Rayo Vallecano vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
3:2
06/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Kopiyevsky V. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.890.37
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
289
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
87% (502/580)77% (233/304)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
2.890.37
xG on target (xGOT)
3.421.26
Total shots
289
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
132
Blocked Shots
94
Shots inside the Box
194
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
4913
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
18
Passes
87% (502/580)77% (233/304)
Long passes
68% (44/65)38% (18/47)
Passes in final third
79% (210/265)62% (40/65)
Crosses
29% (12/42)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.810.27
Throw-ins
2817
Fouls
81
Tackles
79% (15/19)73% (11/15)
Duels won
3234
Clearances
1738
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.263.42
Goals prevented
-0.740.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', Trejo O. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Palma L. ⚽, Pereira J. (A),
  • 25', Ciss P. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 2, Kozubal A. ⚽, Rodriguez P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', Gumbau G. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
  • 55', Balliu I. ↓, Ratiu A. ↑,
  • 57', Trejo O. ↓, Palazon I. ↑,
  • 57', Camello S. ↓, Alemao ↑,
  • 58', Valentin O. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Palazon I. ⚽, Diaz P. (A),
  • 60', Rodriguez P. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
  • 60', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
  • 60', Bengtsson L. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
  • 71', Palma L. ↓, Jagiello F. ↑,
  • 76', Mrozek B. 🟨,
  • 80', Perez F. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
  • 83', 2 - 2, de Frutos J. ⚽,
  • 90+1', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽, Ciss P. (A),

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
63.5%		Draw
21.9%		Lech Poznań
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.3% 20.3% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72% 19.3% 10.8%

Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznań Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.5 ↑
(1.37)		 4.39 ↓
(4.6)		 6.63 ↓
(8.2)		 4.6%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 21 - 80.8%). Lech will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 65.7% – 95.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rayo Vallecano will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Rayo Vallecano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Lech has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Rayo Vallecano has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Rayo Vallecano is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Chavarria P. (Red Card) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A. (Thigh Injury) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Murawski R. (Surgery) Walemark P. (Surgery)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Lopez U. (Injury) Luiz Felipe (Hamstring Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    01.11.2025 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 4:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Yuncos - Rayo Vallecano 1:6 ✺
    26.10.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés 1:0 ✺
    23.10.2025 Häcken - Rayo Vallecano 2:2 ✺
    19.10.2025 Levante - Rayo Vallecano 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    02.11.2025 Lech Poznań - Motor Lublin 2:2 ✺
    30.10.2025 Gryf Słupsk - Lech Poznań 1:2
    26.10.2025 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 0:0 ✺
    23.10.2025 Lincoln Red Imps - Lech Poznań 2:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin 2:2 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg651011:5616
    2Rakow64209:2714
    3AEK Athens641114:7713
    4Sparta Prague641110:3713
    5Rayo Vallecano641113:7613
    6Shakhtar Donetsk641110:5513
    7Mainz64117:3413
    8AEK Larnaca63307:1612
    9Lausanne63216:3311
    10Crystal Palace631211:6510
    11Lech Poznan631212:8410
    12Samsunspor631210:6410
    13Celje63128:7110
    14AZ Alkmaar63127:7010
    15Fiorentina63038:539
    16Rijeka62315:239
    17Jagiellonia62315:419
    18Omonia62225:418
    19Noah62226:7-18
    20Drita62224:8-48
    21KuPS61416:517
    22Shkendija62134:5-17
    23Zrinjski62138:10-27
    24Sigma Olomouc62137:9-27
    25Univ. Craiova62136:8-27
    26Lincoln Red Imps62137:15-87
    27Dyn. Kyiv62049:906
    28Legia62048:806
    29Slovan Bratislava62045:9-46
    30Breidablik61236:11-55
    31Shamrock Rovers61147:13-64
    32Hacken60335:8-33
    33Hamrun61054:11-73
    34Shelbourne60240:7-72
    35Aberdeen60243:14-112
    36SK Rapid60153:14-111

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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