Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 11
- Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (457/529) | 73% (249/340) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (457/529) | 73% (249/340) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (15/43) | 32% (19/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (105/151) | 56% (56/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Roberts T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Lane P. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan K. ↑,
- 61', Ahmed A. ↓, Abrefa K. ↑,
- 61', Kyerewaa D. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
- 65', McLaughlin S. ↓, Sweeney R. ↑,
- 66', Burns F. 🟨,
- 71', Roberts T. ↓, Maris G. ↑,
- 71', Oates R. ↓, Gardner J. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Marriott J. ⚽,
- 81', Evans W. ↓, Dickov M. ↑,
- 81', Moriah-Welsh N. ↓, Dwyer D. ↑,
- 89', Doyle K. ↓, O'Mahony M. ↑,
- 90+2', Ritchie M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Knoyle K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Reading
36.8% | Draw
28.2% | Mansfield Town
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Reading - Mansfield Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.35) |
3.42 ↑
(3.3) |
2.7 ↓
(2.9) |
3.8%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Reading - Mansfield Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Reading will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 12).
- Recent performances by Reading have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Mansfield is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Reading: Williams D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L.
(Injury)
Cargill B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Reading: Garcia A.
(Injury)
O'Connor P.
(Calf Injury)
Rushesha T.
(Injury)
Yiadom A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mansfield: Hendry R.
(Injury)
Reed L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Reading won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Reading won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Mansfield Town?
Reading has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against Reading?
Mansfield Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - Mansfield Town were as follows:
21.04.2025
Mansfield Town
-
Reading
1:5
29.12.2024
Reading
-
Mansfield Town
2:1
Latest results of Reading
Latest results of Mansfield Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
