Arenteiro vs Real Avilés – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:3
07/02/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
148
Shots on target
104
Corner kicks
23
Yellow cards
11
Total shots
148
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
44
Corner kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Gomez A. ,
  • 12', 1 - 1, Ferreiro D. ,
  • 30', 2 - 1, Bastida A. ,
  • 32', Grigore R. 🟨,
  • 35', Ferreiro D. 🟨,
  • 40', 3 - 1, Mingo V. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Bari Q. , Rubio R. ,
  • 46', Cayarga B. , Luis Alcalde ,
  • 46', Santamaria A. , Chukwuma E. ,
  • 46', Campabadal E. , Gete A. ,
  • 48', 3 - 2, Uzkudun A. ,
  • 56', 4 - 2, Chuca ,
  • 67', 5 - 2, Mingo V. ,
  • 68', Chuca , Lasure D. ,
  • 68', Ferreiro D. , Lopez A. ,
  • 73', Moreno D. , Kandoussi B. ,
  • 73', Bastida A. , Gonzalez D. ,
  • 81', 5 - 3, Rubio R. ,
  • 83', Gomez A. , Rivera C. ,
  • 88', 6 - 3, Mingo V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 89', Mingo V. , Moya P. ,

Chances of winning


Arenteiro
40.1%
Draw
31%
Real Avilés
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 29.2% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 28.1% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Arenteiro - Real Avilés Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.23)
    2.93
    (3.18)
    3.17
    (3.18)
    9.7%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arenteiro won 1.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Real Avilés may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Arenteiro might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arenteiro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arenteiro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arenteiro - Real Avilés were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Real Avilés - Arenteiro 1:0
    01.11.2023 Real Avilés - Arenteiro 0:1
    19.02.2023 Real Avilés - Arenteiro 1:1
    02.10.2022 Arenteiro - Real Avilés 1:1
    Latest results of Arenteiro
    24.01.2026 Ferrol - Arenteiro 2:0
    17.01.2026 Pontevedra - Arenteiro 1:1
    10.01.2026 Arenteiro - Lugo 0:2
    Latest results of Real Avilés
    31.01.2026 Real Avilés - Mérida AD 1:2
    25.01.2026 Real Avilés - Lugo 1:2
    10.01.2026 Real Avilés - Pontevedra 0:3
    03.01.2026 Ourense CF - Real Avilés 2:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife342010455:203570
    2Celta Vigo B341710756:431361
    3Zamora341510946:38855
    4Real Madrid B341581154:431153
    5Pontevedra341314743:261753
    6Ponferradina341491138:29951
    7Barakaldo341312944:341051
    8Unionistas3413101147:44349
    9AD Merida341391244:47-348
    10Arenas Getxo341451540:49-947
    11Lugo3411131032:37-546
    12Racing Club Ferrol341371438:43-546
    13Ath Bilbao B341291334:38-445
    14Real Aviles341191449:56-742
    15Ourense CF349111438:40-238
    16CF Talavera34991633:43-1036
    17Guadalajara34991637:52-1536
    18Cacereno347141331:45-1435
    19Osasuna B34891724:39-1533
    20Arenteiro34691929:46-1727

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation