Result
4:2
18/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Naranjo J. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Moyano J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 59', 1 - 2, Peque ⚽,
- 72', 2 - 2, Alonso A. ⚽,
- 80', 3 - 2, Alonso A. ⚽,
- 90', 4 - 2, Alonso A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Jaén
45.6% | Draw
31.3% | Lorca Deportiva
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Jaén's performance.Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorca Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Jaén that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorca Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Jaén - Lorca Deportiva Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.61) |
2.92
(2.92) |
3.97 ↑
(2.62) |
9.3%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Real Jaén - Lorca Deportiva?
Users Predictions:
Real Jaén will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Jaén will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 6).
- Jaén has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lorca Deportiva has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Jaén is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Jaén won against Lorca Deportiva?
Real Jaén has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorca Deportiva won against Real Jaén?
Lorca Deportiva has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Jaén - Lorca Deportiva were as follows:
Latest results of Real Jaén
Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 48:35 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | UCAM Murcia | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 47:34 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 40:23 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Deportiva Minera | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 43:29 | 14 | 54 |
| 5 | Xerez CD | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 31:24 | 7 | 54 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 37:21 | 16 | 51 |
| 7 | Jaen | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 38:30 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Lorca Deportiva | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 44 |
| 9 | Linares | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 44 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 29:29 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Antoniano | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 33:36 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | La Union | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | -1 | 39 |
| 13 | Puente Genil | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 37 |
| 14 | CD Estepona | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 34:40 | -6 | 37 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 31:38 | -7 | 35 |
| 16 | Melilla | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31:32 | -1 | 33 |
| 17 | Almeria B ✔ | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 22:46 | -24 | 20 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 25:59 | -34 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Almeria B is Relegated to
Malaga B is Relegated to
