Rayo Vallecano vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
06/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Kopiyevsky V. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 11
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 2
mexicoMexicoDisney+
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 23, Blue Sport 23
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 10
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.890.37
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
289
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
87% (502/580)77% (233/304)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
2.890.37
xG on target (xGOT)
3.421.26
Total shots
289
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
132
Blocked Shots
94
Shots inside the Box
194
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
4913
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
18
Passes
87% (502/580)77% (233/304)
Long passes
68% (44/65)38% (18/47)
Passes in final third
79% (210/265)62% (40/65)
Crosses
29% (12/42)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.810.27
Throw-ins
2817
Fouls
81
Tackles
79% (15/19)73% (11/15)
Duels won
3234
Clearances
1738
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.263.42
Goals prevented
-0.740.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', Trejo O. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Palma L. , Pereira J. (A),
  • 25', Ciss P. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 2, Kozubal A. , Rodriguez P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', Gumbau G. , Diaz P. ,
  • 55', Balliu I. , Ratiu A. ,
  • 57', Trejo O. , Palazon I. ,
  • 57', Camello S. , Alemao ,
  • 58', Valentin O. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Palazon I. , Diaz P. (A),
  • 60', Rodriguez P. , Lisman K. ,
  • 60', Ishak M. , Agnero Y. ,
  • 60', Bengtsson L. , Ismaheel T. ,
  • 71', Palma L. , Jagiello F. ,
  • 76', Mrozek B. 🟨,
  • 80', Perez F. , de Frutos J. ,
  • 83', 2 - 2, de Frutos J. ,
  • 90+1', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Garcia A. , Ciss P. (A),

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
63.5%
Draw
21.9%
Lech Poznań
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.3% 20.3% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72% 19.3% 10.8%

Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznań Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.5
(1.37)
4.39
(4.6)
6.63
(8.2)
4.6%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 21 - 80.8%). Lech will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 65.7%95.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rayo Vallecano will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rayo Vallecano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Lech has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Rayo Vallecano has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Rayo Vallecano is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Chavarria P. (Red Card) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A. (Thigh Injury) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Murawski R. (Surgery) Walemark P. (Surgery)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Lopez U. (Injury) Luiz Felipe (Hamstring Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor33007:079
    2Celje33007:259
    3Mainz33004:139
    4AEK Larnaca32105:057
    5Lausanne32105:147
    6Rayo Vallecano32107:437
    7Strasbourg32105:327
    8Fiorentina32016:246
    9Crystal Palace32015:236
    10Shakhtar Donetsk32016:426
    11KuPS31204:225
    12Rakow31203:125
    13Drita31203:215
    14Jagiellonia31203:215
    15AEK Athens FC31118:444
    16Sparta Prague31114:224
    17Noah31113:304
    18Rijeka31112:204
    19Sigma Olomouc31113:4-14
    20Univ. Craiova31112:3-14
    21Shkendija31112:3-14
    22Lincoln Red Imps31113:7-44
    23Lech Poznan31027:613
    24Dyn. Kyiv31026:513
    25Legia31023:4-13
    26Zrinjski31025:7-23
    27AZ Alkmaar31022:7-53
    28Hacken30213:4-12
    29Omonia30212:3-12
    30Shelbourne30120:2-21
    31Shamrock Rovers30122:7-51
    32Breidablik30120:5-51
    33Aberdeen30122:9-71
    34Slovan Bratislava30032:6-40
    35Hamrun30030:5-50
    36SK Rapid30031:8-70

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