Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
0:3
24/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 19
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStartimes Sports Focus
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, SINDOnews TV
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, True ID
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.261.69
Ball possession
26%74%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
28
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
40
Passes
68% (158/231)89% (626/701)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.261.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.542.09
Total shots
711
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
51
Blocked shots
02
Shots inside the box
510
Shots outside the box
21
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
826
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
13
Free kicks
910
Passes
68% (158/231)89% (626/701)
Long passes
38% (21/56)72% (41/57)
Passes in final third
53% (39/73)77% (114/149)
Crosses
13% (2/16)0% (0/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.460.54
Throw ins
2017
Fouls
109
Tackles
50% (13/26)52% (11/21)
Duels won
4761
Clearances
3612
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
2.090.54
Goals prevented
-0.910.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 62', 0 - 1, Baku R. ⚽, Diomande Y. (A),
  • 62', Beck A. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
  • 63', Ibrahimovic A. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
  • 68', 0 - 2, Nusa A. ⚽, Seiwald N. (A),
  • 70', 0 - 3, Raum D. ⚽, Diomande Y. (A),
  • 71', Baumgartner C. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
  • 71', Nusa A. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
  • 77', Pieringer M. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
  • 77', Honsak M. ↓, Behrens H. ↑,
  • 77', Raum D. ↓, Finkgrafe M. ↑,
  • 77', Bitshiabu E. ↓, Maksimovic A. ↑,
  • 84', Schoppner J. ↓, Niehues J. ↑,
  • 89', Gimber B. 🟨,
  • 90', Baku R. ↓, Henrichs B. ↑,

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
20%		Draw
21.4%		RB Leipzig
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.3% 22.8% 55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6% 22% 57.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
    •

    Heidenheim - RB Leipzig Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.77 ↑
    (4.47)    		 4.44 ↑
    (4.17)    		 1.64 ↓
    (1.7)    		 4.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Heidenheim - RB Leipzig?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - RB Leipzig (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - RB Leipzig (2.02) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Heidenheim (3.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Heidenheim (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Users Predictions: RB Leipzig will win (37 of 44 users predict this - 84.09%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.28% – 94.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): RB Leipzig will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 30 high ROI users predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 6 - 20%). RB Leipzig (votes: 24 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 0.
    • Recent form of Heidenheim has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • RB Leipzig has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • RB Leipzig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, RB Leipzig has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, RB Leipzig is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Conteh C. (Knock) Feller F. (Knee Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Zivzivadze B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Leipzig: Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Lukeba C. (Knee Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Conteh S. (Illness) Kaufmann M. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Bakayoko J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 0.8:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - RB Leipzig were as follows:
    30.08.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:0
    23.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:2
    06.10.2024 Heidenheim - RB Leipzig 0:1
    20.04.2024 Heidenheim - RB Leipzig 1:2
    02.12.2023 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:1
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    17.01.2026 Wolfsburg - Heidenheim 1:1 ✺
    13.01.2026 Mainz - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Heidenheim - Köln 2:2 ✺
    21.12.2025 Heidenheim - Bayern Munich 0:4 ✺
    13.12.2025 St. Pauli - Heidenheim 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of RB Leipzig
    17.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich 1:5 ✺
    14.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Freiburg 2:0 ✺
    20.12.2025 RB Leipzig - Bayer Leverkusen 1:3 ✺
    12.12.2025 Union Berlin - RB Leipzig 3:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 RB Leipzig - Eintracht Frankfurt 6:0 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich24203188:236563
    2Dortmund24157251:252652
    3Hoffenheim24144649:311846
    4Stuttgart24144648:321646
    5RB Leipzig24135646:331344
    6Bayer Leverkusen23124744:291540
    7Eintracht Frankfurt2497848:49-134
    8Freiburg2496934:39-533
    9Augsburg24941130:41-1131
    10Union Berlin24771029:38-928
    11Hamburger SV2368926:34-826
    12B. Monchengladbach24671127:39-1225
    13FC Koln24661233:41-824
    14Mainz24581127:39-1223
    15St. Pauli24651323:40-1723
    16Werder Bremen24571225:44-1922
    17Wolfsburg24551433:53-2020
    18Heidenheim24351622:53-3114

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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