Result
2:4
16/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Thai League 1 - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 2.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (295/355) | 78% (258/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 2.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 2.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (295/355) | 78% (258/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (34/47) | 38% (20/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (102/142) | 69% (50/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/34) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 19 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.86 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.14 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Deni Junior (Penalty Awarded),
- 40', Suengchitthawon T. ↓, Jakkuprasat S. ↑,
- 45', Jakkuprasat S. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Deni Junior ⚽, Kaewprom J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Cebara S. ↓, Kaminthong P. ↑,
- 46', Junior ↓, Filipovic V. ↑,
- 46', Sidcley ↓, Sorada A. ↑,
- 48', Sontisawat S. 🟨,
- 53', Kaminthong P. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 2, Amornlerdsak A. ⚽,
- 64', Ito R. ↓, Hempandan T. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 3, Rakotoharimalala N. ⚽, Tana (A),
- 71', Promrak A. ↓, Negueba ↑,
- 73', 1 - 4, Rakotoharimalala N. ⚽, Tana (A),
- 75', Amornlerdsak A. ↓, Sarakum M. ↑,
- 75', Sontisawat S. ↓, Kunmee S. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 4, Junior S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 83', Limwannasthian T. ↓, Yoryoei T. ↑,
- 83', Sorada A. ↓, Peenagatapho S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rayong FC
31.6% | Draw
26.3% | Ratchaburi
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayong FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Rayong FC - Ratchaburi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↑
(2.54) |
3.49 ↓
(3.63) |
2.18 ↓
(2.4) |
8.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rayong FC - Ratchaburi?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Rayong FC will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Ratchaburi will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ratchaburi: 50.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Ratchaburi (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Ratchaburi (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- 1X2, 1st Half - Ratchaburi (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ratchaburi will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Ratchaburi (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- Rayong FC is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ratchaburi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Rayong FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayong FC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:13. (average 0.2:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rayong FC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rayong FC won against Ratchaburi?
Rayong FC has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ratchaburi won against Rayong FC?
Ratchaburi has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rayong FC - Ratchaburi were as follows:
26.02.2025
Rayong FC
-
Ratchaburi
0:1
22.02.2025
Rayong FC
-
Ratchaburi
1:4
05.10.2024
Ratchaburi
-
Rayong FC
2:0
Latest results of Rayong FC
Latest results of Ratchaburi
Thai League 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buriram ✔ | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 69:23 | 46 | 63 |
| 2 | Port MTI FC | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 51:21 | 30 | 50 |
| 3 | Bangkok Utd | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 36:22 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Ratchaburi | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 40:25 | 15 | 44 |
| 5 | Pathum United | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 | Prachuap | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Chonburi | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Rayong FC | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Ayutthaya Utd | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Chiangrai Utd | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:36 | -5 | 29 |
| 11 | Uthai Thani | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 27 |
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 26 | 4 | 14 | 8 | 32:43 | -11 | 26 |
| 13 | Sukhothai | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 18:38 | -20 | 24 |
| 14 | Kanchanaburi | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26:48 | -22 | 22 |
| 15 | Muang Thong Utd | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:47 | -23 | 21 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16:39 | -23 | 18 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Thai League 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Buriram is Confirmed as championsnQualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
