Girona vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
30/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 14
  • Referee: De Burgos R. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanSolh Sports 1, Tolo TV
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czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
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europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
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north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
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polandPolandEleven Sports 2
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romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
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spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaABC app, ABC, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2, Zor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 22

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.132.62
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1025
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
84% (359/426)91% (555/612)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
1.132.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.341.40
Total shots
1025
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
412
Blocked Shots
29
Shots inside the Box
615
Shots outside the Box
410
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1651
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
139
Passes
84% (359/426)91% (555/612)
Long passes
43% (22/51)62% (24/39)
Passes in final third
78% (61/78)86% (233/271)
Crosses
40% (2/5)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.462.01
Throw-ins
1512
Fouls
913
Tackles
80% (12/15)55% (11/20)
Duels won
3943
Clearances
358
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.401.34
Goals prevented
0.400.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 42', Gazzaniga P. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Ounahi A. , Tsygankov V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Guler A. , Camavinga E. ,
  • 59', Ounahi A. 🟨,
  • 67', 1 - 1, Mbappe K. (Pen),
  • 72', Tsygankov V. , Asprilla Y. ,
  • 72', Gil B. , Roca J. ,
  • 72', Rincon H. , Frances A. ,
  • 72', Tchouameni A. , Rodrygo ,
  • 74', Vanat V. 🟨,
  • 83', Vanat V. , Kourouma L. ,
  • 83', Ounahi A. , Ruiz A. ,
  • 90', Garcia F. , Carreras A. ,
  • 90', Alexander-Arnold T. , Garcia G. ,

Chances of winning


Girona
13.4%
Draw
17.3%
Real Madrid
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.6% 17.8% 68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13% 17.1% 71.5%

Girona - Real Madrid Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
7.18
(7.01)
5.54
(5.35)
1.38
(1.39)
4.3%
(4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Girona - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 86 users predict this event. Girona will win (votes: 6 - 7%). Real will win (votes: 76 - 88.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 4.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 81.6%95.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Girona won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Real may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Real has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Real is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Blind D. (Back Injury) Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Krapyvtsov V. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lemar T. (Foot Injury) Lopez D. (Hamstring Injury) Portu (Knee Injury) Stuani C. (Calf Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Muscle Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Huijsen D. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Girona won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 1.3:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Girona won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1.3:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Girona - Real Madrid were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Real Madrid - Girona 2:0
    07.12.2024 Girona - Real Madrid 0:3
    10.02.2024 Real Madrid - Girona 4:0
    30.09.2023 Girona - Real Madrid 0:3
    30.10.2022 Real Madrid - Girona 1:1
    Latest results of Girona
    23.11.2025 Betis - Girona 1:1
    08.11.2025 Girona - Deportivo Alavés 1:0
    31.10.2025 Getafe - Girona 2:1
    28.10.2025 Constancia - Girona 2:3
    25.10.2025 Girona - Real Oviedo 3:3
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    23.11.2025 Elche - Real Madrid 2:2
    04.11.2025 Liverpool - Real Madrid 1:0
    01.11.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 4:0
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona19161253:203349
    2Real Madrid19143241:172445
    3Villarreal18132337:172041
    4Atl. Madrid19115334:171738
    5Espanyol19104523:20334
    6Betis1978431:25629
    7Celta Vigo1978425:20529
    8Ath Bilbao1973917:25-824
    9Elche1958625:24123
    10Rayo Vallecano1957716:22-622
    11Real Sociedad1956824:27-321
    12Getafe19631015:25-1021
    13Girona1956818:34-1621
    14Sevilla19621124:30-620
    15Osasuna19541018:22-419
    16Alaves19541016:24-819
    17Mallorca1946921:28-718
    18Valencia1938818:31-1317
    19Levante18351021:30-914
    20Oviedo1927109:28-1913

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2