Reading vs Milton Keynes Dons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Trophy
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.12
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
143
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
82% (433/526)60% (131/217)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.12
xG on target (xGOT)
1.190.43
Total shots
143
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
61
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
121
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
253
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1811
Passes
82% (433/526)60% (131/217)
Long passes
45% (28/62)28% (19/68)
Passes in final third
64% (100/156)38% (23/60)
Crosses
47% (14/30)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.450.19
Throw-ins
2522
Fouls
1118
Tackles
79% (11/14)65% (13/20)
Duels won
6053
Clearances
1728
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.431.19
Goals prevented
0.430.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Spencer S. 🟨,
  • 32', Lane P. 🟨,
  • 38', Lewis-Burgess K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Yiadom A. , Ahmed A. ,
  • 46', Lane P. , Kyerewaa D. ,
  • 62', Singh-Hurditt D. , Silver R. ,
  • 62', Thompson N. , Burke J. ,
  • 71', Troso S. 🟨,
  • 74', Thompson-Sommers K. 🟨,
  • 77', Domi R. , Fry D. ,
  • 85', Spencer S. , Patton S. ,
  • 85', Rushesha T. , Sackey T. ,
  • 86', Medwynter C. , Favier L. ,
  • 86', Thompson-Sommers K. , Nash B. ,
  • 88', 1 - 0, Patton S. , Borgnis J. (A),
  • 90+3', Ehibhatiomhan K. , Duah P. ,

Chances of winning


Reading
53.9%
Draw
22.3%
Milton Keynes Dons
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 25% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 24.7% 30.4%

Reading - Milton Keynes Dons Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.78
(2.06)
4.15
(3.65)
3.93
(2.98)
5.9%
(9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Reading - Milton Keynes Dons?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Reading (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Reading will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.02%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Reading will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Reading (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • MK Dons may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Reading could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Reading won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Reading won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Reading - Milton Keynes Dons were as follows:
    04.11.2023 Reading - Milton Keynes Dons 3:2
    Latest results of Reading
    04.10.2025 Reading - Mansfield Town 1:1
    27.09.2025 Stockport County - Reading 1:1
    23.09.2025 Wrexham - Reading 2:0
    20.09.2025 Reading - Leyton Orient 2:1
    Latest results of Milton Keynes Dons
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LincolnHuddersfield0 : 2
    2SalfordRotherham2 : 7
    3DoncasterChesterfield5 : 1
    4TranmereFleetwood0 : 3
    5BoltonBradford City3 : 0
    6Port ValeBarnsley5 : 0
    7CreweStockport County1 : 2
    8HarrogateBlackpool4 : 2
    9CardiffAFC Wimbledon1 : 5
    10ColchesterWest Ham U210 : 1
    11NorthamptonWycombe2 : 0
    12StevenageWalsall1 : 2
    13LutonExeter4 : 0
    14SwindonPeterborough1 : 0
    15Bristol RoversCambridge Utd3 : 2
    16Leyton OrientPlymouth0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1HuddersfieldRotherham3 : 0
    2DoncasterFleetwood3 : 1
    3BoltonPort Vale0 : 1
    4Stockport CountyHarrogate2 : 1
    5AFC WimbledonWest Ham U214 : 2
    6NorthamptonWalsall4 : 2
    7LutonSwindon1 : 2
    8Bristol RoversPlymouth3 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1HuddersfieldDoncaster
    2Port ValeStockport County
    3AFC WimbledonNorthampton
    4TBD #7Plymouth