Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
0:3
24/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 19
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStartimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, SINDOnews TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, True ID
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.261.69
Ball possession
26%74%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
28
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
40
Passes
68% (158/231)89% (626/701)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.261.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.542.09
Total shots
711
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
51
Blocked shots
02
Shots inside the box
510
Shots outside the box
21
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
826
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free kicks
910
Passes
68% (158/231)89% (626/701)
Long passes
38% (21/56)72% (41/57)
Passes in final third
53% (39/73)77% (114/149)
Crosses
13% (2/16)0% (0/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.54
Throw ins
2017
Fouls
109
Tackles
50% (13/26)52% (11/21)
Duels won
4761
Clearances
3612
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
2.090.54
Goals prevented
-0.910.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 62', 0 - 1, Baku R. ⚽, Diomande Y. (A),
  • 62', Beck A. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
  • 63', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
  • 68', 0 - 2, Nusa A. ⚽, Seiwald N. (A),
  • 70', 0 - 3, Raum D. ⚽, Diomande Y. (A),
  • 71', Baumgartner C. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
  • 71', Nusa A. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
  • 77', Pieringer M. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
  • 77', Honsak M. ↓, Behrens H. ↑,
  • 77', Raum D. ↓, Finkgrafe M. ↑,
  • 77', Bitshiabu E. ↓, Maksimovic A. ↑,
  • 84', Schoppner J. ↓, Niehues J. ↑,
  • 89', Gimber B. 🟨,
  • 90', Baku R. ↓, Henrichs B. ↑,

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
20%		Draw
21.4%		RB Leipzig
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.3% 22.8% 55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6% 22% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
    •

    Heidenheim - RB Leipzig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.77 ↑
    (4.47)    		 4.44 ↑
    (4.17)    		 1.64 ↓
    (1.7)    		 4.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Heidenheim - RB Leipzig?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - RB Leipzig (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1 - RB Leipzig (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Heidenheim (3.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Heidenheim (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (37 of 44 users predict this - 84.09%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.28% – 94.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RB Leipzig will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 30 high ROI users predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 6 - 20%). RB Leipzig (votes: 24 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 0.
    • Recent form of Heidenheim has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • RB Leipzig has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • RB Leipzig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, RB Leipzig has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, RB Leipzig is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh C. (Knock) Feller F. (Knee Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Zivzivadze B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Lukeba C. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Illness) Kaufmann M. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Bakayoko J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - RB Leipzig were as follows:
    30.08.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:0
    23.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:2
    06.10.2024 Heidenheim - RB Leipzig 0:1
    20.04.2024 Heidenheim - RB Leipzig 1:2
    02.12.2023 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:1
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    17.01.2026 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 1:1 ✺
    13.01.2026 Mainz - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Heidenheim - Köln 2:2 ✺
    21.12.2025 Heidenheim - Bayern Munich 0:4 ✺
    13.12.2025 St. Pauli - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    17.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich 1:5 ✺
    14.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Freiburg 2:0 ✺
    20.12.2025 RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen 1:3 ✺
    12.12.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 3:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt 6:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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