Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca
Result
0:0
24/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 38
  • Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
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brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaTSN+
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croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 3 Baltic, Go3 Sport Open Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
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maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
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peruPeruDisney+
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portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar 4, LaLiga TV Bar
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 3
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tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
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ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Futbol 5
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV Online

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.110.66
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
279
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
112
Passes
81% (396/487)77% (290/378)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.110.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.570.55
Total shots
279
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
105
Blocked Shots
92
Shots inside the Box
175
Shots outside the Box
104
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
112
Touches in opposition box
4714
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
149
Passes
81% (396/487)77% (290/378)
Long passes
41% (25/61)36% (26/72)
Passes in final third
69% (104/150)59% (59/100)
Crosses
26% (6/23)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.801.15
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
914
Tackles
64% (9/14)56% (9/16)
Duels won
5445
Clearances
1637
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
0.551.57
Goals prevented
0.551.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Lopez U. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Mascarell O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Lopez U. , Diaz P. ,
  • 59', Balliu I. , Gumbau G. ,
  • 65', Muriqi V. , Larin C. ,
  • 65', Mascarell O. , Morlanes M. ,
  • 72', Domenech M. , Salas J. ,
  • 72', Sanchez A. , Rodriguez D. ,
  • 75', Ciss P. 🟨,
  • 79', Lato T. , Mojica J. ,
  • 89', de Frutos J. , Embarba A. ,
  • 89', Palazon I. , Trejo O. ,
  • 90+5', Samu Costa 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
64.3%
Draw
22.5%
Mallorca
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62% 23.1% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2% 22.7% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.57)
    4.24
    (4.2)
    7.31
    (6.55)
    3.8%
    (3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca?
  • Users Predictions: 41 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 38 - 92.7%). Mallorca will win (votes: 1 - 2.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 84.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rayo Vallecano will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 0.
    • Rayo Vallecano is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mallorca is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mallorca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Rayo Vallecano is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Injury) Montiel J. (Thigh Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury) Valentin O. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Mallorca: Asano T. (Hamstring Injury) Maffeo P. (Muscle Injury) Prats A. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 0.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano 1:0
    11.02.2024 Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano 2:1
    30.09.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca 2:2
    04.06.2023 Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano 3:0
    27.08.2022 Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca 0:2
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Latest results of Mallorca
    18.05.2025 Mallorca - Getafe 1:2
    14.05.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1
    10.05.2025 Mallorca - Valladolid 2:1
    05.05.2025 Girona - Mallorca 1:0
    22.04.2025 Barcelona - Mallorca 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Real Sociedad00000:000
    2Elche00000:000
    3Alaves00000:000
    4Celta Vigo00000:000
    5Rayo Vallecano00000:000
    6Real Madrid00000:000
    7Villarreal00000:000
    8Barcelona00000:000
    9Atl. Madrid00000:000
    10Sevilla00000:000
    11Mallorca00000:000
    12Valencia00000:000
    13Ath Bilbao00000:000
    14Espanyol00000:000
    15Betis00000:000
    16Getafe00000:000
    17Osasuna00000:000
    18Levante00000:000
    19Girona00000:000
    20R. Oviedo00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2