Girona vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
30/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 14
  • Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanSolh Sports 1, Tolo TV
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
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canadaCanadaTSN+
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cubaCubaTele Rebelde
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czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
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europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
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north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
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romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
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sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
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spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaABC app, ABC, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2, Zor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 22

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.132.62
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1025
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
84% (359/426)91% (555/612)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
1.132.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.341.40
Total shots
1025
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
412
Blocked Shots
29
Shots inside the Box
615
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1651
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
139
Passes
84% (359/426)91% (555/612)
Long passes
43% (22/51)62% (24/39)
Passes in final third
78% (61/78)86% (233/271)
Crosses
40% (2/5)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.462.01
Throw-ins
1512
Fouls
913
Tackles
80% (12/15)55% (11/20)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
358
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.401.34
Goals prevented
0.400.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 42', Gazzaniga P. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Ounahi A. , Tsygankov V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Guler A. , Camavinga E. ,
  • 59', Ounahi A. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Mbappe K. (Pen),
  • 72', Tsygankov V. , Asprilla Y. ,
  • 72', Gil B. , Roca J. ,
  • 72', Rincon H. , Frances A. ,
  • 72', Tchouameni A. , Rodrygo ,
  • 74', Vanat V. 🟨,
  • 83', Vanat V. , Kourouma L. ,
  • 83', Ounahi A. , Ruiz A. ,
  • 90', Garcia F. , Carreras A. ,
  • 90', Alexander-Arnold T. , Garcia G. ,

Chances of winning


Girona
13.4%
Draw
17.3%
Real Madrid
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.6% 17.8% 68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13% 17.1% 71.5%

Girona - Real Madrid Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
7.18
(7.01)
5.54
(5.35)
1.38
(1.39)
4.3%
(4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Girona - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 86 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 6 - 7%). Real will win (votes: 76 - 88.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 4.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 81.6%95.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Real has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Real is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Blind D. (Back Injury) Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Krapyvtsov V. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lemar T. (Foot Injury) Lopez D. (Hamstring Injury) Portu (Knee Injury) Stuani C. (Calf Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Muscle Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Huijsen D. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Girona won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 1.3:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1.3:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Girona - Real Madrid were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Real Madrid - Girona 2:0
    07.12.2024 Girona - Real Madrid 0:3
    10.02.2024 Real Madrid - Girona 4:0
    30.09.2023 Girona - Real Madrid 0:3
    30.10.2022 Real Madrid - Girona 1:1
    Latest results of Girona
    23.11.2025 Betis - Girona 1:1
    08.11.2025 Girona - Deportivo Alavés 1:0
    31.10.2025 Getafe - Girona 2:1
    28.10.2025 Constancia - Girona 2:3
    25.10.2025 Girona - Real Oviedo 3:3
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    23.11.2025 Elche - Real Madrid 2:2
    04.11.2025 Liverpool - Real Madrid 1:0
    01.11.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 4:0
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona17141249:202943
    2Real Madrid17123234:161839
    3Villarreal15112231:131835
    4Atl. Madrid17104330:161434
    5Espanyol1693420:16430
    6Betis1667325:19625
    7Ath Bilbao1772815:22-723
    8Celta Vigo1657420:19122
    9Sevilla1662824:24020
    10Getafe1662813:18-520
    11Elche1647519:20-119
    12Alaves1653814:17-318
    13Rayo Vallecano1646613:16-318
    14Mallorca1746719:24-518
    15Real Sociedad1644820:24-416
    16Valencia1737716:26-1016
    17Osasuna1643914:20-615
    18Girona1636715:30-1515
    19Oviedo1624107:26-1910
    20Levante15231016:28-129

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2