Barakaldo vs Real Madrid Castilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Campo de Lasesarre (Barakaldo).

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30
Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats


Ball possession
52%	48%
Total shots
9	6
Shots on target
5	3
Corner kicks
6	4
Yellow cards
2	2
Total shots
9	6
Shots on target
5	3
Shots off target
4	3
Corner kicks
6	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Fati L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
68', Arana M. 🟨,
70', 0 - 1, Palacios C. ⚽,
76', Mandiang S. ↓, de Jesus B. ↑,
76', de Leon J. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
76', Molina E. ↓, Sabin ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Galarza A. ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Sabin ⚽,
86', Martin R. ↓, Gines A. ↑,
86', Perez E. 🟨,
88', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
88', Serrano M. ↓, Rezola M. ↑,
88', Perea C. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
90', Pena A. ↓, Naveira U. ↑,
90+7', Rezola M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Barakaldo
49.6%

Draw
27.2%

Real Madrid Castilla
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

26.9%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25.9%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Barakaldo - Real Madrid Castilla Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)	3.34 ↓ (3.45)	3.98 ↓ (4.04)	8.6% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Barakaldo - Real Madrid Castilla?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barakaldo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Barakaldo will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 0.
Barakaldo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Real Madrid Castilla has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Barakaldo is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Barakaldo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Barakaldo won against Real Madrid Castilla?

Barakaldo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Barakaldo?

Real Madrid Castilla has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Barakaldo - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:

29.11.2025 Real Madrid Castilla - Barakaldo 2:1

Latest results of Barakaldo

22.03.2026 Ferrol - Barakaldo 0:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Unionistas de Salamanca - Barakaldo 0:3 ✺

08.03.2026 Barakaldo - Ourense CF 1:0 ✺

01.03.2026 Arenas Club de Getxo - Barakaldo 2:1 ✺

22.02.2026 Barakaldo - Osasuna B 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla

21.03.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Zamora 2:2 ✺

14.03.2026 Lugo - Real Madrid Castilla 0:4 ✺

07.03.2026 Arenteiro - Real Madrid Castilla 2:2 ✺

01.03.2026 Real Madrid Castilla - Ponferradina 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Real Avilés - Real Madrid Castilla 1:1 ✺

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tenerife	31	19	8	4	51:18	33	65
2	Celta Vigo B	31	15	9	7	47:42	5	54
3	Ponferradina	31	13	8	10	35:25	10	47
4	Barakaldo	31	12	11	8	40:32	8	47
5	Real Madrid B	31	13	7	11	46:41	5	46
6	Zamora	31	12	10	9	42:37	5	46
7	Pontevedra	31	11	13	7	35:23	12	46
8	Lugo	31	11	12	8	30:30	0	45
9	Unionistas	31	12	8	11	44:42	2	44
10	Ath Bilbao B	31	12	8	11	33:35	-2	44
11	AD Merida	31	12	8	11	41:44	-3	44
12	Arenas Getxo	31	13	5	13	38:42	-4	44
13	Racing Club Ferrol	31	12	6	13	35:36	-1	42
14	Real Aviles	31	10	7	14	45:53	-8	37
15	CF Talavera	31	9	8	14	32:40	-8	35
16	Guadalajara	31	9	8	14	35:46	-11	35
17	Ourense CF	31	8	10	13	32:35	-3	34
18	Cacereno	31	6	13	12	29:41	-12	31
19	Osasuna B	31	7	9	15	23:37	-14	30
20	Arenteiro	31	6	8	17	28:42	-14	26

      Promotion ~ LaLiga2
      Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
      Relegation