Result
3:2
10/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Thai FA Cup - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Thailand | True Ball Thai 1, True ID |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (190/288) | 72% (286/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (190/288) | 72% (286/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (21/63) | 39% (30/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (50/93) | 61% (94/154) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
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| 79% (11/14) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.84 | -2.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Tana ⚽, Rakotoharimalala N. (A),
- 5', 1 - 1, Lorenzen M. ⚽,
- 12', Kim Ji-Min 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 2, Kim Ji-Min ⚽, Tana (A),
- 25', 2 - 2, Arjvirai P. ⚽, Lorenzen M. (A),
- 35', Kraikruan S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Tasa K. 🟨,
- 64', Kim Ji-Min ↓, Sangkasopha P. ↑,
- 87', Rakotoharimalala N. 🟨,
- 87', Autra P. 🟨,
- 90', 3 - 2, Arjvirai P. ⚽,
- 90+2', Tasa K. ↓, Sattham J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Muangthong United
37.9% | Draw
25.7% | Ratchaburi
36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Muangthong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Muangthong United's form might have worsened.Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ratchaburi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Muangthong United than the current prediction. (+14.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Muangthong United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-13.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ratchaburi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Muangthong United - Ratchaburi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(1.83) |
3.58 ↑
(3.49) |
2.53 ↓
(3.74) |
8.6%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 3.
- Both teams have recently enjoyed a winning streak.
- In this match, Muangthong United is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Muangthong United won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:17. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Muangthong United won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:6. (average 2.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Muangthong United won against Ratchaburi?
Muangthong United has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ratchaburi won against Muangthong United?
Ratchaburi has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Muangthong United - Ratchaburi were as follows:
19.01.2025
Ratchaburi
-
Muangthong United
1:0
28.08.2024
Muangthong United
-
Ratchaburi
2:0
11.05.2024
Ratchaburi
-
Muangthong United
1:2
16.12.2023
Muangthong United
-
Ratchaburi
1:1
12.05.2023
Muangthong United
-
Ratchaburi
4:0
Latest results of Muangthong United
Latest results of Ratchaburi
Draw
2024/251/16-finals| 1 | Khonkaen FC | Cha Choeng Sao | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Sukhothai | Muang Loei | 4 : 0 |
| 3 | Bangkok Utd | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Nakhon Pathom | Muang Thong Utd | 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Bangkok FC | Suphanburi | 2 : 3 |
| 6 | Ratchaburi | Thai Navy | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Phrae | Rayong FC | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Nakhon Si | Lampang | 3 : 2 |
| 9 | Kasem Bundit | Chanthaburi | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Raj Pracha | Muangnont | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Mahasarakham | Buriram | 0 : 5 |
| 12 | Chiangrai Utd | Lamphun Warrior | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Kamphaeng Phet | Samut Sakhon City | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Chonburi | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Huasamrong | Surin City | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Lopburi City | Pathum United | 0 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Khonkaen FC | Sukhothai | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Bangkok Utd | Muang Thong Utd | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Suphanburi | Ratchaburi | 1 : 7 |
| 4 | Phrae | Nakhon Si | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Chanthaburi | Raj Pracha | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Buriram | Chiangrai Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Samut Sakhon City | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 1 : 4 |
| 8 | Surin City | Pathum United | 1 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sukhothai | Muang Thong Utd | 2 : 5 |
| 2 | Ratchaburi | Phrae | 7 : 1 |
| 3 | Chanthaburi | Buriram | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Pathum United | 1 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Muang Thong Utd | Ratchaburi | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Buriram | Pathum United | 3 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Muang Thong Utd | Buriram | 2 : 3 |
