Result
2:1
29/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Perea C. 🟨,
- 30', Naveira U. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Palacios C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Dufur U. ↓, de Leon J. ↑,
- 46', Mandiang S. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
- 46', San Bartolome V. ↓, Sabin ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Sabin ⚽,
- 62', Perea C. ↓, Mesonero D. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Jimenez D. ⚽,
- 75', Molina E. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
- 75', Galarza A. ↓, Huidobro J. ↑,
- 79', Gines A. ↓, Fortuny P. ↑,
- 88', de Leon J. 🟨,
- 89', Mesonero D. 🟥,
- 90+2', Palacios C. ↓, Fati L. ↑,
- 90+8', Leiva A. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Real Madrid Castilla
49.2% | Draw
28% | Barakaldo
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Real Madrid Castilla - Barakaldo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(1.97) |
3.27 ↓
(3.36) |
4.04 ↑
(3.73) |
8.7%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Barakaldo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid Castilla won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.5:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid Castilla won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Barakaldo?
Real Madrid Castilla has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barakaldo won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Barakaldo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Barakaldo were as follows:
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Latest results of Barakaldo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 49:17 | 32 | 60 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 50 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:30 | 0 | 43 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | Zamora | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 36:31 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Real Madrid B | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 8 | Lugo | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Racing Club Ferrol | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 34:33 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Ponferradina | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 40 |
| 12 | Unionistas | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:36 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 31:38 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 40:48 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:41 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | CF Talavera | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 30 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 26:37 | -11 | 29 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 25:36 | -11 | 25 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:33 | -15 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
