Reading vs Mansfield Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 11
  • Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.80
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
86% (457/529)73% (249/340)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.920.80
xG on target (xGOT)
1.030.53
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
76
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
106
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
1323
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
86% (457/529)73% (249/340)
Long passes
35% (15/43)32% (19/60)
Passes in final third
70% (105/151)56% (56/100)
Crosses
11% (2/19)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.84
Throw-ins
2025
Fouls
1313
Tackles
42% (5/12)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4944
Clearances
3428
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
22
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.531.03
Goals prevented
-0.470.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Roberts T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Lane P. , Ehibhatiomhan K. ,
  • 61', Ahmed A. , Abrefa K. ,
  • 61', Kyerewaa D. , Ritchie M. ,
  • 65', McLaughlin S. , Sweeney R. ,
  • 66', Burns F. 🟨,
  • 71', Roberts T. , Maris G. ,
  • 71', Oates R. , Gardner J. ,
  • 72', 1 - 1, Marriott J. ,
  • 81', Evans W. , Dickov M. ,
  • 81', Moriah-Welsh N. , Dwyer D. ,
  • 89', Doyle K. , O'Mahony M. ,
  • 90+2', Ritchie M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Knoyle K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Reading
36.8%
Draw
28.2%
Mansfield Town
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 28.2% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 27% 30.9%

Reading - Mansfield Town Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.67
(2.35)
3.42
(3.3)
2.7
(2.9)
3.8%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Reading - Mansfield Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Reading will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 12).
    • Recent performances by Reading have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mansfield is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Reading: Williams D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L. (Injury) Cargill B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Garcia A. (Injury) O'Connor P. (Calf Injury) Rushesha T. (Injury) Yiadom A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Hendry R. (Injury) Reed L. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Reading won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Reading won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - Mansfield Town were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Mansfield Town - Reading 1:5
    29.12.2024 Reading - Mansfield Town 2:1
    Latest results of Reading
    27.09.2025 Stockport County - Reading 1:1
    23.09.2025 Wrexham - Reading 2:0
    20.09.2025 Reading - Leyton Orient 2:1
    13.09.2025 Barnsley - Reading 3:2
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff17112431:171435
    2Bradford City1897226:18834
    3Stevenage1694319:11831
    4Lincoln1894523:18531
    5Stockport County1785423:21229
    6Bolton1777324:16828
    7Luton1883721:22-127
    8Huddersfield1882830:28226
    9AFC Wimbledon1782723:25-226
    10Barnsley1574426:19725
    11Wigan1867521:20125
    12Wycombe1866626:20624
    13Leyton Orient1873829:29024
    14Rotherham1866620:20024
    15Northampton1772816:17-123
    16Mansfield1764723:23022
    17Reading1757520:20022
    18Doncaster1864817:24-722
    19Burton1864816:24-822
    20Exeter17521016:18-217
    21Peterborough17511119:25-616
    22Blackpool18441017:28-1116
    23Plymouth18511219:32-1316
    24Port Vale18351011:21-1014

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two