Reading vs Mansfield Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 11
  • Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.80
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
86% (457/529)73% (249/340)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.030.53
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1323
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
86% (457/529)73% (249/340)
Long passes
35% (15/43)32% (19/60)
Passes in final third
70% (105/151)56% (56/100)
Crosses
11% (2/19)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.84
Throw-ins
2025
Fouls
1313
Tackles
42% (5/12)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4944
Clearances
3428
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
22
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.531.03
Goals prevented
-0.470.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Roberts T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Lane P. , Ehibhatiomhan K. ,
  • 61', Ahmed A. , Abrefa K. ,
  • 61', Kyerewaa D. , Ritchie M. ,
  • 65', McLaughlin S. , Sweeney R. ,
  • 66', Burns F. 🟨,
  • 71', Roberts T. , Maris G. ,
  • 71', Oates R. , Gardner J. ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Marriott J. ,
  • 81', Evans W. , Dickov M. ,
  • 81', Moriah-Welsh N. , Dwyer D. ,
  • 89', Doyle K. , O'Mahony M. ,
  • 90+2', Ritchie M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Knoyle K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Reading
36.8%
Draw
28.2%
Mansfield Town
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 28.2% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 27% 30.9%

Reading - Mansfield Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.67
(2.35)
3.42
(3.3)
2.7
(2.9)
3.8%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Reading - Mansfield Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Reading will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 12).
    • Recent performances by Reading have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mansfield is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Reading: Williams D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L. (Injury) Cargill B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Garcia A. (Injury) O'Connor P. (Calf Injury) Rushesha T. (Injury) Yiadom A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Hendry R. (Injury) Reed L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Reading won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Reading won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - Mansfield Town were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Mansfield Town - Reading 1:5
    29.12.2024 Reading - Mansfield Town 2:1
    Latest results of Reading
    27.09.2025 Stockport County - Reading 1:1
    23.09.2025 Wrexham - Reading 2:0
    20.09.2025 Reading - Leyton Orient 2:1
    13.09.2025 Barnsley - Reading 3:2
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff22152540:231747
    2Lincoln23135534:231144
    3Bradford City22127332:211143
    4Stockport County22115633:29438
    5Huddersfield23114842:311137
    6Bolton22107530:21937
    7Stevenage21106525:17836
    8Luton23105833:28535
    9Wycombe2378829:27229
    10Reading2278729:28129
    11Mansfield2285928:28029
    12Wigan2278725:25029
    13Blackpool23851029:30-129
    14Peterborough22921126:28-229
    15Barnsley2084832:32028
    16Leyton Orient23841134:38-428
    17AFC Wimbledon22841024:30-628
    18Burton2276923:29-627
    19Northampton22831122:28-627
    20Exeter22821222:21126
    21Plymouth23821328:38-1026
    22Rotherham23661122:33-1124
    23Doncaster23641323:40-1722
    24Port Vale22361313:30-1715

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two