Real Madrid vs Manchester City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
10/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaVoyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2, MEGA
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Max, TV8
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6, TVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, RTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
surinameSurinameATV Suriname
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldSport 24

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.442.57
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
18
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
85% (371/439)87% (362/417)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.442.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.113.16
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
18
Shots off target
70
Blocked Shots
84
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2626
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1714
Passes
85% (371/439)87% (362/417)
Long passes
48% (22/46)28% (10/36)
Passes in final third
64% (57/89)80% (94/118)
Crosses
30% (6/20)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.850.76
Throw-ins
1415
Fouls
1417
Tackles
42% (8/19)79% (15/19)
Duels won
5058
Clearances
1921
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
60
xGOT faced
3.160.11
Goals prevented
1.16-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 11', Foden P. 🟨,
  • 28', 1 - 0, Rodrygo , Bellingham J. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 1, O'Reilly N. , Gvardiol J. (A),
  • 43', Rudiger A. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 2, Haaland E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Garcia G. , Guler A. ,
  • 67', Ceballos D. , Diaz B. ,
  • 70', Haaland E. , Marmoush O. ,
  • 70', Foden P. , Reijnders T. ,
  • 70', Cherki R. , Savinho ,
  • 76', O'Reilly N. 🟨,
  • 79', Asencio R. , Endrick ,
  • 82', Guardiola P. 🟨,
  • 87', Rodrygo 🟨,
  • 88', Doku J. , Ake N. ,
  • 88', Carreras A. 🟨,
  • 90', Silva B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
30.2%
Draw
24.4%
Manchester City
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 24.1% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 24% 34.4%

Real Madrid - Manchester City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.22
(2.31)
3.97
(3.98)
2.13
(2.8)
3.2%
(4.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Manchester City?
  • Users Predictions: 75 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 25 - 33.3%). Man City will win (votes: 33 - 44%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 22.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 32.8%55.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 35 high ROI users predict this event. Real (votes: 9 - 25.7%). Man City (votes: 19 - 54.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Man City (1.56) (votes: 9 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • DNB - Man City (1.54) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Man City (1.49) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - under (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH +0.25 - Man City (1.84) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Real (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 60 high ROI users predict this event. Real (votes: 11 - 18.3%). Man City (votes: 42 - 70%). Tie (votes: 7 - 11.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Man City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Real has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Real: Alexander-Arnold T. (Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Man City: Kovacic M. (Heel Injury) Phillips K. (Inactive) Rodri (Thigh Injury) Stones J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Real: Alaba D. (Muscle Injury) Camavinga E. (Ankle Injury) Huijsen D. (Muscle Injury) Mbappe K. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Real won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:29. (average 1.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:10. (average 2.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Manchester City were as follows:
    19.02.2025 Real Madrid - Manchester City 3:1
    11.02.2025 Manchester City - Real Madrid 2:3
    17.04.2024 Manchester City - Real Madrid 1:2
    09.04.2024 Real Madrid - Manchester City 3:3
    17.05.2023 Manchester City - Real Madrid 4:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    Latest results of Manchester City
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal880023:41924
    2Bayern Munich870122:81421
    3Liverpool860220:81218
    4Tottenham852117:71017
    5Barcelona851222:14816
    6Chelsea851217:10716
    7Sporting CP851217:11616
    8Manchester City851215:9616
    9Real Madrid850321:12915
    10Inter850315:7815
    11PSG842221:111014
    12Newcastle842217:71014
    13Juventus834114:10413
    14Atl. Madrid841317:15213
    15Atalanta841310:10013
    16Bayer Leverkusen833213:14-112
    17Dortmund832319:17211
    18Olympiacos Piraeus832310:14-411
    19Club Brugge KV831415:17-210
    20Galatasaray83149:11-210
    21Monaco82428:14-610
    22Qarabag831413:21-810
    23Bodo/Glimt823314:15-19
    24Benfica830510:12-29
    25Marseille830511:14-39
    26Pafos82338:11-39
    27Royale Union SG83058:17-99
    28PSV822416:1608
    29Ath Bilbao82249:14-58
    30Napoli82249:15-68
    31FC Copenhagen822412:21-98
    32Ajax82068:21-136
    33Eintracht Frankfurt811610:21-114
    34Slavia Prague80355:19-143
    35Villarreal80175:18-131
    36Kairat Almaty80177:22-151

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