Real Madrid Castilla vs Arenteiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
66
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
128
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Valdepenas V. , Leiva A. ,
  • 46', Perea C. , Martinez J. ,
  • 46', Navascues L. , Fati L. ,
  • 57', Ochoa M. , Mingo V. ,
  • 57', Cuellar J. , De Camargo W. ,
  • 63', Zuniga L. , Fettal R. ,
  • 67', Gonzalez D. , Safrai ,
  • 67', Alpha M. , Llacer L. ,
  • 71', 1 - 0, Fettal R. ,
  • 80', Val B. , Guerrero J. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 0, Palacios C. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid Castilla
51%
Draw
27.9%
Arenteiro
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 27.8% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 28.7% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Real Madrid Castilla - Arenteiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.72)
    3.25
    (3.29)
    4.31
    (4.81)
    10.1%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid Castilla - Arenteiro?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid Castilla will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 15).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Real Madrid Castilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Latest results of Arenteiro
    21.12.2025 Arenteiro - Osasuna B 2:0
    13.12.2025 Ponferradina - Arenteiro 1:3
    29.11.2025 Tenerife - Arenteiro 1:0
    22.11.2025 Arenteiro - Ourense CF 0:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife26184447:153258
    2Celta Vigo B26147542:311149
    3Pontevedra261011532:201241
    4Lugo261010626:22440
    5Ponferradina26116928:22639
    6AD Merida26116936:34239
    7Ath Bilbao B26116928:29-139
    8Real Madrid B261151032:34-238
    9Barakaldo26910734:29537
    10Unionistas26107937:33437
    11Racing Club Ferrol261141130:31-137
    12Zamora2699833:31236
    13Arenas Getxo261031330:37-733
    14Real Aviles26951239:45-632
    15Ourense CF26871130:31-131
    16CF Talavera26841428:37-928
    17Cacereno266101025:34-928
    18Guadalajara26671323:40-1725
    19Arenteiro26661423:33-1024
    20Osasuna B26491317:32-1521

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation