Rayo Vallecano vs Lech Poznań – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
3:2
06/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Kopiyevsky V. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.890.37
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
289
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
87% (502/580)77% (233/304)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
2.890.37
xG on target (xGOT)
3.421.26
Total shots
289
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
132
Blocked Shots
94
Shots inside the Box
194
Shots outside the Box
95
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
4913
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
18
Passes
87% (502/580)77% (233/304)
Long passes
68% (44/65)38% (18/47)
Passes in final third
79% (210/265)62% (40/65)
Crosses
29% (12/42)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.810.27
Throw-ins
2817
Fouls
81
Tackles
79% (15/19)73% (11/15)
Duels won
3234
Clearances
1738
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.263.42
Goals prevented
-0.740.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 10', Trejo O. 🟨,
  • 11', 0 - 1, Palma L. ⚽, Pereira J. (A),
  • 25', Ciss P. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 2, Kozubal A. ⚽, Rodriguez P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', Gumbau G. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
  • 55', Balliu I. ↓, Ratiu A. ↑,
  • 57', Trejo O. ↓, Palazon I. ↑,
  • 57', Camello S. ↓, Alemao ↑,
  • 58', Valentin O. 🟨,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Palazon I. ⚽, Diaz P. (A),
  • 60', Rodriguez P. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
  • 60', Ishak M. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
  • 60', Bengtsson L. ↓, Ismaheel T. ↑,
  • 71', Palma L. ↓, Jagiello F. ↑,
  • 76', Mrozek B. 🟨,
  • 80', Perez F. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
  • 83', 2 - 2, de Frutos J. ⚽,
  • 90+1', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽, Ciss P. (A),

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
63.5%		Draw
21.9%		Lech Poznań
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.3% 20.3% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72% 19.3% 10.8%

Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznań Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.5 ↑
(1.37)		 4.39 ↓
(4.6)		 6.63 ↓
(8.2)		 4.6%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznań?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 21 - 80.8%). Lech will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 65.7% – 95.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rayo Vallecano will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Rayo Vallecano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Lech has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lech may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Rayo Vallecano has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Rayo Vallecano is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Chavarria P. (Red Card) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A. (Thigh Injury) Hakans D. (Ankle Injury) Murawski R. (Surgery) Walemark P. (Surgery)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Lopez U. (Injury) Luiz Felipe (Hamstring Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    01.11.2025 Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano 4:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Yuncos - Rayo Vallecano 1:6 ✺
    26.10.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés 1:0 ✺
    23.10.2025 Häcken - Rayo Vallecano 2:2 ✺
    19.10.2025 Levante - Rayo Vallecano 0:3 ✺
    Latest results of Lech Poznań
    02.11.2025 Lech Poznań - Motor Lublin 2:2 ✺
    30.10.2025 Gryf Słupsk - Lech Poznań 1:2
    26.10.2025 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 0:0 ✺
    23.10.2025 Lincoln Red Imps - Lech Poznań 2:1 ✺
    19.10.2025 Lech Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin 2:2 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Strasbourg ✔ 54108:4413
    2Shakhtar Donetsk540110:5512
    3Rakow53208:2611
    4AEK Athens531111:5610
    5Samsunspor531110:4610
    6Sparta Prague53117:3410
    7Rayo Vallecano531110:7310
    8Mainz53115:3210
    9Crystal Palace53029:459
    10AEK Larnaca52306:159
    11Fiorentina53028:449
    12Celje53028:719
    13AZ Alkmaar53027:709
    14Rijeka52215:238
    15Omonia52215:328
    16Lausanne52215:328
    17Noah52216:518
    18Jagiellonia52215:418
    19Drita52214:5-18
    20Lech Poznan521210:737
    21Shkendija52124:407
    22Sigma Olomouc52126:7-17
    23Univ. Craiova52124:5-17
    24Lincoln Red Imps52126:11-57
    25KuPS51314:316
    26Zrinjski52037:9-26
    27Breidablik51225:8-35
    28Dyn. Kyiv51047:9-23
    29Hacken50325:7-23
    30Legia51044:7-33
    31Slovan Bratislava51044:9-53
    32Hamrun51043:8-53
    33Aberdeen50233:11-82
    34Shelbourne50140:7-71
    35Shamrock Rovers50144:12-81
    36SK Rapid50052:13-110

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Strasbourg is Qualified for Conference League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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