Xerez Deportivo vs Real Jaén – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
25/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 22

Match Stats

Yellow cards
10
Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 58', Udom E. 🟨,
  • 58', 0 - 1, Adri P. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Iglesias D. Y. ,
  • 89', 1 - 2, Siverio Toro M. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 3, ,

Chances of winning


Xerez Deportivo
34.7%
Draw
32.5%
Real Jaén
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 33% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 33.8% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Xerez Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Xerez Deportivo - Real Jaén Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.4)
    2.8
    (2.75)
    2.77
    (3.12)
    10%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Xerez Deportivo - Real Jaén?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Xerez Deportivo (2.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Xerez Deportivo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Xerez Deportivo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Jaén is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Jaén may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Xerez Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Xerez Deportivo - Real Jaén were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Real Jaén - Xerez Deportivo 2:1
    Latest results of Xerez Deportivo
    Latest results of Real Jaén
    22.02.2026 Melilla - Real Jaén 0:1
    15.02.2026 Real Jaén - Minera 2:0
    01.02.2026 Real Jaén - Estepona 0:0
    25.01.2026 Almeria B - Real Jaén 1:1
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Xerez CD28156730:21951
    2Deportiva Minera28155840:271350
    3UCAM Murcia28147741:32949
    4Aguilas FC28147736:221449
    5Recreativo Huelva28139635:171848
    6CD Extremadura281211542:321047
    7Jaen28129734:28645
    8Lorca Deportiva281261028:28042
    9Linares28912732:37-539
    10Yeclano281141325:25037
    11La Union281061234:35-136
    12Antoniano281061231:33-236
    13Xerez D.F.C288101031:33-234
    14Puente Genil28891123:31-833
    15CD Estepona28861429:38-930
    16Melilla286111127:30-329
    17Almeria B28471720:40-2019
    18Malaga B ✔ 28352022:51-2914

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Malaga B is Relegated to