Arenteiro vs Real Madrid Castilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense).

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27
Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats


Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
5	4
Corner kicks
5	3
Yellow cards
2	1
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
4	3
Corner kicks
5	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Rivas M. ⚽, Aguado D. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Mingo V. ⚽, Moreno D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Chuca ↓, Ramon N. ↑,
65', Fati L. 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽,
68', Fortuny P. ↓, Ciria A. ↑,
75', 🟨,
78', Sanchez J. ↓, Ferreiro D. ↑,
78', Ramon N. ↓, Alpha M. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Martin R. ⚽,
90', Lopez A. ↓, Cuellar J. ↑,
90', Bastida A. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
90+4', Mingo V. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Arenteiro
38.4%

Draw
30.6%

Real Madrid Castilla
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.4%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

30.1%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Arenteiro - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.6)	2.99 ↑ (2.98)	2.94 ↑ (2.6)	8.9% (10.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Arenteiro - Real Madrid Castilla?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Arenteiro (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Arenteiro (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8).
Arenteiro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Real Madrid Castilla's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arenteiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Arenteiro won against Real Madrid Castilla?

Arenteiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Arenteiro?

Real Madrid Castilla has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Arenteiro - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:

04.01.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Arenteiro 2:0

Latest results of Arenteiro

28.02.2026 Ourense CF - Arenteiro 2:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Arenteiro - Tenerife 0:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Talavera de la Reina - Arenteiro 2:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Arenteiro - Real Avilés 6:3 ✺

30.01.2026 Arenteiro - Athletic Bilbao B 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla

01.03.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Ponferradina 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Real Avilés - Real Madrid Castilla 1:1 ✺

13.02.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Athletic Bilbao B 2:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Pontevedra - Real Madrid Castilla 0:0 ✺

30.01.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Osasuna B 1:1 ✺

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tenerife	29	19	6	4	50:17	33	63
2	Celta Vigo B	29	14	9	6	44:36	8	51
3	Ath Bilbao B	29	12	8	9	31:31	0	44
4	Barakaldo	29	11	11	7	38:29	9	44
5	Pontevedra	28	10	13	5	32:20	12	43
6	Ponferradina	29	12	7	10	31:24	7	43
7	Zamora	29	11	10	8	38:33	5	43
8	Real Madrid B	29	12	7	10	40:38	2	43
9	Lugo	29	10	12	7	28:28	0	42
10	Racing Club Ferrol	29	12	6	11	34:33	1	42
11	AD Merida	29	11	8	10	38:39	-1	41
12	Unionistas	29	10	8	11	38:39	-1	38
13	Arenas Getxo	28	10	5	13	32:39	-7	35
14	Real Aviles	29	9	7	13	41:49	-8	34
15	Ourense CF	29	8	9	12	31:33	-2	33
16	Guadalajara	29	8	8	13	31:42	-11	32
17	CF Talavera	29	8	7	14	30:39	-9	31
18	Cacereno	29	6	12	11	27:38	-11	30
19	Arenteiro	29	6	8	15	26:37	-11	26
20	Osasuna B	29	5	9	15	18:34	-16	24

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