Result
1:0
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (258/359) | 70% (260/373) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (258/359) | 70% (260/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (16/65) | 26% (23/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (88/158) | 57% (44/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (8/38) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.79 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Burns F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', Fraser L. ↓, Lane P. ↑,
- 66', Doyle K. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
- 67', Adeboyejo V. ↓, Oates R. ↑,
- 67', Russell J. ↓, Hendry R. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 0, Reed L. ⚽, Evans W. (A),
- 74', Nyambe R. ↓, Keane W. ↑,
- 74', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Patton S. ↑,
- 76', Hewitt E. ↓, Bowery J. ↑,
- 80', McLaughlin S. ↓, Irow O. ↑,
- 80', Abbott G. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
- 84', Williams R. ↓, Yiadom A. ↑,
- 90+3', Wing L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mansfield Town 41.4% | Draw 28.7% | Reading 30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Mansfield Town - Reading Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.29 ↓ (2.4) |
3.27 ↑ (3.25) |
3.12 ↑ (2.65) |
6.2% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Reading?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Reading will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Reading (2.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to FA Cup.
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 9)
- Mansfield is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Reading is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Reading may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Mansfield: Hendry R.
(Inactive)
Knoyle K.
(Inactive)
Maris G.
(Inactive)
Roberts T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Reading: Elliott B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mansfield: Bowery J.
(Inactive)
Gardner J.
(Inactive)
Hewitt E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Reading: Lane P.
(Inactive)
Williams D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Mansfield won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against Reading?
Mansfield Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Mansfield Town?
Reading has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Reading were as follows:
04.10.2025
Reading
-
Mansfield Town
1:1
21.04.2025
Mansfield Town
-
Reading
1:5
29.12.2024
Reading
-
Mansfield Town
2:1
Latest results of Mansfield Town
Latest results of Reading
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two