Arenteiro vs Real Madrid Castilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense).

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 27
Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats


Ball possession
51%	49%
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
5	4
Corner kicks
5	3
Yellow cards
2	1
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
4	3
Corner kicks
5	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Rivas M. ⚽, Aguado D. (A),
36', 1 - 1, Mingo V. ⚽, Moreno D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Chuca ↓, Ramon N. ↑,
65', Fati L. 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Moreno D. ⚽,
68', Fortuny P. ↓, Ciria A. ↑,
75', 🟨,
78', Sanchez J. ↓, Ferreiro D. ↑,
78', Ramon N. ↓, Alpha M. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Martin R. ⚽,
90', Lopez A. ↓, Cuellar J. ↑,
90', Bastida A. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
90+4', Mingo V. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Arenteiro
38.4%

Draw
30.6%

Real Madrid Castilla
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.4%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

30.1%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Arenteiro - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.6)	2.99 ↑ (2.98)	2.94 ↑ (2.6)	8.9% (10.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Arenteiro - Real Madrid Castilla?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Arenteiro (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arenteiro (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8).
Arenteiro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Real Madrid Castilla's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arenteiro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Arenteiro won against Real Madrid Castilla?

Arenteiro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Arenteiro?

Real Madrid Castilla has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Arenteiro - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:

04.01.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Arenteiro 2:0

Latest results of Arenteiro

28.02.2026 Ourense CF - Arenteiro 2:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Arenteiro - Tenerife 0:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Talavera de la Reina - Arenteiro 2:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Arenteiro - Real Avilés 6:3 ✺

30.01.2026 Arenteiro - Athletic Bilbao B 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla

01.03.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Ponferradina 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Real Avilés - Real Madrid Castilla 1:1 ✺

13.02.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Athletic Bilbao B 2:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Pontevedra - Real Madrid Castilla 0:0 ✺

30.01.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Osasuna B 1:1 ✺

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tenerife	31	19	8	4	51:18	33	65
2	Celta Vigo B	31	15	9	7	47:42	5	54
3	Real Madrid B	32	14	7	11	51:41	10	49
4	Ponferradina	31	13	8	10	35:25	10	47
5	Barakaldo	31	12	11	8	40:32	8	47
6	Pontevedra	31	11	13	7	35:23	12	46
7	Zamora	31	12	10	9	42:37	5	46
8	Lugo	32	11	12	9	32:34	-2	45
9	Unionistas	31	12	8	11	44:42	2	44
10	AD Merida	31	12	8	11	41:44	-3	44
11	Ath Bilbao B	32	12	8	12	33:36	-3	44
12	Arenas Getxo	31	13	5	13	38:42	-4	44
13	Racing Club Ferrol	32	12	6	14	35:41	-6	42
14	Real Aviles	32	11	7	14	46:53	-7	40
15	Ourense CF	32	9	10	13	36:37	-1	37
16	CF Talavera	31	9	8	14	32:40	-8	35
17	Guadalajara	31	9	8	14	35:46	-11	35
18	Cacereno	32	7	13	12	30:41	-11	34
19	Osasuna B	32	7	9	16	23:38	-15	30
20	Arenteiro	31	6	8	17	28:42	-14	26

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