Mansfield Town vs Reading – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Mansfield Town - Reading
Result
1:5
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 44
  • Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.931.65
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
78% (390/500)63% (169/270)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.931.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.553.44
Total shots
159
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2521
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1018
Passes
78% (390/500)63% (169/270)
Long passes
44% (27/61)32% (26/82)
Passes in final third
68% (114/168)46% (47/103)
Crosses
17% (4/24)0% (0/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.260.80
Fouls
1810
Tackles
58% (7/12)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5152
Clearances Total
2125
Interceptions
211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
3.441.55
Goals prevented
-0.560.55

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Wareham J. , Ehibhatiomhan K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 46', Kilgour A. , Vickers C. ,
  • 46', Hewitt E. , Williams G. ,
  • 49', 0 - 2, Williams G. (Own goal),
  • 58', 0 - 3, Wing L. , Savage C. (A),
  • 62', 1 - 3, Baccus K. , Reed L. (A),
  • 64', Cargill B. , Flint A. ,
  • 64', Maris G. , Boateng H. ,
  • 66', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 71', Lewis A. , Dwyer D. ,
  • 74', 1 - 4, Wareham J. ,
  • 76', Garcia A. , Bodin B. ,
  • 76', Ehibhatiomhan K. , Yiadom A. ,
  • 82', Baccus K. 🟨,
  • 88', Wareham J. , Carroll T. ,
  • 88', Campbell C. , Akande A. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 5, Bodin B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mansfield Town
45.5%
Draw
26.9%
Reading
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 27.7% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 28% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Mansfield Town - Reading Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.27)
    3.52
    (3.4)
    3.4
    (3.08)
    6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Reading?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Reading will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 18 and 7).
    • Mansfield is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Reading is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Mansfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Mansfield will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Blake-Tracy F. (Inactive) Gregory L. (Inactive) Oates R. (Inactive) Quinn B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Reading: Craig M. (Injury) Dean H. (Hip Injury) Dorsett A. J. R. (Hamstring Injury) Elliott B. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Evans W. (Inactive) MacDonald C. (Inactive) Quinn S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Abrefa K. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Mansfield won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Reading were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Reading - Mansfield Town 2:1
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    Latest results of Reading
    18.04.2025 Reading - Lincoln City 0:1
    12.04.2025 Northampton Town - Reading 0:0
    08.04.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Reading 1:3
    01.04.2025 Blackpool - Reading 3:0
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage44008:3512
    2Cardiff43106:1510
    3Barnsley43108:4410
    4Bradford City43106:3310
    5Huddersfield43019:369
    6Luton43015:239
    7Lincoln43016:429
    8Stockport County42117:527
    9Leyton Orient42115:507
    10Doncaster42114:407
    11Exeter42026:426
    12Mansfield42026:516
    13Wigan42025:416
    14AFC Wimbledon42024:316
    15Bolton41214:405
    16Burton31114:404
    17Rotherham31022:5-33
    18Blackpool41036:11-53
    19Port Vale40222:4-22
    20Wycombe40133:6-31
    21Reading40132:7-51
    22Northampton40131:6-51
    23Plymouth40043:9-60
    24Peterborough40041:7-60

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two