Result
3:2
02/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy
- Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.04 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (277/365) | 78% (348/445) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (277/365) | 78% (348/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (34/84) | 35% (20/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (51/78) | 60% (82/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/13) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (16/25) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | -1.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 11', 1 - 0, Ehibhatiomhan P. ⚽,
- 24', 2 - 0, Palmer O. ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 1, Ward L. (Own goal),
- 44', 2 - 2, Marriott J. ⚽, Sackey T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mabete F. ↓, Kilkenny G. ↑,
- 46', Delaney R. ↓, Munroe F. ↑,
- 47', 3 - 2, Wright W. ⚽,
- 55', Barough J. ↓, Ritchie M. ↑,
- 63', Palmer O. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,
- 67', Abrefa K. 🟨,
- 71', Marriott J. ↓, Evans R. ↑,
- 74', Wright W. ↓, Snowdon J. ↑,
- 79', Sackey T. ↓, Borgnis J. ↑,
- 79', Okine-Peters J. ↓, Spencer S. ↑,
- 80', Clarke O. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
46.9% | Draw
25.6% | Reading
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swindon Town's performance.Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Reading might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swindon Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Reading could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Swindon Town - Reading Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.45) |
3.71 ↑
(3.54) |
3.47 ↑
(2.54) |
5.1%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Reading?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Reading will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Swindon (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Swindon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Swindon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Reading?
Swindon Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reading won against Swindon Town?
Reading has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Reading were as follows:
10.10.2023
Reading
-
Swindon Town
5:0
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Reading
English EFL Trophy Table
2025/26Group 1 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stockport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 2 | Salford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 4 | Wigan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 2 | Nottingham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 3 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Barrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Doncaster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Everton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Manchester City U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bolton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Rotherham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 4 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Huddersfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Mansfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 4 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | 0 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Port Vale | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Fleetwood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 3 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 4 | Leeds U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Burton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Liverpool U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:7 | 0 |
Group 9 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Newport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Arsenal U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Group 10 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Plymouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 3 | Tottenham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:4 | 1 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Group 11 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Chelsea U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
Group 12 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Swindon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | West Ham U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Reading | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
Group 13 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 4 | AFC Wimbledon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
Group 14 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Crawley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aston Villa U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Peterborough | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
Group 15 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Colchester | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 16 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Brighton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Barnet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
