Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Thai League 1
Result
2:4
16/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Thai League 1 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
thailandThailandAIS PLAY

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.992.85
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
79
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
144
Passes
83% (295/355)78% (258/331)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.992.85
xG on target (xGOT)
2.262.86
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
79
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
57
Shots inside the Box
1114
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
144
Touches in opposition box
2523
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
50
Free Kicks
78
Passes
83% (295/355)78% (258/331)
Long passes
72% (34/47)38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
72% (102/142)69% (50/72)
Crosses
21% (7/34)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.281.24
Throw-ins
1111
Fouls
87
Tackles
100% (5/5)70% (7/10)
Duels won
1935
Clearances
1528
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
2.862.26
Goals prevented
-1.140.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Deni Junior (Penalty Awarded),
  • 40', Suengchitthawon T. ↓, Jakkuprasat S. ↑,
  • 45', Jakkuprasat S. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Deni Junior ⚽, Kaewprom J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Cebara S. ↓, Kaminthong P. ↑,
  • 46', Junior ↓, Filipovic V. ↑,
  • 46', Sidcley ↓, Sorada A. ↑,
  • 48', Sontisawat S. 🟨,
  • 53', Kaminthong P. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Amornlerdsak A. ⚽,
  • 64', Ito R. ↓, Hempandan T. ↑,
  • 65', 1 - 3, Rakotoharimalala N. ⚽, Tana (A),
  • 71', Promrak A. ↓, Negueba ↑,
  • 73', 1 - 4, Rakotoharimalala N. ⚽, Tana (A),
  • 75', Amornlerdsak A. ↓, Sarakum M. ↑,
  • 75', Sontisawat S. ↓, Kunmee S. ↑,
  • 80', 2 - 4, Junior S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 83', Limwannasthian T. ↓, Yoryoei T. ↑,
  • 83', Sorada A. ↓, Peenagatapho S. ↑,

Chances of winning


Rayong FC
31.6%		Draw
26.3%		Ratchaburi
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 25.4% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 25.2% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayong FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Ratchaburi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayong FC than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ratchaburi than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
    •

    Rayong FC - Ratchaburi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.91 ↑
    (2.54)    		 3.49 ↓
    (3.63)    		 2.18 ↓
    (2.4)    		 8.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Rayong FC - Ratchaburi?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rayong FC will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Ratchaburi will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ratchaburi: 50.6% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ratchaburi (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Ratchaburi (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Ratchaburi (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Ratchaburi (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Ratchaburi (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • Rayong FC is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Ratchaburi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rayong FC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayong FC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:13. (average 0.2:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rayong FC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayong FC - Ratchaburi were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Rayong FC - Ratchaburi 0:1
    22.02.2025 Rayong FC - Ratchaburi 1:4
    05.10.2024 Ratchaburi - Rayong FC 2:0
    Latest results of Rayong FC
    06.12.2025 Lamphun Warriors - Rayong FC 2:2
    29.11.2025 Rayong FC - Chonburi 1:0
    23.11.2025 Kanchanaburi - Rayong FC 1:1
    09.11.2025 Pathum United - Rayong FC 1:1
    01.11.2025 Rayong FC - Sukhothai 2:0
    Latest results of Ratchaburi
    11.12.2025 Gamba Osaka - Ratchaburi 2:0 ✺
    05.12.2025 Ratchaburi - Sukhothai 1:0 ✺
    30.11.2025 Buriram United - Ratchaburi 2:0
    27.11.2025 Ratchaburi - Nam Định 2:0 ✺
    22.11.2025 Ratchaburi - Pathum United 0:0
    Thai League 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Buriram21172257:203753
    2Port MTI FC21123642:192339
    3Ratchaburi20123532:181439
    4Bangkok Utd20116332:201239
    5Pathum United21106531:211036
    6Rayong FC2177732:29328
    7Prachuap21610527:27028
    8Ayutthaya Utd2168728:31-326
    9Uthai Thani2167833:34-125
    10Chonburi2167825:27-225
    11Chiangrai Utd21510624:31-725
    12Sukhothai2149815:30-1521
    13Lamphun Warrior21311728:38-1020
    14Kanchanaburi222101022:40-1816
    15Muang Thong Utd21351319:42-2314
    16Nakhon Ratchasima FC20341313:33-2013

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Thai League 2

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