Result
1:1
17/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 33
- Referee: Wright P. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (163/247) | 82% (403/490) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 5 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (163/247) | 82% (403/490) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (18/66) | 46% (23/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 36% (19/53) | 67% (107/160) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 23% (10/44) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 60 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Roberts H. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
- 27', O'Connor P. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Marriott J. ⚽, Savage C. (A),
- 42', Doyle K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Marriott J. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
- 59', Doyle K. ↓, Keane W. ↑,
- 65', O'Connor P. ↓, Burns F. ↑,
- 70', Erhahon E. ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
- 71', Cissoko I. ↓, Blackett-Taylor C. ↑,
- 77', Apter R. ↓, Burstow M. ↑,
- 77', Kenny J. ↓, McAtee J. ↑,
- 80', Savage C. 🟨,
- 82', Osei-Tutu J. ↓, Christie C. ↑,
- 85', Ehibhatiomhan K. 🟨,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Burstow M. ⚽, Rodrigues R. (A),
- 90+10', Forino-Joseph C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Reading 29.8% | Draw 26.7% | Bolton Wanderers 43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Reading - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.14 ↑ (3.05) |
3.51 ↑ (3.43) |
2.16 ↑ (2.13) |
6.6% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Reading - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Bolton will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 44.1% – 94.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Reading (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reading won 2.
- Reading is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bolton is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Reading may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Bolton will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Reading: Elliott B.
(Inactive)
Kyerewaa D.
(Inactive)
Williams D.
(Inactive)
Williams R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bolton: Cozier-Duberry A.
(Inactive)
Forss M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Reading: Keane W.
(Inactive)
Rinomhota A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bolton: Conway M.
(Inactive)
Taylor R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Reading won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Bolton Wanderers?
Reading has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Reading?
Bolton Wanderers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
20.08.2025
Bolton Wanderers
-
Reading
1:1
01.02.2025
Reading
-
Bolton Wanderers
1:0
21.09.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Reading
5:2
01.04.2024
Bolton Wanderers
-
Reading
5:2
16.09.2023
Reading
-
Bolton Wanderers
2:1
Latest results of Reading
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship