauss J. (A),
  • 90+2', Negueba 🟨,
  • 90+7', Kim Dong-Su 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ratchaburi
60.5%
Draw
22.3%
Muangthong United
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 22.8% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7% 21.8% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ratchaburi's performance.
  • Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Ratchaburi - Muangthong United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.67)
    4.08
    (4.03)
    5.28
    (4.18)
    9.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Ratchaburi - Muangthong United?
  • Users Predictions: Ratchaburi will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ratchaburi will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ratchaburi won 2.
    • In recent matches, Ratchaburi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Muangthong United has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ratchaburi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ratchaburi is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ratchaburi won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ratchaburi won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ratchaburi - Muangthong United were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Muangthong United - Ratchaburi 1:3
    10.05.2025 Muangthong United - Ratchaburi 3:2
    19.01.2025 Ratchaburi - Muangthong United 1:0
    28.08.2024 Muangthong United - Ratchaburi 2:0
    11.05.2024 Ratchaburi - Muangthong United 1:2
    Latest results of Ratchaburi
    24.01.2026 Thai Port - Ratchaburi 2:1
    11.01.2026 Ratchaburi - Chonburi 1:0
    28.12.2025 Pattani - Ratchaburi 2:0
    Latest results of Muangthong United
    Thai League 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Buriram21172257:203753
    2Ratchaburi21133535:191642
    3Port MTI FC22124642:192340
    4Bangkok Utd21117333:211240
    5Pathum United22116533:221139
    6Prachuap22710529:28131
    7Ayutthaya Utd2278729:31-229
    8Rayong FC2177732:29328
    9Chiangrai Utd22610628:31-328
    10Uthai Thani2267934:37-325
    11Chonburi2267925:28-325
    12Lamphun Warrior22312729:39-1021
    13Sukhothai2249916:32-1621
    14Kanchanaburi232101122:44-2216
    15Muang Thong Utd22361319:42-2315
    16Nakhon Ratchasima FC21341414:35-2113

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Thai League 2