Result
4:2
18/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Naranjo J. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Moyano J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 59', 1 - 2, Peque ⚽,
- 72', 2 - 2, Alonso A. ⚽,
- 80', 3 - 2, Alonso A. ⚽,
- 90', 4 - 2, Alonso A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Jaén
45.6% | Draw
31.3% | Lorca Deportiva
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Jaén's performance.Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorca Deportiva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-12.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Jaén that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorca Deportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Real Jaén - Lorca Deportiva Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.61) |
2.92
(2.92) |
3.97 ↑
(2.62) |
9.3%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Real Jaén - Lorca Deportiva?
Users Predictions:
Real Jaén will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Jaén will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 6).
- Jaén has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lorca Deportiva has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Jaén is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Jaén won against Lorca Deportiva?
Real Jaén has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorca Deportiva won against Real Jaén?
Lorca Deportiva has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Jaén - Lorca Deportiva were as follows:
Latest results of Real Jaén
Latest results of Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Xerez CD | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 51 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 40:27 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | UCAM Murcia | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 9 | 49 |
| 4 | Aguilas FC | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 36:22 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Recreativo Huelva | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 35:17 | 18 | 48 |
| 6 | CD Extremadura | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 42:32 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Jaen | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | Lorca Deportiva | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 28:28 | 0 | 42 |
| 9 | Linares | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 32:37 | -5 | 39 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 25:25 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | La Union | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:35 | -1 | 36 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 36 |
| 13 | Xerez D.F.C | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 31:33 | -2 | 34 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 23:31 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | CD Estepona | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Melilla | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20:40 | -20 | 19 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 28 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 22:51 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Malaga B is Relegated to
