Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid).

LaLiga - Round 38
Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 7, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	K-Sport 1, SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belarus	Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	TSN+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Go3 Sport Open Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 3
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	K Sport 1
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar 4, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
Switzerland	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
Taiwan	DAZN
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Futbol 5
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.11	0.66
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
27	9
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
11	2
Passes
81% (396/487)	77% (290/378)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.11	0.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.57	0.55
Total shots
27	9
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
10	5
Blocked Shots
9	2
Shots inside the Box
17	5
Shots outside the Box
10	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
11	2
Touches in opposition box
47	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	3
Free Kicks
14	9
Passes
81% (396/487)	77% (290/378)
Long passes
41% (25/61)	36% (26/72)
Passes in final third
69% (104/150)	59% (59/100)
Crosses
26% (6/23)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.80	1.15
Throw-ins
23	20
Fouls
9	14
Tackles
64% (9/14)	56% (9/16)
Duels won
54	45
Clearances
16	37
Interceptions
11	8
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	8
xGOT faced
0.55	1.57
Goals prevented
0.55	1.57

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Lopez U. 🟨,
45+2', Mascarell O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Lopez U. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
59', Balliu I. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
65', Muriqi V. ↓, Larin C. ↑,
65', Mascarell O. ↓, Morlanes M. ↑,
72', Domenech M. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
72', Sanchez A. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
75', Ciss P. 🟨,
79', Lato T. ↓, Mojica J. ↑,
89', de Frutos J. ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
89', Palazon I. ↓, Trejo O. ↑,
90+5', Samu Costa 🟨,

Chances of winning

Rayo Vallecano
64.3%

Draw
22.5%

Mallorca
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

23.1%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

22.7%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.57)	4.24 ↑ (4.2)	7.31 ↑ (6.55)	3.8% (3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca?

Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 38 - 92.7%). Mallorca will win (votes: 1 - 2.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 84.7% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rayo Vallecano will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 0.
Rayo Vallecano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Mallorca is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Mallorca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Rayo Vallecano is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Injury) Montiel J. (Thigh Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Valentin O. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Mallorca: Asano T. (Hamstring Injury) Maffeo P. (Muscle Injury) Prats A. (Calf Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 0.9:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Mallorca?

Rayo Vallecano has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mallorca won against Rayo Vallecano?

Mallorca has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca were as follows:

20.10.2024 Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano 1:0

11.02.2024 Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano 2:1

30.09.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca 2:2

04.06.2023 Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano 3:0

27.08.2022 Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca 0:2

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

18.05.2025 Celta de Vigo - Rayo Vallecano 1:2 ✺

15.05.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Betis 2:2 ✺

09.05.2025 Las Palmas - Rayo Vallecano 0:1 ✺

02.05.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Getafe 1:0 ✺

24.04.2025 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Mallorca

18.05.2025 Mallorca - Getafe 1:2 ✺

14.05.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1 ✺

10.05.2025 Mallorca - Valladolid 2:1 ✺

05.05.2025 Girona - Mallorca 1:0 ✺

22.04.2025 Barcelona - Mallorca 1:0 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	6:2	4	6
2	Betis	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
3	Rayo Vallecano	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
4	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
5	Getafe	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
6	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
7	Espanyol	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
8	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
9	Alaves	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
10	Elche	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
11	Real Sociedad	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
12	Valencia	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
13	Atl. Madrid	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
14	Celta Vigo	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
15	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	1:4	-3	1
16	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
17	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
18	Levante	2	0	0	2	3:5	-2	0
19	Girona	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
20	R. Oviedo	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2