Bristol Rovers vs Reading – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League One - Round 45
Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	1.02
Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
5	6
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	5
Passes
61% (136/224)	67% (198/296)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.71	1.02
xG on target (xGOT)
2.51	1.62
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
5	6
Shots off target
8	2
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
11	7
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
5	5
Touches in opposition box
27	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
6	5
Free Kicks
14	12
Passes
61% (136/224)	67% (198/296)
Long passes
29% (20/68)	41% (28/69)
Passes in final third
55% (66/120)	56% (65/117)
Crosses
26% (8/31)	25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.04	0.53
Throw-ins
28	23
Fouls
12	14
Tackles
83% (10/12)	43% (6/14)
Duels won
58	68
Clearances
33	57
Interceptions
6	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	5
xGOT faced
1.62	2.51
Goals prevented
-0.38	2.51

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
67', 0 - 1, Wing L. ⚽, Savage C. (A),
73', Mola C. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
73', Shaw K. ↓, Dewsbury O. ↑,
76', Rushesha T. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
82', Swinkels S. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
82', O'Donkor G. ↓, Ward G. ↑,
86', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
90+1', Sotiriou R. 🟨,
90+2', Wareham J. ↓, Stickland M. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Campbell C. ⚽, Knibbs H. (A),

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
32%

Draw
27.2%

Reading
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

27.4%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

27.1%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Bristol Rovers - Reading Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.76)	3.47 ↑ (3.42)	2.31 ↓ (2.42)	5.9% (6.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Reading?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Reading will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 57.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Reading will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Reading (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 7).
Bristol Rovers has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Reading is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Reading will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)
There will not play in Reading: Craig M. (Injury) Dean H. (Hip Injury) Dorsett A. J. R. (Hamstring Injury) Elliott B. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Inactive) Sotiriou R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Reading: Abrefa K. (Injury)
Last 3 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Reading?

Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Bristol Rovers?

Reading has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Reading were as follows:

26.10.2024 Reading - Bristol Rovers 1:0

09.04.2024 Bristol Rovers - Reading 0:2

07.11.2023 Reading - Bristol Rovers 1:1

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

21.04.2025 Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough 0:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Wrexham - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Bristol Rovers - Exeter City 1:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

01.04.2025 Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Reading

21.04.2025 Mansfield Town - Reading 1:5 ✺

18.04.2025 Reading - Lincoln City 0:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Northampton Town - Reading 0:0 ✺

08.04.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Reading 1:3 ✺

05.04.2025 Reading - Wycombe Wanderers 1:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Doncaster	39	14	8	17	42:59	-17	50
16	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
17	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	37	7	10	20	29:50	-21	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two