Result
2:1
21/12/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Gimenez A. ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 1, Santamaria A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Zalaya A. 🟨,
- 57', Ortega G. ↓, Campabadal E. ↑,
- 60', Alvaro J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 71', Gete A. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
- 73', Pascu ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
- 73', Dacosta R. ↓, Concha D. ↑,
- 82', Rubio R. ↓, Cueto J. ↑,
- 82', Cayarga B. ↓, Bari Q. ↑,
- 84', Gimenez A. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 89', Diaz V. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Cueto J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Avilés
26.3% | Draw
31.9% | Ferrol
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Avilés's form might have worsened.Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Avilés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Real Avilés - Ferrol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↑
(2.84) |
2.85 ↓
(3.03) |
2.2 ↓
(2.4) |
8.9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Real Avilés - Ferrol?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Ferrol (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ferrol (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
- Real Avilés has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ferrol's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ferrol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ferrol could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Avilés won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Avilés won against Ferrol?
Real Avilés has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Real Avilés?
Ferrol has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Avilés - Ferrol were as follows:
Latest results of Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 52:19 | 33 | 66 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52:42 | 10 | 57 |
| 3 | Real Madrid B | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 49 |
| 4 | Zamora | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 43:37 | 6 | 49 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 32 | 12 | 13 | 7 | 38:24 | 14 | 49 |
| 6 | Barakaldo | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Ponferradina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 36:28 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 47 |
| 9 | Lugo | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 45 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 42:45 | -3 | 45 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 44 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao B | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 33:36 | -3 | 44 |
| 13 | Racing Club Ferrol | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 42 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 46:53 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 36:37 | -1 | 37 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 32:41 | -9 | 35 |
| 17 | Guadalajara | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 35 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 34 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 23:38 | -15 | 30 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 29:43 | -14 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
