Manchester City vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Etihad Stadium (Manchester).

Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, HBO Max, SBT, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Italy	Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 2
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Connect, beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Kanal A, Nova Sport 6
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Suriname	ATV Suriname
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, VTV Prime
World	Sport 24, VIX App

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.91	2.93
Ball possession
47%	53%
Total shots
22	14
Shots on target
8	7
Big chances
2	6
Corner kicks
9	6
Passes
92% (444/484)	92% (504/549)
Yellow cards
1	2
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.91	2.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.86	2.47
Total shots
22	14
Shots on target
8	7
Shots off target
8	6
Blocked shots
6	1
Shots inside the box
14	10
Shots outside the box
8	4
Hit the woodwork
0	2
Big chances
2	6
Corner kicks
9	6
Touches in opposition box
48	27
Accurate through passes
2	3
Offsides
2	3
Free kicks
7	6
Passes
92% (444/484)	92% (504/549)
Long passes
63% (12/19)	61% (22/36)
Passes in final third
84% (178/211)	89% (88/99)
Crosses
17% (3/18)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.16	1.86
Throw ins
7	3
Fouls
6	7
Tackles
43% (6/14)	82% (14/17)
Duels won
43	28
Clearances
8	24
Interceptions
2	5
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	7
xGOT faced
2.47	1.86
Goals prevented
0.47	0.86

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Silva B. 🟥,
22', 0 - 1, Vinicius Junior (Penalty Awarded),
25', Guardiola P. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Haaland E. ⚽,
45+4', Khusanov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dias R. ↓, Guehi M. ↑,
46', Reijnders T. ↓, Ake N. ↑,
46', Courtois T. ↓, Lunin A. ↑,
57', Haaland E. ↓, Marmoush O. ↑,
57', Nunes M. ↓, Semenyo A. ↑,
69', Diaz B. ↓, Mbappe K. ↑,
74', Rodri ↓, Nico ↑,
74', Guler A. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
74', Pitarch T. ↓, Moran M. A. ↑,
76', Mbappe K. 🟨,
80', Alexander-Arnold T. 🟨,
83', Alexander-Arnold T. ↓, Carvajal D. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Vinicius Junior ⚽, Tchouameni A. (A),

Chances of winning

Manchester City
66.5%

Draw
16.4%

Real Madrid
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

16.8%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.6%

16.4%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Manchester City - Real Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)	5.88 ↑ (5.71)	5.62 ↑ (5.32)	3.7% (4.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for Manchester City - Real Madrid?

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 20 - 39.2%). Real will win (votes: 25 - 49%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 35.3% – 62.7%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Man City (votes: 2 - 40%). Real (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

TQ, OT - Real (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Real (2.74) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Real (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Man City (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Real (votes: 9 - 81.8%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

First leg result: 0-3. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City won 1.
Man City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Real is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Man City has had a series of away games.
Recently, Real has had a series of home games.
In this match, Man City is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Man City: Gvardiol J. (Broken Leg) Nypan S. (Inactive)
There will not play in Real: Asencio R. (Muscle Injury) Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rodrygo (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Man City: Lewis R. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Man City won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 31:34. (average 1.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Man City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 2.1:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Manchester City won against Real Madrid?

Manchester City has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Manchester City?

Real Madrid has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester City - Real Madrid were as follows:

11.03.2026 Real Madrid - Manchester City 3:0

10.12.2025 Real Madrid - Manchester City 1:2

19.02.2025 Real Madrid - Manchester City 3:1

11.02.2025 Manchester City - Real Madrid 2:3

17.04.2024 Manchester City - Real Madrid 1:2

Latest results of Manchester City

14.03.2026 West Ham United - Manchester City 1:1 ✺

11.03.2026 Real Madrid - Manchester City 3:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Newcastle United - Manchester City 1:3 ✺

04.03.2026 Manchester City - Nottingham Forest 2:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Leeds United - Manchester City 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid

14.03.2026 Real Madrid - Elche 4:1 ✺

11.03.2026 Real Madrid - Manchester City 3:0 ✺

06.03.2026 Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺

02.03.2026 Real Madrid - Getafe 0:1 ✺

25.02.2026 Real Madrid - Benfica 2:1 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/16-finals

1	Monaco (21)	PSG (11)	2 : 2, 2 : 3
2	Chelsea (6)	Bye
3	Galatasaray (20)	Juventus (13)	2 : 3, 5 : 2
4	Liverpool (3)	Bye
5	Benfica (24)	Real Madrid (9)	1 : 2, 0 : 1
6	Manchester City (8)	Bye
7	Dortmund (17)	Atalanta (15)	1 : 4, 2 : 0
8	Bayern Munich (2)	Bye
9	Qarabag (22)	Newcastle (12)	2 : 3, 1 : 6
10	Barcelona (5)	Bye
11	Club Brugge KV (19)	Atl. Madrid (14)	1 : 4, 3 : 3
12	Tottenham (4)	Bye
13	Bodo/Glimt (23)	Inter (10)	2 : 1, 3 : 1
14	Sporting CP (7)	Bye
15	Olympiacos Piraeus (18)	Bayer Leverkusen (16)	0 : 0, 0 : 2
16	Arsenal (1)	Bye

1/8-finals

1	PSG (11)	Chelsea (6)	3 : 0, 5 : 2
2	Galatasaray (20)	Liverpool (3)	0 : 4, 1 : 0
3	Real Madrid (9)	Manchester City (8)	2 : 1, 3 : 0
4	Atalanta (15)	Bayern Munich (2)	1 : 4, 1 : 6
5	Newcastle (12)	Barcelona (5)	2 : 7, 1 : 1
6	Atl. Madrid (14)	Tottenham (4)	2 : 3, 5 : 2
7	Bodo/Glimt (23)	Sporting CP (7)	0 : 5, 3 : 0
8	Bayer Leverkusen (16)	Arsenal (1)	0 : 2, 1 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	PSG (11)	Liverpool (3)
2	Real Madrid (9)	Bayern Munich (2)
3	Barcelona (5)	Atl. Madrid (14)
4	Sporting CP (7)	Arsenal (1)

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2