Result
1:3
25/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 22
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 58', Udom E. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 1, Adri P. ⚽,
- 68', 1 - 1, Iglesias D. Y. ⚽,
- 89', 1 - 2, Siverio Toro M. ⚽,
- 90+7', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Xerez Deportivo
34.7% | Draw
32.5% | Real Jaén
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Xerez Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Xerez Deportivo - Real Jaén Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↑
(2.4) |
2.8 ↑
(2.75) |
2.77 ↓
(3.12) |
10%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Xerez Deportivo - Real Jaén?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Xerez Deportivo (2.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Xerez Deportivo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Xerez Deportivo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Jaén is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Jaén may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Xerez Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Xerez Deportivo won against Real Jaén?
Xerez Deportivo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Jaén won against Xerez Deportivo?
Real Jaén has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Xerez Deportivo - Real Jaén were as follows:
28.09.2025
Real Jaén
-
Xerez Deportivo
2:1
Latest results of Xerez Deportivo
Latest results of Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 48:35 | 13 | 56 |
| 2 | UCAM Murcia | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 47:34 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 40:23 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Deportiva Minera | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 43:29 | 14 | 54 |
| 5 | Xerez CD | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 31:24 | 7 | 54 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 37:21 | 16 | 51 |
| 7 | Jaen | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 38:30 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Lorca Deportiva | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 44 |
| 9 | Linares | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 44 |
| 10 | Yeclano | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 29:29 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Antoniano | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 33:36 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | La Union | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 37:38 | -1 | 39 |
| 13 | Puente Genil | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 37 |
| 14 | CD Estepona | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 34:40 | -6 | 37 |
| 15 | Xerez D.F.C | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 31:38 | -7 | 35 |
| 16 | Melilla | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31:32 | -1 | 33 |
| 17 | Almeria B ✔ | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 22:46 | -24 | 20 |
| 18 | Malaga B ✔ | 31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 25:59 | -34 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Almeria B is Relegated to
Malaga B is Relegated to
