Real Madrid vs Manchester City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Real Madrid - Manchester City
Result
3:1
19/02/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanArezo TV, Asr TV, Meraj Sport, Meraj TV, Solh TV
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
argentinaArgentinaESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, Q Arena Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1, Moja TV
brazilBrazilMax
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2, MEGA
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 2
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio, Sky Sport Uno, TV8
japanJapanWowow Live
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kosovoKosovoRTK 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 1
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, Canal+ Sport Online
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League, SuperSport PSL
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenTV6, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.821.38
Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
1512
Shots on Goal
84
Shots off Goal
33
Blocked Shots
45
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
75
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
58
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Free Kicks
99
Offsides
01
Fouls
99
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
1013
Touches in the Opposition Box
2524
Passes
88% (437/494)91% (481/528)
Passes in the final third
77% (77/100)85% (153/181)
Crosses
33% (3/9)11% (1/9)
Tackles
60% (9/15)67% (8/12)
Clearances Total
1314
Interceptions
105

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Mbappe K. , Asencio R. (A),
  • 8', Stones J. , Ake N. ,
  • 28', Gundogan I. 🟨,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Mbappe K. , Rodrygo (A),
  • 38', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Nico 🟨,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Mbappe K. , Valverde F. (A),
  • 77', Foden P. , McAtee J. ,
  • 77', Gundogan I. , Kovacic M. ,
  • 78', Ceballos D. , Camavinga E. ,
  • 78', Mbappe K. , Diaz B. ,
  • 83', Tchouameni A. , Modric L. ,
  • 90', Valverde F. , Alaba D. ,
  • 90', Vinicius Junior , Endrick ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Nico , Marmoush O. (A),

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
51.9%
Draw
22.4%
Manchester City
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 21.4% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 21% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Real Madrid - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.88)
    4.31
    (4.49)
    3.79
    (3.53)
    3.5%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)
  • What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Manchester City?
  • Users Predictions: 111 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 67 - 60.4%). Man City will win (votes: 22 - 19.8%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 19.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 51.3%69.5%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 3-2.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Real have a series of guest games.
    • Real will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Man City: Akanji M. (Muscle Injury) Bobb O. (Leg Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury) Vitor Reis (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Real: Lucas (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Real won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27:28 (average 1.8:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Real won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:9 (average 2:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Manchester City were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Manchester City - Real Madrid 2:3
    17.04.2024 Manchester City - Real Madrid 1:2
    09.04.2024 Real Madrid - Manchester City 3:3
    17.05.2023 Manchester City - Real Madrid 4:0
    09.05.2023 Real Madrid - Manchester City 1:1
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    15.02.2025 Osasuna - Real Madrid 1:1
    05.02.2025 Leganés - Real Madrid 2:3
    01.02.2025 Espanyol - Real Madrid 1:0
    Latest results of Manchester City
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    16PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    2Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    3Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    4LudogoretsFerencvaros
    5Dyn. KyivPafos
    6ShkendijaQarabag
    7SalzburgClub Brugge KV
    8RangersPlzen
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce