Mansfield Town vs Reading – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 26

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.650.54
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
72
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
136
Passes
72% (258/359)70% (260/373)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.650.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.06
Total shots
167
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
84
Blocked shots
11
Shots inside the box
107
Shots outside the box
60
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
136
Touches in opposition box
3018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1010
Passes
72% (258/359)70% (260/373)
Long passes
25% (16/65)26% (23/88)
Passes in final third
56% (88/158)57% (44/77)
Crosses
21% (8/38)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.79
Throw ins
3032
Fouls
1010
Tackles
71% (5/7)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4851
Clearances
2952
Interceptions
1317
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
16
xGOT faced
0.060.77
Goals prevented
0.06-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Burns F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 65', Fraser L. , Lane P. ,
  • 66', Doyle K. , Ritchie M. ,
  • 67', Adeboyejo V. , Oates R. ,
  • 67', Russell J. , Hendry R. ,
  • 70', 1 - 0, Reed L. , Evans W. (A),
  • 74', Nyambe R. , Keane W. ,
  • 74', Ehibhatiomhan K. , Patton S. ,
  • 76', Hewitt E. , Bowery J. ,
  • 80', McLaughlin S. , Irow O. ,
  • 80', Abbott G. , Lewis A. ,
  • 84', Williams R. , Yiadom A. ,
  • 90+3', Wing L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mansfield Town
41.4%
Draw
28.7%
Reading
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 27.9% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 28.1% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Mansfield Town - Reading Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.4)
    3.27
    (3.25)
    3.12
    (2.65)
    6.2%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Reading?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Reading will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Reading (2.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to FA Cup.
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 9)
    • Mansfield is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Reading is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Reading may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Hendry R. (Inactive) Knoyle K. (Inactive) Maris G. (Inactive) Roberts T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Bowery J. (Inactive) Gardner J. (Inactive) Hewitt E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Lane P. (Inactive) Williams D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mansfield won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Reading were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Reading - Mansfield Town 1:1
    21.04.2025 Mansfield Town - Reading 1:5
    29.12.2024 Reading - Mansfield Town 2:1
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    Latest results of Reading
    07.03.2026 Luton Town - Reading 2:3
    28.02.2026 Reading - Bradford City 2:1
    21.02.2026 Port Vale - Reading 1:1
    17.02.2026 Reading - Bolton Wanderers 1:1
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln39259574:344084
    2Cardiff39238873:413277
    3Bolton391715755:391666
    4Bradford City391981249:44565
    5Stockport County371791151:48360
    6Stevenage381791241:38360
    7Plymouth391851660:54659
    8Reading3915131157:51658
    9Huddersfield391691459:51857
    10Wycombe3915111355:431256
    11Luton3915101452:49355
    12Peterborough381551857:52550
    13Barnsley3713111359:60-150
    14AFC Wimbledon381481649:55-650
    15Mansfield3712131247:41649
    16Leyton Orient381461855:62-748
    17Doncaster381381741:59-1847
    18Burton3912101744:54-1046
    19Wigan3811121541:51-1045
    20Exeter391191942:52-1042
    21Blackpool391191946:63-1742
    22Rotherham38992035:58-2336
    23Northampton39982233:56-2335
    24Port Vale367101929:49-2031

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two