Reading vs Newport County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English EFL Trophy Reading - Newport County
Result
3:0
12/11/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL Trophy
  • Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
298
Shots on Goal
72
Shots off Goal
112
Blocked Shots
114
Corner Kicks
63
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Fouls
615
Yellow Cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Mbengue A. S. 🟨,
  • 28', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Jameson K. , Clarke J. ,
  • 53', Mbengue A. S. , Holzman L. ,
  • 63', Whitmore K. , Antwi C. ,
  • 63', McLoughlin S. , Evans C. ,
  • 64', Akande A. , Campbell C. ,
  • 64', Ahmed A. , Craig M. ,
  • 64', Spencer S. , Knibbs H. ,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Knibbs H. , Wing L. (A),
  • 75', 2 - 0, Wareham J. , Campbell C. (A),
  • 76', Thomas J. , Spellman M. ,
  • 77', Wildig A. , Morris B. ,
  • 82', Dorsett A. J. R. , Kanu A. ,
  • 87', 3 - 0, Knibbs H. , Campbell C. (A),

Chances of winning


Reading
62.4%
Draw
20.2%
Newport County
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 24.8% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 24.5% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Reading has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reading's performance.
  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newport County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reading than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reading that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newport County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Reading - Newport County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (2.04)
    4.54
    (3.73)
    5.35
    (3.1)
    8.6%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Reading - Newport County?
  • Users Predictions: Reading will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.13%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Reading is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Newport is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Newport could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Reading is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Reading won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
    • Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
    Latest results of Reading
    05.11.2024 Cheltenham Town - Reading 1:0
    02.11.2024 Reading - Fleetwood Town 2:0
    29.10.2024 Stockport County - Reading 4:1
    26.10.2024 Reading - Bristol Rovers 1:0
    Latest results of Newport County
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1CharltonLeyton Orient0 : 2
    2BurtonStevenage0 : 4
    3WycombeSwindon1 : 2
    4ExeterBirmingham1 : 2
    5ChesterfieldWigan3 : 2
    6RotherhamTranmere3 : 2
    7BlackpoolAston Villa U211 : 2
    8Stockport CountyBradford City2 : 3
    9PeterboroughNorthampton3 : 0
    10WalsallReading2 : 1
    11CheltenhamCambridge Utd2 : 1
    12ColchesterAFC Wimbledon2 : 0
    13DoncasterPort Vale0 : 1
    14WrexhamCrewe1 : 0
    15MorecambeLincoln0 : 1
    16BoltonHuddersfield3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Leyton OrientStevenage0 : 1
    2SwindonBirmingham1 : 2
    3ChesterfieldRotherham0 : 1
    4Aston Villa U21Bradford City1 : 3
    5PeterboroughWalsall4 : 2
    6CheltenhamColchester2 : 1
    7Port ValeWrexham1 : 4
    8LincolnBolton0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1StevenageBirmingham0 : 1
    2RotherhamBradford City0 : 1
    3PeterboroughCheltenham3 : 2
    4WrexhamBolton1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1BirminghamBradford City2 : 1
    2PeterboroughWrexham3 : 2

    Final
    1BirminghamPeterborough0 : 2