Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
11/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 19
  • Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoCanal 5, Sky Sport, VIX+, ViX Premium
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 2, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.320.72
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
52
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
65
Passes
77% (284/371)72% (232/321)
Yellow cards
15
Red Cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
2.320.72
xG on target (xGOT)
2.230.52
Total shots
149
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
75
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
11
Headed goals
01
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
1810
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1414
Passes
77% (284/371)72% (232/321)
Long passes
31% (22/71)34% (24/70)
Passes in final third
56% (60/108)49% (35/72)
Crosses
26% (5/19)35% (8/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.65
Throw ins
2121
Fouls
1414
Tackles
50% (10/20)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5241
Clearances
2628
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.522.23
Goals prevented
-0.480.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, de Frutos J. , Garcia A. (A),
  • 15', Mojica J. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Muriqi V. , Lato T. (A),
  • 38', Ratiu A. , Balliu I. ,
  • 40', Valjent M. 🟨,
  • 42', 2 - 1, Palazon I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', de Frutos J. 🟨,
  • 58', Lato T. 🟨,
  • 59', Lato T. , Joseph M. ,
  • 61', Maffeo P. 🟨,
  • 69', Diaz P. , Gumbau G. ,
  • 69', de Frutos J. , Pacha ,
  • 70', Sanchez A. , Darder S. ,
  • 70', Mascarell O. , Torre P. ,
  • 79', Martin C. , Perez F. ,
  • 80', Valentin O. 🟥,
  • 80', Garcia A. , Nteka R. ,
  • 81', Samu Costa , Llabres J. ,
  • 81', Maffeo P. , Prats A. ,
  • 85', Torre P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
49.8%
Draw
29.9%
Mallorca
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.8% 28.1% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 27.8% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.8)
    3.19
    (3.38)
    4.69
    (4.96)
    4.9%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). Mallorca will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 27.9%64.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Mallorca (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Mallorca (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 17)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Mallorca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Rayo Vallecano is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Ciss P. (International duty) Luiz Felipe (Injury) Mendez D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Mallorca: Morlanes M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Mumin A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mallorca: Pichu Cuellar (Injury) Raillo A. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca 0:0
    20.10.2024 Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano 1:0
    11.02.2024 Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano 2:1
    30.09.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca 2:2
    04.06.2023 Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano 3:0
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    06.01.2026 Granada - Rayo Vallecano 1:3
    02.01.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Getafe 1:1
    21.12.2025 Elche - Rayo Vallecano 4:0
    15.12.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Betis 0:0
    Latest results of Mallorca
    04.01.2026 Mallorca - Girona 1:2
    19.12.2025 Valencia - Mallorca 1:1
    13.12.2025 Mallorca - Elche 3:1
    05.12.2025 Real Oviedo - Mallorca 0:0
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona25201467:254261
    2Real Madrid25193354:213360
    3Villarreal25163647:272051
    4Atl. Madrid25146542:231948
    5Betis25119540:301042
    6Celta Vigo25910634:27737
    7Espanyol251051031:37-635
    8Ath Bilbao251041129:35-634
    9Osasuna25961030:29133
    10Real Sociedad2588937:38-132
    11Girona2579926:40-1430
    12Sevilla25851232:39-729
    13Getafe25851220:29-929
    14Alaves25761223:32-927
    15Rayo Vallecano24681022:31-926
    16Valencia25681126:39-1326
    17Elche255101032:37-525
    18Mallorca25661329:41-1224
    19Levante25461526:44-1818
    20Oviedo24381316:39-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2