Result
11/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Real Madrid
31.4% | Draw
26.7% | Manchester City
41.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Real Madrid - Manchester City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↓
(3.08) |
3.61 ↓
(3.65) |
2.28 ↑
(2.26) |
4.5%
(4.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Manchester City?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Man City will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 41.6% – 98.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 3.
- Real has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Man City is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Man City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Man City might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Real won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:31. (average 1.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Manchester City?
Real Madrid has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manchester City won against Real Madrid?
Manchester City has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Manchester City were as follows:
10.12.2025
Real Madrid
-
Manchester City
1:2
19.02.2025
Real Madrid
-
Manchester City
3:1
11.02.2025
Manchester City
-
Real Madrid
2:3
17.04.2024
Manchester City
-
Real Madrid
1:2
09.04.2024
Real Madrid
-
Manchester City
3:3
Latest results of Real Madrid
Latest results of Manchester City
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
