Real Madrid vs Manchester City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Real Madrid - Manchester City
Result
3:1
19/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanArezo TV, Asr TV, Meraj Sport, Meraj TV, Solh TV
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
brazilBrazilMax
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2, MEGA
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 2
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno, TV8
japanJapanWowow Live
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kosovoKosovoRTK 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 1
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, Canal+ Sport Online
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport PSL
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenTV6, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.38
Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
1512
Shots on Goal
84
Shots off Goal
33
Blocked Shots
45
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
75
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Free Kicks
99
Offsides
01
Fouls
99
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
1013
Touches in the Opposition Box
2524
Passes
88% (437/494)91% (481/528)
Passes in the final third
77% (77/100)85% (153/181)
Crosses
33% (3/9)11% (1/9)
Tackles
60% (9/15)67% (8/12)
Clearances Total
1314
Interceptions
105

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Mbappe K. , Asencio R. (A),
  • 8', Stones J. , Ake N. ,
  • 28', Gundogan I. 🟨,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Mbappe K. , Rodrygo (A),
  • 38', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Nico 🟨,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Mbappe K. , Valverde F. (A),
  • 77', Foden P. , McAtee J. ,
  • 77', Gundogan I. , Kovacic M. ,
  • 78', Ceballos D. , Camavinga E. ,
  • 78', Mbappe K. , Diaz B. ,
  • 83', Tchouameni A. , Modric L. ,
  • 90', Valverde F. , Alaba D. ,
  • 90', Vinicius Junior , Endrick ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Nico , Marmoush O. (A),

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
51.9%
Draw
22.4%
Manchester City
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 21.4% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 21% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Real Madrid - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.88)
    4.31
    (4.49)
    3.79
    (3.53)
    3.5%
    (3.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)
  • What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Manchester City?
  • Users Predictions: 111 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 67 - 60.4%). Man City will win (votes: 22 - 19.8%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 19.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 51.3%69.5%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-2.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Real have a series of guest games.
    • Real will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Man City: Akanji M. (Muscle Injury) Bobb O. (Leg Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury) Vitor Reis (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Real: Lucas (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Real won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27:28 (average 1.8:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:9 (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Manchester City were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Manchester City - Real Madrid 2:3
    17.04.2024 Manchester City - Real Madrid 1:2
    09.04.2024 Real Madrid - Manchester City 3:3
    17.05.2023 Manchester City - Real Madrid 4:0
    09.05.2023 Real Madrid - Manchester City 1:1
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    15.02.2025 Osasuna - Real Madrid 1:1
    05.02.2025 Leganés - Real Madrid 2:3
    01.02.2025 Espanyol - Real Madrid 1:0
    Latest results of Manchester City
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG330013:3109
    2Bayern Munich330012:2109
    3Inter33009:099
    4Arsenal33008:089
    5Real Madrid33008:179
    6Dortmund321012:757
    7Manchester City32106:247
    8Newcastle32018:266
    9Barcelona32019:456
    10Liverpool32018:446
    11Chelsea32017:436
    12Sporting CP32017:436
    13Qarabag32016:516
    14Galatasaray32015:6-16
    15Tottenham31203:215
    16PSV31118:624
    17Atalanta31112:5-34
    18Marseille31026:423
    19Atl. Madrid31027:8-13
    20Club Brugge KV31025:7-23
    21Ath Bilbao31024:7-33
    22Eintracht Frankfurt31027:11-43
    23Napoli31024:9-53
    24Royale Union SG31023:9-63
    25Juventus30216:7-12
    26Bodo/Glimt30215:7-22
    27Monaco30213:6-32
    28Slavia Prague30212:5-32
    29Pafos30211:5-42
    30Bayer Leverkusen30215:10-52
    31Villarreal30122:5-31
    32FC Copenhagen30124:8-41
    33Olympiacos Piraeus30121:8-71
    34Kairat Almaty30121:9-81
    35Benfica30032:7-50
    36Ajax30031:11-100

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)